Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO BERBS Apr12 Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  BARITONE Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb26 Jan12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
SCR  SALT MINE Apr24 Apr05 Jan26     (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  VINNY BOY Apr25         (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE Apr25 Mar16 Mar07 Feb28 Jan14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  OPEN OUT         (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   05/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NELL'S BELLS Apr09 Mar10 Feb22 Feb01 Jan21 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 9% 9.90    
2  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Apr27 Apr03 Mar09 Jan30   (barnes ba)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00 ★    
3  SURPRISED GEM Apr09 Apr02 Mar22 Mar16 Feb23 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  MY TOMMY LEE Apr11 Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Jan23 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  IMA SURE BET Apr27 Apr02 Mar14     (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
6  CORRESPONDER Apr26 Mar18 Feb11     (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  KITCHEN TABLE         (kobiskie da)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDING IN THE WIND Apr27         (hall j)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
2  IT'S A MANS WORLD Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Jan24 Jan11 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 ★    
SCR  BUCKITITLEWAVE Apr04 Mar16 Mar08 Feb19 Jan24 (tumblin a)CORREA L 119 20.00 9% 10.40    
4  SCHMULTZY May02         (jackson james )COLON H 119 8.00 13% 6.40    
5  INSPIRED TO ROCK Apr06 Feb26 Feb15 Jan11   (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
SCR  CAPTAIN RILEY Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb26 Feb15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  GRAD BASH Apr06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
TDN-4   05/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOM THE BOMB Mar25 Feb23       (estvanko richa)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  FOREST CHATTER Apr27 Apr05 Mar07 Feb01 Jan14 (johnson g)CORREA L 118 4.50 ★    
3  BUBBA         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00    
4  AWESOME ANYWHERE Apr13 Feb26 Jan09     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 128 1.80 32% 2.10    
5  SIGNS OF GREATNESS         (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 113 12.00 ★    
SCR  BIG TRIP Apr28 Apr16 Apr04 Mar16 Mar05 (su)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113 3.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-5   05/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Apr11 Mar22 Feb26 Feb15 Jan14 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  ROSAS WAY May04 Apr11 Mar19 Mar01 Feb14 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00    
SCR  GILES Apr18 Apr11 Mar22 Mar10 Jan12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  VENETIAN DREAM Apr28 Apr09 Mar23 Mar07   (bailey ricardo)COLON H 119 8.00    
SCR  BUCKY Mar31 Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRIKE A BEAT Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Feb11 Jan08 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 1.60 ★    
6  OFTEN ENOUGH Apr27 Apr16 Apr09 Mar16 Mar07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET OUTLOOK Apr26 Apr16       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Apr16 Mar26       (urieta johanna)COLON H 119 4.50 ★    
3  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Apr25 Jan31 Jan22     (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 7% 13.20    
4  IAMGOINGTOSHINE         (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  PAYTON PRETTY Feb28 Jan31 Jan15     (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 ★    
6  DISCREET ENERGY Apr11 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan25 (yoder d)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00    
SCR  ANGEL WINGS Feb19 Jan22 Jan08     (flores )PILARES P 115 8.00    
SCR  COSTUME JEWELRY Jan25         (suarez javier)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00    
 
TDN-7   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENNY M May02         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  WILDCAT BILL Apr13 Mar22 Mar05     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  QUIET AMIGO Apr26 Mar21 Mar02 Feb14   (zielinski rich)COLON H 123 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  JIMTOWN Apr25         (he)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  CORNER OFFICE Apr25         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.00 17% 4.90    
6  FUNNY BACHELOR Apr27 Apr02 Mar16 Feb22 Jan19 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00 ★    
7  SUSIE'S KID         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
TDN-8   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Apr25 Mar26       (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00    
2  PRICEY APPEAL Apr25 Mar15 Feb26 Jan25 Jan08 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 20.00    
3  PROPHETESS Apr25         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 5.00    
SCR  CAN I GO TOO Apr25 Feb26 Jan25     (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 ★    
5  HOSANNA Apr25 Feb19 Jan22     (johnson g)CORREA L 115 3.50 13% 7.00    
6  NEXT GENERATION Feb19 Jan24       (cowans d)RIVERA R 115 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  BAY MAGIC Apr25 Mar23 Mar02 Jan31   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr25 Apr12 Mar23     (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.