Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Rillito
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RIL-3   03/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P KRYPTON Mar05 Feb14 Jan22     (blea jr)OSUNA JESUS 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
MEXICAN DREAM Mar08         (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCRATCH ME Mar05 Feb01       (ybarra rud)PRECIADO A 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
WHISPERING FLAME Mar06 Feb14 Jan10     (crotts jim)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00    
THE LAST CHARLIE Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 Jan25 Jan11 (blea jr)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
 
RIL-4   03/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A SPEED BOMB Mar10 Jan18       (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00    
CANT DO THE DANSE Mar13         (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 2.50 9% 10.40    
READY TO FORGIVE Feb09 Jan13       (espin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80 38% 1.60    
MARQUE IT UP Feb25 Feb17 Feb03 Jan26 Jan11 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 4.50 32% 2.10    
BAJA BRIDGE Mar06 Feb27       (hernandez d)SCRIVER L 126 4.00    
 
RIL-5   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S C NOTE Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan17   (madrigal elo)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00    
BRETT Feb27 Feb02 Jan11     (magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
MR VIEW Feb26 Feb02 Jan21 Jan13   (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
ROCKET POWER Feb27         (simpson shann)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
MUSKYMAN Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan10 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00    
BROZILIAN (BRZ)         (tsosie terri)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00    
 
RIL-6   03/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE FLOYD         (espin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 6.00    
SCR  CONQUEST MOONMAD Mar12 Mar06       (alcoverde ernesto)LULL E 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
CAPTAIN RED Mar04 Feb15 Jan19     (simpson shan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00    
BLUE GESSAMI Feb27 Feb16 Jan14     (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 121 2.50    
RED CHARGER Feb27 Jan11       (crotts jim)KING MCKENZIE 126 8.00    
TRASK Jan07         (mckinney kyn)LARSON SHAWNDA 126 15.00    
FLYCATCHER Mar13 Feb27 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (blea jr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  NIZAMDCARCHY         (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00    
SCR  OLD TOY Feb18 Feb02       (williams de)SCRIVER L 121 5.00    
 
RIL-7   03/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI BRAVA Feb18 Feb08 Jan19 Jan08   (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
PRINCESS SUGEITH Mar06         (salazar michell)OSUNA JESUS 124 2.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC WOMAN Mar01 Feb15 Jan08     (wheeler tr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
SCR  SOLA Feb16 Jan20 Jan12     (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Mar05 Feb24 Jan30 Jan16   (simpson shan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50    
MORE THAN PEGASUS         (mitchell r)LARSEN S 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.