Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PAB Jun15 Jun01 May11 Feb04   (englehart jer)DAVILA R 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
MIZZYS IMAGE Jun15 May25 May10     (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
A DAB WILL DO Jun01         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
STAR MANAGER Jul04 Jun20 May23     (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
DAREDEVIL BULL Jun01 May02 Apr03 Feb01 Jan04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
LA CAFETERA Jun28 Jun01 May18 Apr15 Mar01 (maver eduardo)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
 
FL-2   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO Jul05 Apr30 Mar25 Feb19   (ferraro michae)COA J 121 4.00    
MANDATORY PAYOUT Jun27 Jun07 May18 Feb20 Feb06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
SNEADS Jun27 Jun13       (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 27% 2.80    
TAKE CHARGECHRISTY Jun15         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.00    
ROYAL REALM Jun08 May06 Mar11 Jan22 Jan16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.20 31% 2.30    
 
FL-3   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADE FIELD Jul05 Jun13 Apr21 Mar05   (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
INALIENABLE RIGHTS Jul06 Jun22       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50    
CROATIAN Jun27 Jun07 May12 May07 Feb26 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.50 37% 1.70    
COACH BAHE Jul06 Jun15 May30 Apr22 Apr02 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 3.00    
MISTER WINSTON Jul09 Jun24 May08 Apr14 Apr02 (arriaga antoni)PIERMARINI T 119 8.00    
DICK THE BRUISER Jul04 Jun14 May31     (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 8.00 7% 12.80    
 
FL-4   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EIGHT WEEKS LONG May18 Apr10 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jun27 Jun08 May18 Feb06   (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 8.00 19% 4.40    
LABAN M MO Jun27 Jun13 May19 Apr23 Mar13 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
BIJEMINI SLEW Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 May24 May11 (cabrera a)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
ORB IN THE TOWER May31 Jan20       (baker ch)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 3.50    
IT'S MANDATORY May07 Apr30 Feb26 Jan20   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 1.80    
 
FL-5   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIME LADY Jul04 Jun20 May18 Apr14 Jan01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00    
BOCA Jul06 Jun20 May16 Apr13 Mar18 (falk jacqueline)FRATES D 121 6.00    
SCR  AVID SUCINORI Jul04 Jun20       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 1.60 57% 0.80    
ONE NIGHT STAND Jul04 Jun14 Feb12 Jan22   (grabowski a)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 10% 8.90    
CARLY HUSTLE Jul06 Jun14 Jun03 May19 May01 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 10.00    
MELISSA'S SMILE Jun29 Jun14 Jun06 May23   (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 8% 11.50    
 
FL-6   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANK YOU Jul04 Jun13 May23 Mar16 Feb25 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
1A  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jun14 May24 Apr22 Mar02 Feb13 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  RUNABOUT May14 Apr01 Mar25 Feb05 Jan01 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
CASPER JOE Jul04 Jun10       (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
MARCO ISLAND Jun01 May09 Mar09     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
REAL DAN Jul05         (lopez ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 12.00    
CURLIN'S NEW MOON Jun29 May23       (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 4.00    
SKYWRITING Jul05         (iorio sa)DAVIS A 122 15.00 6% 14.50    
 
FL-7   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Jul05 May31 May18 Jan12   (maver eduardo)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
HAMPTONS HOLIDAY Jun06 May18       (breed ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 4.00    
ROCKY RIVER Jun29 Jun14       (dukes j)FRET STEVEN 122 12.00    
A MAIZE ZING RIP Jul05 Jun21 May23 May11 Apr08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 2.00    
HOLY COWBOY Jul06 Jun22 May11 Apr25   (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Jul05 May31 May16     (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 122 6.00 39% 1.60    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Jun21 Jun07 May23 May11 May02 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
FL-8   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON'S HOPE Jun22 Jun07 May21 Apr24 Mar06 (baker charlton)COA J 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  DROSEL DIEM Jun29         (baker ch)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
REGALITY         (englehar)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
HIT BY A WAVE Jul05 Jun08 May23 Apr29 Apr10 (henry n)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
CATCHYASOON Jul05 Jun13       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
AWESOME BID May25 May04 Apr19     (chapman k)PEREZ E 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Jun28 Jun07       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
LITTERBOX Jun28 Jun12 Apr22 Feb19 Feb03 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
NEVER EVER HOME Jul04         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  PRICE OF ADMISSION Jun08         (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 120 8.00    
 
FL-9   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW GROVE Jun22         (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
CENTRAL CAPITAL Jul06 Jun20 May30     (rivera d)DAVIS A 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr20 (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
MISS CIRCULAR GAL Jul06 Jun22 May30 May09   (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
ENDLESS CRUSADE Jun27 Jan14       (chapman k)PEREZ E 120 2.50    
AZOGAR Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 May24 May02 (morales samuel)FRATES D 124 15.00    
SWEET INVASION Jun22 May23       (acquilano jame)COA J 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
PRAIRIE TALES Jun06 May16       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
PAZZION Jul06 Jun20 May02 Mar06 Feb21 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.