Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - August 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   08/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G'S STORM Jul26 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May24 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jul24 Jun26 May17 May07 Apr15 (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 113 3.50 17% 4.80    
BAYOU SARGE Jul02 Jun14 Jun06 May17 Mar18 (borel renay)BOREL H 118 10.00    
ROBTADI STORM Jul17 Jun25 Jun06 May07 Feb23 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Jul17 Jun13 May17 Feb28 Feb11 (singh s)SINGH R 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
PROUD REDEMPTION Jul11 Jun26       (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 10.00    
SCR  CORN SOUP Jul27 Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 May14 (patt j)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
 
LAD-2   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYPO Jul02 May28 Apr29 Feb04   (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
COUSIN VICKIE         (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00    
FIRED UP TIGER Jun29 Jun13 May14 Mar10 Feb17 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.00 23% 3.40    
RIVERCREST GIRL Jun04 Apr29       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00    
ALPHA BROOKE Jun24         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
CASCIA         (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
 
LAD-3   08/09/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEL JOE Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 May28 May07 (williams c )FLORES S 120 4.00    
VALENTORO Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 May13 Mar26 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 120 8.00    
LOU'S ARROW Jul23 Jul11 Jun04 May23 May08 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
WHITE TAIL DEER Jul23 Mar25 Feb24     (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  SASSI ASPEN Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 May28 May14 (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50    
MOONSHINE SURFER Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Apr30 (deatherage cor)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00    
JUST BUSINESS Jul04         (gomez a)BACA L 124 15.00    
 
LAD-4   08/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKTAKER Jun16 May13 Mar27 Feb20 Feb04 (faucheux ron)COTTO L 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
JOHNNY JUDE Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00    
OUR CITY         (balderas alfon)BACA L 120 6.00    
SCR  BLUME Jul02 Jun04 May09 Jan05   (johnson b)BOREL H 124 12.00    
SALUTE NOW Jul23 Jun27 Jun04 May14   (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  LIL WOADIE         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
THEO D'OR Jul23 Jun21 Jun04     (dunn ra)VARGAS P 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
LAD-5   08/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CHARLIE Jul16 Jun08 May21 Mar10 Feb25 (thomas lee)BACA L 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  FIREINTHESTORM Jun08 Mar10 Feb25     (thomas lee)BACA L 117 2.00    
SCR  HEDARESTHEDEVIL Jul09 Jun18 Jun10     (dodwell caroli)COTTO L 120 12.00 5% 17.30    
CRAZY RIDGE Jul22 Jun05 May15 Apr07 Mar31 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHERIFF C J Jul12         (feilner ray)FLORES S 120 20.00    
SMARTY RIDGE Mar26 Mar05 Jan07     (kotara ronald)TORRES HUGO 115 30.00    
WILTON Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 May29 May07 (g)DE CRUZ 124 1.80 12% 7.60    
RAMMER JAMMER Apr28 Mar26       (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
CAPTAINS COVE Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 Feb09   (butler)MALDONADO FLORIBERTO 124 15.00    
 
LAD-6   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUTZY Mar24 Mar12 Feb17 Jan08   (camejo jose)MORALES ROBERTO 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
FIERY PLAYBOY Jul16 Jun04       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SON CARLOS Jul12 Jun04 May09 Feb25 Feb11 (dunn ra)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 10% 9.10    
MAGIC LIGHTNING Jun07 May29 May14 Mar27 Mar13 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
COFFEE COUNTY Jul16 Jun18 Mar23 Feb25 Jan29 (c)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
TWO B Jul02 May17 Mar12 Feb19 Feb10 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Mar05 Jan20       (balderas alfon)BACA L 118 10.00    
HALF PAGE Jul24 Jun26 Jun09 May22 Apr02 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 113 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
LAD-7   08/09/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May24 May07 (adcock charles)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
SCR  ALL EARS Jul18 May31 May10 Apr08 Mar18 (garcia luis)BACA L 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
BEYOND THE HYPE Jul25 Jul12 Jun08 May25 Apr29 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
SCR  ZUMRA BAYOU Jul11 Jun19 May28 May04 Apr23 (melancon do)FLORES S 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KISS GOODBYE Jul17 Jun19 May25 Apr16 Mar23 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 4.50    
TIZ MY PLAN Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Jan09 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
SCR  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 Apr22 Mar11 (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
HAVE I EVER Jul10 Jun19 May28 May14 Feb24 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
C. C. HARBOR Jul18 Jun26 May31 Apr29 Mar13 (cates al)CULP BRIANNE 115 5.00 24% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.