Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Thursday - May 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVA LOVES A FIGHT Mar31 Feb05       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 1.60 52% 0.90    
ALITE Apr14 Mar19 Feb18 Feb03   (pri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 5.00 14% 6.00    
MAD DOCTOR Apr03         (lugov)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 10.00    
MARSHAL DILLON Apr16         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 6.00    
PLATINUM ROAD Mar13         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
TUESDAY'S CHILD Apr03 Feb13 Jan02     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 125 2.50    
DISENGAGE Mar31         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 9% 10.60    
 
BEL-2   05/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM SHOOTER Mar13 Feb13 Jan14     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 7% 12.80    
FORTY COMETS Apr01 Feb26 Jan14     (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
CENTAVO Apr07 Mar11 Mar05     (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Mar06 Feb11 Jan09     (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00    
TOP OF THE MINT         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
LIFE CHANGER Apr01 Feb19       (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 66% 0.50    
 
BEL-3   05/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($96K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY UNDER Mar26 Feb19 Jan22     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50    
SCR  ZOOMER Mar26 Feb26 Jan23     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.00    
IT'S A GAMBLE Apr09         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
SAFE CONDUCT Mar05         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT Apr21 Mar20 Feb04     (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SIFTING SANDS (GB)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
KINENOS         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
DEVAMANI (FR) Mar26 Feb05       (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.60 49% 1.10    
 
BEL-4   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUEBELIEVE Apr08 Mar20 Feb25     (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 60% 0.70    
DOUBLEPOUR Mar19 Feb25       (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
BRUNATE Apr01 Mar05 Jan02     (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  SCORPION DYNASTY Feb19 Feb03 Jan09     (clarke dyla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
IRISH GIANT Mar20 Feb25 Jan20 Jan09   (rice linda)HARKIE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
TALE OF MINESHAFT Apr24 Feb13 Feb03     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
QUINTARELLI Jan09         (henry neville)FUENTES ERICK 111 15.00    
 
BEL-5   05/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDBISCUIT Apr13 Mar02 Jan16     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
EL MAYOR Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Feb05   (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
SCR  PURPLE HEARTED Apr10 Jan16       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50    
LOADED JOE         (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SPECTATORLESS Apr16 Mar26 Feb26     (pringle edmun)CARDENAS LUIS 121 12.00    
BE HERE Apr27         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Apr10 Mar25 Jan14     (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
FRONT MAN         (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
GREAT WORKOUT Apr16 Mar19 Feb05 Jan20   (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 8% 11.30    
 
BEL-6   05/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARPOON Mar20         (fisher linda)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SUKOON Apr01         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 10% 9.50    
CAPONE Feb03         (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
BREAKWATER Apr03         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
SHREVEPORT         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
MUGGED         (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
BALTASAR Apr10 Mar13       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
BEL-7   05/05/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY BODE Apr24 Apr07 Jan28     (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY Apr14 Mar19       (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
JUULSTONE Mar04 Feb19       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
SCR  GANDY DANCING Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27   (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
DANCING BUCK Apr07         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00 18% 4.70    
SUPPLY AND DEMAND Feb12         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
KAWHI ME A RIVER         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 11% 8.50    
YES AND YES         (donk davi)VARGAS A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
POWER AGENDA         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
10  HIGH FRONT Apr07 Jan28       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN Feb12 Jan08       (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 125 3.50    
 
BEL-8   05/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A BIT O'IRISH SASS Apr08 Feb27       (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
BRATTLE HOUSE         (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 56% 0.80    
PAY GRADE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
WITCH HUNTER (FR) Mar26 Feb25       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN null      
OK HONEY Mar26 Feb13 Jan02     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
SCR  WAILIN JOSIE Apr08 Feb27 Feb13 Jan08   (jerkens steve)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (baker cha)VARGAS A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-9   05/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($92K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL CITY Mar26 Jan30       (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
BRON AND BROW Mar12 Feb17 Jan14     (casse ma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
NAPOLEONIC WAR Apr08 Jan21       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
HEAT'S ON ZAP Apr10 Mar18       (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Apr23 Feb11 Jan01     (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
PARQUETRY Feb12 Jan02       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
QUALITY G Apr02 Feb12       (pletcher )VARGAS A 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
TREASURE KING Mar27 Feb25       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Apr08 Feb05 Jan01     (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
10  MACKILLOP Mar27         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
11  SKYLANDER Apr16 Feb25 Jan15     (mott i)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
12  DAUNT         (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH Mar20 Mar05 Feb03     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  ONE MORE SCORE Apr08 Mar28 Mar02 Feb06   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  GOOD SKATE Apr08 Feb25 Jan27     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.