Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICSTICK Jun21 Jun08 May30     (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 4.50    
PAID THE PREACHER Jun21 Jun01 May18 Apr26   (martin william)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
SCR  LOUIE'S WISH Jun21 Jun07 Apr13 Apr04 Mar14 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
ZILLION Jun21 Jun01 May13 Apr22 Mar29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 9% 10.50    
HE'S A MESS Jun22 May30 May16     (miller d)FOX CHRIS 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
 
PID-2   07/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PITON Jun13 May30       (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILLIE MAYS HAYS Jun14 May31 May09 Mar30 Mar08 (progno chris)ALENCAR WALBER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TASTY'S BULLSEYE Jun10 May06 Apr20 Feb08 Jan25 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 12.00    
GOT FLOFFY Jun27 Apr30       (adorno jean )BURGOS ALBERTO 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
NATHANIEL'S HOPE Jun27 Jun08 May30 May16 Apr16 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 120 5.00    
ANVIL Jun27         (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 8.00    
DUN RIGHT Jun13 Jun06       (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 124 6.00    
BREWING STORM Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 (rawles a)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
GOODTIME ARTIE Jun23 May30 May16     (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
PID-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) Jun13         (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
LITTLEBITALILY Jun18 Apr29 Mar30 Feb11 Jan12 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 13% 6.70    
CHEROKEE CHATTER Jun21 Jun06 May16 Apr23 Mar24 (carr-rozantz )WHISMAN AVERY 124 8.00    
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Jun14 May25 Apr16 Apr09 Mar17 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
GET SASSY Jun20 May18       (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
PUFFER FISH Jun20 Jun09 May18     (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-4   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Jun28 Jun09 Mar30 Mar16   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
EMPEROR'S SONG Jun20 Jun09 May31 Apr30 Feb19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
LA REINA DEL NORTE         (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
TRUDIAN'S PROMISE Jun28 Jun20       (rotunno sydn)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SATURDAYS VAPOR Jun14         (antus lawrence)KNOTT L 122 10.00    
SCR  POOKIELICIOUS Jun21 May31 May16     (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 118 20.00    
SCR  COUPLE OF NIKKIS Jun28 Jun14 May31 May16   (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
HERE COMES MEG Jun06 May02       (progno chris)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
SHEZA HOOT Jun27 May23 May07 Apr30 Apr09 (figueroa)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
10  NORTHERN TRANSIT Jun09 May25       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
11  KEEP SCROLLING Jun28 May31 May25 May16 Apr01 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 4.00    
 
PID-5   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN DADDY Jun29 Jun13 May18 Apr07 Feb19 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 11% 8.40    
BEACH HOLIDAY Jun02 May26 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 (holsapple hutc)ALLEN D 117 8.00    
FLAWLESS BOURBON Jun20 Jun08 May24 May02   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 4.50    
INCITATUS May28 May13 May04 Mar19 Mar12 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
SUMMER PALACE Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 May30 May23 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
THE BLACK STRAT Jun29 Jun13 May28 May03 Apr01 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 117 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
PID-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT Jun27 May24       (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
BEACHSIDE BUNNY Jun09 May12 Apr08 Feb19 Feb02 (blair jo)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
LADY IN HEELS Jun27 Jun09 May18 Apr23 Mar23 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
TUDOX ROADSTER Jun23 Jun07 May17 Jan28   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
CINCO DE MANDEE Jun29 Jun07 May17     (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
BABY DRAGON Jul04         (hogue james )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
QUALITY TOO SPARE Jun09 May24 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 (ferraro ant)WALKER M 122 10.00    
SHE NASTY Jun23 Apr27 Apr02 Mar02 Feb11 (guciardo joh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00    
 
PID-7   07/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOO BOO KITTY Jun30 May30 May16     (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00    
NEW WAYS TO DREAM Jun21 May31 May16 Apr15 Mar09 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
BABY NO WORRIES Jun14 May30       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
POSH PLAYDAY Jun21 May31       (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00    
BARBARA Jun17 May27 Apr15 Apr03 Feb20 (guciardo joh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
RUTABAGA May18 Apr15 Mar17 Feb24 Jan15 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
CAJUN COUSIN Jun18 May13 Feb27 Jan26   (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
 
PID-8   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Jun26 Jun10 May21 Apr30 Apr20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 117 15.00    
SUMMER BOSS Jun23 Jun13 Jun01 May23 May04 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
BRYTON'S D J Jun22 Jun08 Jan23     (connelly tere)WHISMAN AVERY 122 3.00 6% 16.50    
ADIOS BOBBY Jun28 Apr05 Mar24     (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
KIANG Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May23   (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
DECEIVER Jun14 Jun02 May12 Mar16 Feb25 (russell )GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
JINGLE BELLS Jul04 Jun02 May23     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
WHOOPS Jun28 Jun08 Jun01     (markgraf davi)BECKMAN ALICE 115 12.00    
GOLDEN OAK Jun28 Jun22 Jun07     (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
10  BAHAMIAN PARK Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May17 Mar19 (roman malvin)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.