Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTORO Jun19 May13 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (bryant ge)TORRES A 121 15.00    
GRASS BURN Jun19         (butler ken )INIRIO J 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
GREYSTOKE Jun10         (w)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
SHANGHAI GOLD Jun04 Apr09 Mar09     (echeverria hec)LUZZI J 124 5.00    
RICHARD'S TX BLING Jun16 May28 May15 May06 Apr08 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 7% 13.50    
VALDINA DREAMS Jun04 May13 May01 Apr01 Mar11 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
GOD'S GOLD Jun16 May28       (martin jame)HAMILTON WESTON 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
CAPTAINS COVE Jun04 Feb09       (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 3.50    
 
LS-2   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED STREET May17 Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 Jan30 (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00    
BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL May20 Apr30 Feb20 Jan30   (ashford ra)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 3.50    
TAYLOR'S VISION May20 Mar10 Feb12 Jan07   (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
FLEW BY YOU Jun04 May13 Feb24 Jan22 Jan06 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80    
CIRCLE BACK GIRL May23 Mar02 Feb09     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 116 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GLITTERARY Jun25 Jun16 May21 May12 Apr02 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00    
 
LS-3   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD SHAFTESBURY         (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00    
MORO FLASHBACK         (ruiz fern)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 20.00    
AIN'T THAT A KICK         (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.50    
SECRET HOLIDAY May27 May07 Apr28 Apr08   (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 4.00    
TENTH OF GOLD Jun04 May01 Apr09 Mar26 Feb12 (durham danele)LUZZI J 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
JAMES GANG Jun04         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
HEMPSTEAD Jun10 May19 Apr29 Apr09 Mar16 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 20.00    
 
LS-4   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA EMPIRE         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.50 6% 15.30    
CAJUN GUMBOW         (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
BOLD CONNECTION         (f)DE CRUZ 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
HOT COOKIE Jun09         (herreros steph)MATA U 119 30.00    
MO SILVER         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 6% 16.20    
APPROPRIATED FUNDS         (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00    
MISS CONTINENTAL         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 6.00    
 
LS-5   07/02/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Jun09 May19 Apr30 Mar12 Feb18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
ENGLANDER Jun24 Jun09 May22 May13 May08 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.00 5% 18.20    
MEN OF KYLE Jun19 Jun04 Mar17 Feb11 Jan22 (duhon paul)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
NEWPORT BEACH Mar12 Feb18 Jan21     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
UNRESTRICTED Jun17 May22 May07 May01 Mar27 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 10.00    
SECRETARY AT WAR Jun06 May21 Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
SUNRISE KITTEN Apr28 Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 Feb04 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 124 30.00    
VALENTINE STREET Jun09         (johnston johnny)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
SCR  HALF OURS TO KEEP May19 May01 Apr07 Feb17 Jan30 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
10  SEDUCTIVE U S A Jun09 May22 May01 Apr09 Mar12 (t)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 8% 11.90    
 
LS-6   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO LEGEND Jun16 May29 May15 Apr07 Mar24 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
GHOSTER May08 Apr07 Mar03 Feb04 Jan06 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
SILVER AND GOLD Jun23 May29 May14 May08 Apr28 (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
SCR  BOSQUE Jun23 May29 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 (kotara ro)TORRES A 121 15.00 12% 7.40    
POPEYES HEART May29 May14 Apr29     (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 1.60 30% 2.40    
FLY'N SEXY Mar24 Mar03 Feb11     (castellanos )MEDELLIN ERICK 119 15.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE Jun19 May29 May08 Apr09 Mar16 (castellanos)INIRIO J 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
TEXAS REMINGTON Jun05 May13 Mar05     (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 124 10.00    
 
LS-7   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY EVE Jun11 May15 Feb24     (castellanos)INIRIO J 120 30.00    
LEGALLY LUCKY         (calhoun w)TORRES A 120 8.00    
MARCELINE May19         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
TAP ME A TEXT Jun04 May02 Mar21     (fincher todd )EIKLEBERRY RY 120 4.50    
ONLY SHOW IN TOWN Jun04 Apr24 Mar13 Feb18   (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00 14% 6.10    
BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Jun04         (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
ROYAL BONUS May21 May06 Feb18     (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 120 30.00    
DIAMOND CODE         (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
LS-8   07/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMPKIN BREAD May28 Mar27 Feb18 Feb08   (hone bart)DIEGO V 116 30.00    
SCR  RED HOT MOON May28 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 Feb09 (calh)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 7% 14.20    
PRINCESS PAULINE Jun11 Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 Jan14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 116 3.50 7% 12.80    
KEEP THE BLING May28 May12 Mar26 Mar02   (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
STELLACZAR Jun16 May12 Apr29 Apr02 Feb19 (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
CHA CHA MISSION Jun05 May12 Feb23 Jan19   (davis sha)TORRES A 123 6.00    
PRETTY IN PINK May30         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
MIDYEAR May28 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19   (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MY FRIEND AMY Jun10 May22 Apr29 Mar23 Mar01 (gelner j)SORENSON D 116 20.00    
10  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) May28 May21 Apr29     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
11  SWEET ADELINE Jun16 May22 May01 Mar23 Feb10 (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 119 30.00    
12  TAYLOR'S SECRET May28 Mar12       (gelner j)LUZZI J 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.