Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Energy Downs
Saturday - June 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EDR-2   06/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH OUT Jun17 Jun10       (nelson b)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 128 4.50 16% 5.30    
TOSS THE FLAG May08         (warren kayla)LARSEN S 128 2.50    
SUPER ACCORD Jun11 Mar11 Feb09 Jan12   (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 128 1.80 29% 2.40    
BACKCHATTER Jun19 Jun17 Jun12 Jun04 May21 (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 128 3.50    
SCR  SOUL READY Jun19 Jun10 May28 May21 Apr23 (ducheneaux ja)RAMIREZ EDGAR 128 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
EDR-5   06/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTANA JACK Jun19 Jun12 Jun04 May06 Apr21 (dennis c)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 128 3.50    
REDDISH Jun19 Jun12 Apr20 Mar25 Mar14 (nelson bucksho)JAMES JARELL 128 4.00    
XINGFU Jun18 Jun10 May21 May15   (crooked da)PERALTA LUIS 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
FRED May27 Apr23 Mar27 Mar20 Feb22 (dennis clifto)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 8.00 14% 5.90    
THE BONDSMAN Jun11 May22 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 (cross p)BETHKE A 126 2.00    
PAPA JOE Jun17 May28 May21 May06 Apr30 (ducheneaux ja)RAMIREZ EDGAR 128 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
EDR-6   06/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Jun18 Jun12 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 125 8.00 8% 12.10    
SUNSHINE EMILY Jun18 Jun04 Feb18 Jan17   (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 128 1.60 32% 2.10    
RUNWAY SCORE Jun18 Jun04 May22     (matt r)LARSEN S 128 4.00    
UNTETHERED SOUL Jun18 Jun11 May07 Apr29 Apr24 (ducheneaux ja)RAMIREZ EDGAR 125 8.00    
WICKED FLASHBACK Jun18 Jun05 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 (ducheneaux ja)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 3.50 14% 6.10    
SMACKFIRE Jun18 Jun05 May22 May21 Apr22 (lafferty)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 128 10.00    
VEGAN GOES BEST Jun17 Jun04 May21 Apr22 Mar27 (thompson gra)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 5.00 13% 6.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.