Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/26/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOG WILD Jun19 May17 Mar10 Jan14   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
ABDAN Jun26 Jun12 Apr23 Mar24 Feb27 (alfortish sean)CULP BRIANNE 117 1.60 54% 0.90    
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Jun30         (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00    
SCR  GENERATOR Jul04 Jun13 May30 Apr23 Mar26 (williams blai)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
YOUNG TUSCAN Jul14 Jun09 May14 Apr27 Jan08 (thomas lee)BACA L 115 4.00    
RANGE OF MOTION Jun14 May08 Apr14 Mar04 Feb17 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 
LAD-2   07/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKGATE RED Jul03 Jun20 May07 Apr16 Apr01 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
LOVING LUCKY Jun22 Jun03 May14 Apr22 Mar25 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
MO VODKA Jul04 Jun19 May07 Apr30 Apr08 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
AND FIFTY Jun03 Apr22 Mar27 Mar10 Feb20 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.50 12% 7.70    
DUDE DROP KID Jul05 Jun11 May21 May03 Apr20 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
THUNDER ROAD Jun20 Jun02 May09 Mar25 Feb18 (dodson clif)FLORES S 120 2.50    
 
LAD-3   07/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEFORVIVI May14 Jan30 Jan06     (klanfer alan)COTTO L 118 3.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jun22 May27 May06 Apr21   (klanfer alan)COTTO L 118 3.50    
KINGPRIN Jul09 Jun18 May24     (smith charles )CULP BRIANNE 119 5.00    
THISGUYCANFLY Jul02 Jun18 Jun06 May15 Apr22 (mallery )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
SCR  ACTIFDASH Jul05 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Feb17 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00    
NINEJUANJUAN CALL Jul16 Jul05 May31 Apr13 Mar24 (gomez jorge)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50    
MR. TIN MAN Jul05 Jun18 May22     (romero gera)FLORES S 122 2.00 11% 8.30    
G'S STORM Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May24 May09 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
 
LAD-4   07/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR PIE STREET         (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
1A  NEVERLAND BAND         (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
SWEET JACKIELEIGH Jul09 Jun27 Jun14 May29 May10 (balderas alf)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
E R'S MIREYA Jun27 Jun05 May10 Feb19 Jan29 (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 120 4.00    
DON'T BLINK TWICE         (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 8.00    
LUCKY DEAL         (ingram steve)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
ASHLEY'S GIRL Jun11 May21 Mar25     (schmidt denise)BACA L 124 1.40 22% 3.50    
 
LAD-5   07/26/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABRO TORO Jul02 May14 Feb19 Feb05 Jan14 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
RENATI Jun27 Jun04 Mar19 Mar03 Jan20 (duke steven)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
LOWER CRETACEOUS Jun13         (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 15.00    
SASSI ASPEN Jul18 Jul03 May28 May14 Apr22 (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
MO CREDO Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 Mar05 Feb11 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 1.80 12% 7.40    
BIG JABOT Jul02 Jun07 May22 Feb19 Feb05 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
HUDSON'S TURN Jul02 Jun07 May15 Mar06 Feb20 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.50 60% 0.70    
WILD T RANGER Jul02         (gomez c)BOREL H 120 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLHILL Jul12 Jun21 Apr30 Apr03 Mar11 (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  CLASSIC'S OMEGA Jun07 May28 Mar20 Mar03 Feb12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Jul16 Jun28 Mar04 Feb05 Jan20 (morris rowd)DEL-CID VICENTE 107 6.00    
FALCON HEAVY Jun20 May23 Jan14 Jan02   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 7% 13.30    
MOONSHINE SURFER Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Apr30 Apr01 (deatherage cor)CULP BRIANNE 119 30.00    
ROYAL DE BE Jul03 Jun07 May23 Apr30 Apr22 (williams blai)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
CAIRO SKY Jul09 Jun05 May15 Jan15   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jun25 Jun16 Jun05 May01 Apr08 (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 120 3.00 16% 5.50    
 
LAD-7   07/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jul03 Jun21 May29 May07 Apr09 (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  CHROME RUN May22 Apr22 Mar25     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
MIDNIGHT OIL Jul03 May15       (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00    
CANTILLATE Jul04 Jun03 May15 Mar03   (diodoro r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
SHARP DOUBLE EDGE Jun10 May20 Apr28 Mar16 Feb11 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
SCR  CLASSY SHIPMAN Jul03 Feb18 Jan28     (lara jorge)COTTO L 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  OGRE'S LION KING Jul03 Jun14       (singh s)SINGH R 124 8.00    
ACCEL JOE Jul11 Jun20 May28 May07 Apr15 (williams blai)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
CLASSIC INTENTION Jul12         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
UNIFIED ASSETS Jun06 May15       (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
10  AIR FORCE ANGEL Jul04 Jun10 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 (jacks e)GUZMAN JORGE 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Jul01 Jun17 Feb17 Jan28   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.