Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREATIVE FEATURE Jun28 Jun13 Apr04 Mar09 Feb18 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.50    
STRONG ARM         (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
PUCKER Jul06 Jun27 Jun14 Jun07   (toura)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
DOUGS PAL Jul06 Jun14 Feb15 Jan26   (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT LOVE Jul06 Jun27 Jun14 Apr02 Mar19 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 20.00    
YESITSMEJOHNNY G Jun27 Jun13       (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00 11% 7.70    
 
ASD-2   07/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTRODAMOUS Jun29 Apr15 Apr03 Mar13 Feb26 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
HOUSE LIMIT Jul05 Jun14 Apr01 Mar23 Feb28 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  PURIM KING Jun22 May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar04 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 122 12.00    
MAYBE SOMETIME Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May06 Apr23 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.40    
SCR  DICTATOR Jun14 Jun06 Apr19 Mar10 Jan30 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Jun22 Mar21       (buffa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
ASD-3   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEANO May27 Apr30 Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00    
MCKAGUE Jun15         (anderson )CHADEE JR 122 15.00    
WAKE UP CALL Jul05 Mar28 Mar17 Feb10 Jan04 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 20.00 7% 12.70    
YOLA Jun21 Jun06       (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
GOLDENEYED Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Mar14 Feb15 (danel)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Jul13 Jun29 Jun21 Jun07 Jun01 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00    
DIDDLEY Jun27 Apr12 Feb10     (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
ASD-4   07/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG BELIEF Jun27 Jun15 Jun01     (brown shelley)CARRENO J 119 4.00    
STORMY SUMMIT Jun29 Jun20 Jun01 Apr04 Mar07 (buffa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 119 6.00    
RUNAWAY HURRICANE Jun22 Jun07       (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
BETTERMAKETHATTWO Jul05 Jun21 Jun01     (cizik lar)CHADEE JR 119 1.40 39% 1.60    
CALL THE COPS Jul12 Jun29 Jun13     (dickey elton)NELSON C 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
MAJOR SHEPARD Jun13 May07       (amthor go)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 6% 15.60    
KITON Jul12 Jun27 Jun13     (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 12.00    
 
ASD-5   07/20/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING WITT Jun22 Jun15 Jun07 Apr30 Apr15 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 119 3.00    
L'ETAT (GER) Jul05 Jun15 Jun07     (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
ZURI RISASI Jun13 Jun01 May07     (amthor g)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.60    
SPEIGHTSFORCE Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 Jun01   (ander)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 119 10.00    
MUCHO EXPRESS Jul13 Jun22 Feb14     (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 114 4.00 18% 4.50    
NOTABLE NORA Jun13 May31       (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 114 4.50 18% 4.50    
BELBEDEVIL Jul04 Jun21       (johnst)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 40.00 18% 4.50    
TRIBAL CONFERENCE Jun15         (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 25.00 18% 4.50    
 
ASD-6   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE KATE Jun21 Jun07       (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.20 36% 1.80    
YANKEE CAT Jun21         (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 20.00 27% 2.70    
SINS N WINS Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Jun06   (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 25.00    
HOME EARLY SHIRLEY Jun29         (delar)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 12.00 14% 6.40    
GO WITT GO         (delaronde lee)CHICKENESS S 121 30.00    
MEAN MONEY Jun14 May31       (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 115 3.00    
ZENHI Jun29 Jun15 Jun06     (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00    
MISS PARFAIT Mar02 Feb16       (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 4.00    
 
ASD-7   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINALIZE Jun27 Jun13 May26 Apr20   (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 119 4.50    
CHAMPIOSA         (willson clint )CHOW CHAVION 119 12.00    
PREACHLITTLEGOSPEL Jul05         (maxwell curtis)CHICKENESS S 124 20.00    
DADDYSRAREEDITION Jun14 Jun01       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
ONE SKY         (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 7.00    
JEFF FA FA         (anderson wendy)NELSON C 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
STEEP ROCK Jun15 Jun01       (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 119 30.00    
SIDERO         (willson d)CARRENO J 119 15.00    
WARBUCKS Jun15 Jun01 May19     (gittens devon)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
10  ZIPPIN TO IMPRESS Jun15 Jun01       (anderson car)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
11  HE'S THE CHAIRMAN Jun21 Jun14 Jun01     (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 8.00    
12  HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jun27 Jun13       (mille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.