Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - May 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSIONATE LUCK May11 Apr29 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 (platt n)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 6.00 15% 5.80    
DATZA FIVE OH May03         (woodbury j)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
K RULES May03 Mar12 Feb23 Jan15   (anderson susa)BRACHO A 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
MY HOT TODDY Apr30 Feb11       (newton troy)LEON SONNY 125 2.50    
LITTLE CAIRO May03 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12   (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
 
BTP-2   05/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPESTUOUS AMY May04 Mar12       (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 5.00    
NESSUM DORMA May04 Mar09 Feb01 Jan19   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 7% 13.80    
FUN PADDY Apr15 Mar18 Feb20 Jan07   (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
GENERAL GINNY May06 Mar04 Feb12 Jan29   (forston roy)MOJICA JR 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
QUIET DAWN Mar25 Mar03 Feb18     (garcia amal)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 2.50    
COLORINCOLONEL Apr11 Mar09 Feb12     (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50    
HERO OF THE BEST May04 Apr01 Mar12 Feb12   (krummen monica)LEON SONNY 125 8.00    
 
BTP-3   05/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSHI Q May10 Apr26 Apr16     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 4.00    
1A  BOX STEP May10 Mar15 Feb26 Jan25   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
COPPER BEECH Apr05 Mar16 Mar02     (langemeier jo)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 4.50 26% 2.90    
LINE DANCER Apr13 Mar15 Jan08     (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
DE BOLT LIGHT May04 Apr11 Mar18 Mar02 Jan15 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 5.00    
LA ROSA Apr13         (hamm timothy)REYES R 117 3.00    
 
BTP-4   05/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER AT ALL (FR) Apr27 Mar14       (reed r)LEON SONNY 125 4.00    
1A  CAPITAL ALLOCATION (GB) Mar24         (reed r)LEON SONNY 125 4.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  RAINDROPS ON ROSES         (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00    
CRAZY SPEIGHTY         (ackerman kelly)OUZTS W 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
MISS MARPLE Mar19 Mar12       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 6.00    
SCR  STORMY CUT May12 Apr08 Mar24     (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 20.00    
COED         (kobiskie dane)MOJICA JR 125 4.50    
SCR  GRETEL (GB) Apr29         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
SCR  ARAGON (GB) May11 Apr28 Mar19 Feb25 Jan27 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
DETAILED         (matejka pavel)REYES R 119 12.00    
 
BTP-5   05/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES I'S A MILLER Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 (jarvis kathy)CANUTO THIAGO 116 3.50 32% 2.10    
1A  EVENSCORE Mar04 Jan08       (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50    
TALK RADIO Apr14 Mar19 Feb18     (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.00    
SCR  PRINCESS CELESTE May06 Mar23 Jan29     (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 121 6.00    
JUST FINE BY ME May06 Mar24 Feb16     (shifflett ch)MAYTA J 121 5.00    
HONOR BAR Apr28 Feb24 Jan08     (bates l)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 20% 4.00    
RUN WITH GRACE May06 Mar24 Mar05 Feb16 Jan09 (livers charli)BRACHO A 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
BTP-6   05/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Mar02         (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00    
JOYFUL HEART May04 Apr09 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 8.00    
FALCONS FURY Apr19         (wilson davi)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00    
CAN'TBETEMALL May10 Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 Jan02 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
SLICK SILVER Apr23 Apr10 Mar05 Jan08   (diodoro robertin)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
COME SEE ABOUT IT Apr27 Apr02 Mar22 Mar07   (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
BTP-7   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYKIZ May02 Apr15 Mar14 Jan23   (douaihy michel)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE May04 Apr15 Apr02 Mar14 Feb16 (decker anna)MCKEE J 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
SOUTHERN MAMA Apr30         (ennis joh)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.00    
CAJUN DELIGHT May06 Apr19       (wilson davi)JIMENEZ J 121 20.00 13% 6.80    
OFFTHEROADAGAIN May02 Apr16 Mar14 Feb22   (reed r)LEON SONNY 115 4.00    
CLEVER TALE         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
LITTLE LUCERITO         (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 110 8.00    
 
BTP-8   05/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNUNDERSTANDABLE         (andrade)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 4.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  DIAL AGAIN May10 Apr15 Mar09 Feb17 Jan09 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 116 4.00    
DOCS SEVEN May06 Apr20 Apr01 Mar02 Jan01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
LADY POWER         (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
SILVER STICK STAIR May03 Apr18 Mar12 Feb28   (acevedo i)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 115 5.00 39% 1.50    
MARGARET DRIVE May13 Apr28       (edgell shar)JIMENEZ J 121 20.00    
TWIRLING RUTH Apr28 Apr01 Jan02     (thomas mark)MCKEE J 121 2.00 14% 6.10    
LUCKY LAUREN May03 Apr15 Mar26     (newton troy)LEON SONNY 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.