Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECLARE WAR Jul16 Jun25 May22 Mar12   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00    
SCR  OLD SOT Jul08 Jun04 May13 Apr07 Feb17 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Jul14 Jun22 Mar27 Feb05   (chatters benard)MCMAHON J 115 3.00 48% 1.10    
VANGILDER May23 May07 Apr12 Mar19 Feb16 (ashford h )MARQUEZ L 118 4.50    
CHAOSMOS Jun18 May26 May08 Feb26 Feb03 (richard russell )STOKES A 118 2.50    
HALF AGAIN Jul12 May21 Apr14 Mar26   (faucheux ron)STOKES J 115 10.00 12% 7.20    
SARCASTIC TONE Jul16 Jul04 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 8.00    
FREEDOMFI Jul16 Jun22 Jun01 Apr29 Mar27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 10.00    
 
EVD-2   08/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT MAKING TREBLE Jul16         (bernard john)MECHE CODY 123 12.00    
T D Z HI COURT Jul15 Jun17 May18 Apr21 Feb25 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 115 1.20 69% 0.50    
KANNON WITH A K Jun29 Jun02 May18 Apr22 Mar23 (charles jo)ALBERT S 115 2.50    
GENES FEATHER Jul21 Jul06 Jun22     (zenon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 4.00    
SCR  BIG T Jul06         (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 6.00    
JOSAN Feb20         (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 115 10.00    
 
EVD-3   08/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC BEAST Jul01 May28 May20 Apr30 Apr13 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00    
1A  RUMPUS Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May22 Apr30 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
PUZZLING PRIORITY Jul12 Jun23 Jun01 Mar03 Feb16 (thomas lee)BACA L 115 4.50    
ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Jun24 May23 Mar01 Jan29 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  LAKE MARIE Jul08 Jun24 May04 Apr14 Mar10 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 7% 14.20    
DUEFORADATE Jun16 May20 Apr21 Feb25 Feb05 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 115 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Jul21 Jun17 May27 May19   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50    
 
EVD-4   08/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ROJO         (davis veronica)STOKES A 118 12.00    
KING DOODLE Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 Jan29 (courville rick)THORNTON G 118 2.00 49% 1.10    
LONG ARROW Jul01 Jun17       (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00    
REAL MAGIC         (fontenot br)LEDET THEODRICK 115 20.00    
HYPERBOLIST Jun17 Apr27 Apr06 Mar26 Mar10 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
HILLCREST DRIVE Jul07 Jun17       (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 123 4.50    
TIME TO MOVE Jul01 May11 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 8.00    
BIG ACE Mar27 Feb16 Jan21     (klanfer alan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 5.00 8% 11.00    
 
EVD-5   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEEZA PRIORITY Jul20 Jun30 Jun11     (jacobs dory)THORNTON G 118 15.00 9% 10.30    
KATIE'S C Jun18 Jun10 May13 Apr30 Apr06 (vance w)STOKES J 118 15.00    
SCR  ZEEROCK Jul15 Jun29 Jun10     (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 12.00    
JIG TIME BANDIT Jun30 Jun01 Apr06 Feb11 Jan28 (williams k)ALBERT S 113 12.00    
CUPIE CUTIE Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 May13 Apr27 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
TRINITY HOPE Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr28   (courville ri)MAGNON H 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  ANN'S STORM Jul23 Jul06 Jun03 May14 Mar04 (harrison cortla)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  LA LOLA Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 May25 Apr13 (meaux h)MECHE CODY 123 20.00    
SCR  ALLEN'S JUDY Jul16 Jun11 May27 Apr27 Apr06 (core b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 20.00    
10  STELLAR FANTASY May28 May05       (harrison cortlan)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
SCR  TRACK QUEEN Jun17 May25 May04 Apr09 Feb17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 123 4.50    
SCR  WHISKEY TO WINE Jul10 Jun13       (singh s)SINGH R 123 8.00    
 
EVD-6   08/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABO SUNSET Apr23 Feb10 Jan26     (zenon shelton)BOURQUE J 123 20.00 9% 10.30    
LAST DESTINY Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 Jun11 May12 (west henry)MCMAHON J 120 4.50    
DAVE'S RONDA Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 May20 Apr28 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 115 5.00    
SCR  CHIEF THE GREAT         (cordero )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 8.00 10% 8.80    
KIKI KAT Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 Mar03   (holden mar)ALBERT S 115 12.00    
SCR  ARCTIC GUITAR Jul06 Jun22 Jun11     (bernar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
GRACE'S GAL Jun11 May27 Feb09     (zeno benjamin)HERNANDEZ V 120 10.00    
MARAMA Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr16 (cordero ang)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
EVD-7   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOY DAVE REX Jul16 May12 Jan01     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.50    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Jul01 May01 Mar16 Feb17   (modica oscar)MELANCON G 115 4.50 17% 4.90    
JAX MAN Jun04 Apr22 Mar27 Feb05 Jan01 (david b)THORNTON G 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
DOCTOR LEO Jun22 May28 Apr21 Apr02 Mar03 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 8.00    
DUST EM Jul17 Jun19 May08 Mar26 Feb19 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SABER RUN Jul09 Jun09 May15 Feb20   (pedigo randy)BACA L 115 10.00    
CONGA BOY Mar16         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
 
EVD-8   08/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A BREAKUP         (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
SCR  ST JOAN Jul20         (zeno b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 15.00    
BUT ANYWAY Apr16 Mar25       (landry ray)STOKES J 115 1.60 46% 1.20    
TENPINS TEMPEST         (thomas lee)BACA L 120 20.00    
T J'S SUNSHINE Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 May20 Apr30 (harrison cor)MAGNON H 120 4.50    
SCR  LES AND MADGE Jun04 May12 Apr16     (chevis a)STOKES A 115 8.00    
CALL ME DARLIN Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 May28 May07 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 3.00 30% 2.30    
PERFECT PUDDING Jul15 Jun25 Jun10     (toups brent)FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
D'LADY FIRED UP Jul14 Jun23       (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
SCR  PENNIE'S MAGIC         (landry all)ALBERT S 110 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.