Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   03/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TIGER Jan18         (olivas-valenzuel)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Feb10 Jan26       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50    
COASTLINE SERMON Feb10 Jan20 Jan04     (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
APPROVED         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
UPPER ROOM Feb14 Jan31       (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
TIZ MANNY Feb17 Jan20 Jan11     (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-2   03/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT Jan31 Jan14 Jan03     (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50    
SMOKIN ENCOUNTER         (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
MAJOR MUNNINGS Feb01         (schnell don)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
KING LEBRON Feb02         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 7% 14.10    
HUNTINGTONS RITHM Feb08 Jan27       (gleason m)MAWING A 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
J SERINO Jan10         (george cynthia)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
SHARK HARBOR Feb07 Jan26       (magrady rona)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-3   03/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVINA LANE Jan28         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 49% 1.00    
WHOS DALLINS DADDY Feb08         (gleason m)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
SCR  D VON TAE Jan20         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
EZ GUESS         (dennis)FLETCHER D 121 5.00    
RES IPSA LOQUITUR Feb08         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.50    
DRISKILL Feb08 Jan13       (villamar candela)MAWING A 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
SILVERBULLITBADGER Jan28 Jan13       (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 7% 13.70    
 
TUP-4   03/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARLEY STREET Jan26         (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
CHEF Feb09 Jan26 Jan11     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
LIL LATIGO Feb09 Jan24 Jan11     (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00    
FORGOTABOUTME         (woolley be)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
I AM ALLTHATYOUARE Feb10 Jan26 Jan10     (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
ROYAL SEEKER Feb14 Jan26 Jan11     (fu)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
SUCCESS RATE Feb08 Jan18       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
 
TUP-5   03/01/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA Jan27 Jan04       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 13% 7.00    
LADY JADE Feb18 Jan19 Jan04     (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
MICKEY DOBBS Feb09         (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
TOSSAPENNYDOWN Jan10         (score rober)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00    
SPECIAL LESSON Feb10 Jan04       (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
SCR  LEMON DROP TINI Jan19         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Feb11 Jan16       (si)DA FAUSTO 118 3.00 7% 13.20    
SPINNING PLATES Feb08         (wong jonat)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 4.00    
 
TUP-6   03/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING BLURS Feb14 Jan14       (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
FINISHED MY P H D Jan14         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY FUNNY GAL Jan20         (simpson shannon)LULL E 124 4.50    
BULLICIOUS Feb02 Jan14       (sc)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
MY LITTLE RIVER         (williams de)SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
TOTHEMOONANDBACK Feb16 Jan27 Jan12     (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 4.00    
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI Feb11         (carrete j)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
C C THE BARTENDER Feb08 Jan17       (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
STREET FLYER Feb03 Jan14       (silva l)CRUZ M 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-7   03/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. FIREBALL Feb15 Feb03 Jan07     (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
GREAT ULYSSES Feb10         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
MAJESTIC CAFE Feb15 Jan26 Jan17     (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
LOVER BOY BOB Jan31 Jan10       (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00    
BLOW MY MIND Feb08         (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
MARK YE WELL Jan27         (brown jared)MAWING A 122 15.00 9% 9.90    
THE METAL MAN Feb15 Jan18 Jan05     (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
CLUB CHAMP Feb16 Jan18       (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 122 12.00    
MOUNTAIN SPIRIT Feb18 Jan18       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
10  KING PARKER Feb18 Jan18 Jan05     (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/01/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL VELOCITY Feb07 Jan10       (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
BY MOONLIGHT Feb07 Jan15 Jan08     (mitchell r)LARSEN S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ABANDONED Jan10         (sharp j)ZUNINO L 124 20.00    
BODEGA Jan28         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Feb14 Jan04       (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
QUINTO SOL Feb07 Jan05       (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
AUTISM SAVANT Feb10 Jan19 Jan05     (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Feb07 Jan17 Jan03     (essex charles)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
COLONEL MIKE Feb14 Feb02       (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 10% 9.00    
10  BLUES RAPPER Feb07 Jan28 Jan20 Jan05   (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  DON WITH THE WIND Feb14 Jan04       (dennison da)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
SCR  NOT NECESSARILY Feb14 Feb04       (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.