Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA POP STAR         (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
2  DISCREET ENERGY May10 Apr11 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 (yoder d)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  ALL THE BEST May03 Mar14 Mar02 Jan31   (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
4  I GOT HOPE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  WELLOILEDCAT May03 Apr11 Mar14 Mar08 Mar02 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE May03 Apr11 Mar14 Mar02 Jan31 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
7  SWEET EMPIRE May04 Apr16 Mar02 Feb14 Jan12 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-2   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLEY'S GEM Apr16 Mar31 Feb19 Jan15 Jan01 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  LA MUNECA May07 Mar31 Mar23 Feb26   (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
3  WAR CAT May03         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
4  COURTLY Apr24 Mar18 Feb13 Jan07   (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 3.00 ★    
5  EASY EYES May09 Apr26 Apr09 Mar19 Feb16 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  MAVI May07 Mar31 Mar14 Feb28 Feb18 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 ★    
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY May07         (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-3   05/17/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNCLE MOMO May02 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 113 8.00    
SCR  CAJUN CHAOS Apr27 Feb01 Jan19     (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 113 8.00 ★    
2  IMMACULATE HEART May03 Apr11 Mar08     (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  SALT ON THE RIM May03         (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 111 6.00    
4  SPECTACULAR ROAD May02 Apr12 Mar15 Feb18 Feb01 (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 ★    
5  GOLDEN NOLE May03         (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 114 2.50 ★    
6  FOREIGN May03 Apr26 Apr05 Mar24 Mar08 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-4   05/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKO May02 Apr16 Apr04 Mar10 Feb19 (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 ★    
2  NATURAL CHARM May02 Apr04       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
3  FAST CALL May02 Apr13 Apr04 Mar09   (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 ★    
4  BAGE Feb26 Jan21       (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  AMES MISTER Apr28 Apr04 Mar24 Feb25 Jan29 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  ANGEL'S ENTRY May02         (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
TDN-5   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHACO SPIRIT Jan04         (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  CHROMED IMPULSE Apr28 Apr04 Mar18     (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 1.80 29% 2.40    
3  MASTER Apr28 Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb15 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 ★    
4  CRY MACHO Apr26 Mar13 Feb18 Feb11 Jan23 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 ★    
5  RELEASED Apr28         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  AT THE BEACH Apr28         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL BREW Mar16 Feb20 Jan21     (rini an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
2  BEER CHASER Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan08 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.50    
3  VERIFIED Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
4  BULLION Apr28 Apr09 Mar23 Mar05 Feb21 (calderon ivan)COLON H 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
5  GARRETT Apr28 Apr09 Mar24     (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  OPEN OUT         (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 ★    
7  BISCUITS AND GRITS May02 Apr11       (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
TDN-7   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR MABEE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  SAMMY'S SISTER         (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 Mar07 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
4  RAINBOW SHIP Apr27         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
5  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Apr28         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
6  CACKI Apr06         (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 8.00 ★    
7  SOLE FACTOR Apr16 Mar31 Feb19     (castro )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPY GILMORE Apr28 Apr06       (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY May04         (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
3  WORTHY OPPONENT Apr28         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 ★    
4  LINO'S KID Apr28 Apr06 Mar09 Feb18   (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  KEEPING SCORE Apr28 Mar21 Mar09 Jan22   (gorham )PILARES P 123 8.00 ★    
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  TRUE HERO         (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.