Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDISON Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 May23 Mar24 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
MOANA'S TALE Jul28 Jul18 Jun30 Jun21   (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 5.00    
ANIMAUXSELLE Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 Jun06   (judd cassandra)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
THISAINTJUMPSTREET Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun20 May31 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
ROLLING MO Jul26 Jun28 Jun16 May31 May17 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
HOXIE Jul26 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 May31 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-2   08/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KULTHUM Jul18 Jun06 Mar26 Jan29   (farrior anthony)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
DOUBLE DOT Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 May25 Apr24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
A REAL HERO Jul21 Jun27 Jun11 May19 Apr24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60    
STARSHIP MACYS Jul28 Jul05 May31 Apr24 Mar23 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 2.00 20% 4.00    
SQUAD UP Jul20         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Jul28 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09   (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIE WANDO Jul19         (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 120 6.00    
DONTINVADEMYSPACE Jul19 Jun28 May31 May12 May01 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
CHEAP AND CHEERFUL         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 117 6.00    
SCR  COLONEL POPPY Jul19 Jun28       (kintz matth)WALKER M 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  GOOSE HUNTER         (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00    
KOTYLOS Jul19         (russell randal)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
SCR  DAWGMENTALITY Jul14         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
PID-4   08/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL POLICIA Jul20 Jul01 May22 Apr29 Apr20 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 117 6.00    
SUMMER BOSS Jul12 Jun23 Jun13 Jun01 May23 (schneider kim)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
JINGLE BELLS Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun02 May23 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 9% 9.80    
NIP OF BOURBON Jul26 Jun18 May29 Apr29 Apr08 (gonzalez ald)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
BRYTON'S D J Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 Jan23 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
GOODTIME ARTIE Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 May30 May16 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
GIOVANE'S PROMISE Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar23 Mar06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
BIG FRANK Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 May24 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
 
PID-5   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May18 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  JESSE JONES Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Apr18 (connelly tere)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
GUN LAP Jul11 May22 Mar24 Feb11   (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
C C'S KITTEN Jul04 Jun15 Feb27 Jan09   (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 5.00 10% 9.20    
STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01   (rogers michael)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jul05 Jun13 May30     (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 4.00    
OSBIN Jul18 May02       (maddox a)WALKER M 124 10.00    
 
PID-6   08/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May18   (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
AUDRINA'S CITY Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Jun01 Apr29 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul27 Jul06 Jun30     (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 4.50 10% 8.70    
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Jul12 Jun14 May25 Apr16 Apr09 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
LIBERTY BELLE Jun23 Jun09 May25     (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
BOURBON BLAST Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 Jun09 May24 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
HAPPY BEE Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 May31 Apr26 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
 
PID-7   08/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON BASE Jul25         (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
ORAZIO Jul14 Jun15 May24 Apr01 Mar17 (walsh d)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
HEIRLOOM KITTEN Jul18 Jun27 Jun08 Mar17 Feb18 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
HEAT OF THE NIGHT (SAF) Jun15 Jun02 May24 Feb16   (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Jul25 Jun22 May12 Apr01 Mar19 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
STRIKE THE TOP Jul25 Jun15 May30 Apr30 Apr01 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
ROUGH NIGHT Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06   (hobson simon)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOODIE GOOMER Jul25 Jul05 Jun29 Jun13   (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
JO JO HANS Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 May17 Apr24 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 117 8.00    
10  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 May17 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
11  VISKI JONES Jul26 Jun06       (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
SCR  HE'S A MESS Jul12 Jun22 May30 May16   (miller d)FOX CHRIS 124 12.00    
SCR  CUZ Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May24 (guciardo john)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
SCR  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Jun25 Jun18 May02 Apr25   (heinen h)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
 
PID-8   08/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE OWL LIAM Jul26 Jul13 Jun18 Jun01 May01 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
OLD FORTY FIVE Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 May16 (rice ada)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
DUN RIGHT Jul26 Jul12 Jun13 Jun06   (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 124 3.00    
WHONEW'S TREASURE Jul18 Feb25       (skawinski car)WALKER M 124 20.00    
PITON Jul25 Jul12 Jun13 May30   (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00    
HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul25 Jul06 Jun27     (carr-rozantz cathy)ALLEN M 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
MID ATLANTIC Jul16 Jun17       (fennessy joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
BREWING STORM Jul12 Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 Mar18 (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
ANVIL Aug01 Jul12 Jun27     (connelly teresa)KNOTT L 119 12.00    
10  SARATOGA SKY Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May06 Apr24 (sells rachel)ALENCAR WALBER 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.