Handicappers' Racing Form
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Rillito
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
RIL-3   03/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P KRYPTON Mar05 Feb14 Jan22     (blea jr)OSUNA JESUS 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  MEXICAN DREAM Mar08         (silva pa)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  SCRATCH ME Mar05 Feb01       (ybarra rudy)PRECIADO A 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  WHISPERING FLAME Mar06 Feb14 Jan10     (crotts jim)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 ★    
5  THE LAST CHARLIE Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 Jan25 Jan11 (blea jr)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
 
RIL-4   03/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A SPEED BOMB Mar10 Jan18       (kubinova elisk)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 ★    
2  CANT DO THE DANSE Mar13         (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 2.50 9% 10.40    
3  READY TO FORGIVE Feb09 Jan13       (espinoz)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  MARQUE IT UP Feb25 Feb17 Feb03 Jan26 Jan11 (tsosie terril)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  BAJA BRIDGE Mar06 Feb27       (hernandez dan)SCRIVER L 126 4.00 ★    
 
RIL-5   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S C NOTE Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan17   (madrigal elodi)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00    
2  BRETT Feb27 Feb02 Jan11     (magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  MR VIEW Feb26 Feb02 Jan21 Jan13   (silva pa)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  ROCKET POWER Feb27         (simpson shannon)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
5  MUSKYMAN Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan10 (tsosie terril)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00 ★    
6  BROZILIAN (BRZ)         (tsosie terrill)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 ★    
 
RIL-6   03/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE FLOYD         (espinoz)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  CONQUEST MOONMAD Mar12 Mar06       (alcoverde ernesto)LULL E 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  CAPTAIN RED Mar04 Feb15 Jan19     (simpson shanno)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00    
4  BLUE GESSAMI Feb27 Feb16 Jan14     (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 121 2.50 ★    
5  RED CHARGER Feb27 Jan11       (crotts jim)KING MCKENZIE 126 8.00    
6  TRASK Jan07         (mckinney kyndr)LARSON SHAWNDA 126 15.00    
7  FLYCATCHER Mar13 Feb27 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (blea jr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  NIZAMDCARCHY         (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00    
SCR  OLD TOY Feb18 Feb02       (williams dewe)SCRIVER L 121 5.00 ★    
 
RIL-7   03/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI BRAVA Feb18 Feb08 Jan19 Jan08   (silva pa)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  PRINCESS SUGEITH Mar06         (salazar michelle)OSUNA JESUS 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  DYNAMIC WOMAN Mar01 Feb15 Jan08     (wheeler trav)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
SCR  SOLA Feb16 Jan20 Jan12     (kubinova elisk)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
5  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Mar05 Feb24 Jan30 Jan16   (simpson shanno)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 ★    
6  MORE THAN PEGASUS         (mitchell r)LARSEN S 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.