Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   05/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST MAARTEN GIRL Apr15 Mar30 Mar02     (vazquez juan )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  MEMENTO MI Apr20 Mar30 Mar02     (vazquez juan )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
GOODMORNING ANGEL Mar27 Feb06       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
DOLCE SERA Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Jan13   (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 13% 6.50    
HOP PICKER Feb12         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 0.60 36% 1.80    
GEOMETRIQUE         (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
BEL-2   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMI CAT LADY Apr22 Apr02 Feb21 Jan22   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
BELLS ON HER TOES Feb26 Feb04       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
QUEENTIGUA Apr02 Feb21 Feb12 Jan22 Jan02 (pringle edmun)CARDENAS LUIS 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
DUTCHESS OF N Y Apr22         (quick j)LUZZI J 125 6.00 7% 13.20    
GAME THEORY Apr22 Apr09 Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
SIMPLE SUGAR Apr22 Mar06 Feb12     (chapman jame)SAMUEL L 125 2.50    
 
BEL-3   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONATTHESPA Feb26 Feb12 Jan08     (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
1A  JUMPSTER Apr24 Apr07 Mar05     (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
SCR  STREET CULTURE Apr16 Mar13 Feb27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
MR. KRINGLE Feb27 Feb05 Jan14     (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.00 17% 4.90    
UNCLE CURLY May01 Mar06 Feb05 Jan15   (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
MASETA Apr23         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
COURAGEOOUS OH LA May02         (dixon k)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
BARREL OF QUESTS Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 Feb11   (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 6.00    
 
BEL-4   05/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABLETON Feb19 Jan08       (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
BE THE BOSS Jan31 Jan12       (hendriks richar)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOINTHEBACK Apr23 Mar31 Feb21 Feb12 Jan20 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
MY GAL VAL Mar19         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
MY INSPIRATION Mar31 Mar13 Feb12 Jan28   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SEAVER Apr22         (hil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
LORD BROWNIE Apr24 Mar31 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Apr23 Mar13       (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
ELECTROLYZER         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
10  RAW COURAGE Apr29 Mar18 Feb05 Jan09   (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 18.10    
11  SUIT OF ARMOR Apr25         (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
12  MISTER CHAIRMAN         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 Jan20   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DANCING WITH RICO Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Jan28   (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  MAKART Feb25         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
BEL-5   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Feb27 Jan02       (lucas bonnie)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
AFILADA Apr06 Feb18 Jan20     (falcone robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
U CANT HANDLE THIS Mar27         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
TEKILA         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
HEELS TOGETHER Feb03         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
SARATOGA COMMANDO         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
FLEUR ELYSE Jan28         (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
POSITIVE SUM Apr09         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
BEL-6   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING KUMBALAY Apr08 Mar04 Feb07 Jan09   (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUY LAND AND SEE Apr14 Feb03       (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
HIGH TIDE May06 Apr16 Feb04 Jan13   (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
PRICE TALK Apr09         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 6% 16.30    
ENID Apr02 Mar17 Feb16     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
EASY TIME Mar18         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER Apr21 Mar26 Feb04 Jan14   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
PRINCIPLED STAND (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.90    
SOULMATE Apr14         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
10  FAMISHED Apr14 Mar25 Feb20 Feb13 Feb03 (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
 
BEL-7   05/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTH ANNIVERSARY Jan19         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 7% 14.20    
AMALFI PRINCESS Apr08         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  BETSY BLUE Mar31 Mar18 Feb27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 13% 6.60    
BYE BYE         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HYDRA Apr23 Apr03 Feb10 Jan05   (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
BERNIE'S MISTRESS Mar12 Jan29       (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
MINAUN (IRE) Apr16         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  ELOQUENT SPEAKER Mar04 Jan02       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
TASS (GB)         (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
 
BEL-8   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUASAR Apr23 Jan17       (vazquez juan )ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
SWEET MIA Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 Jan16   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SHE'S A BLACK BELT         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
BUSTIN BAY Apr23 Mar26 Feb06 Jan02   (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.60 20% 3.90    
SCR  MOSIENKO Apr29 Apr03 Mar25 Feb27 Feb11 (lalma)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00    
SHADOLAMO Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 5.00    
 
BEL-9   05/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW YOU FEELING Mar13 Feb10       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
ADDICTED TO YOU Apr22 Jan22       (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
TWO DOWN         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
MISCHIEF MOGUL Apr02         (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8% 11.70    
CIVIL SERVICE Mar31         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jan16         (reynolds patr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
ON PALM SUNDAY         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00    
PEPPER KING Apr29 Mar18 Feb12     (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  MOON HUNTER Apr23         (hemingway mic)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
10  RESERVATION Mar11 Feb13       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLD BULLION Mar19         (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
12  TIZ SNOW         (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  BUSTIN UP Jan01         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  KINGSTOWN Apr02         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  HEREBY Apr08         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00    
SCR  GOT THE GOLD Apr16 Feb27 Jan06     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.