Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(3/7/4)-(7/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(7/3/6)-(5/3/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5/3/2/8)-(2/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/8)-(2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/8)-(2/4/8)-(1/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/7/3/8)-(2/4/7/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(1/3/4/7)-(5/4/1/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/7)-(5/4/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/7)-(5/4/1/7/10)-(2/9/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7/10)-(5/4/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7/10)-(5/4/1/7/10)-(5/4/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7/10)-(2/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/7/10)-(2/9/5/4)-(6/9/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/5/6/4)-(2/9/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/5/4)-(6/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPTURED DARLING Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Jan18 Jan07 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50    
QUEEN OF CHILL Feb18 Jun14 May02 Mar23 Mar12 (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
SLEW CROWN Mar01 Feb18 Jan30 Nov22 Sep17 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
NOVELLIE Jan25 Jan07 May04 Apr23 Apr26 (aguayo ra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 10.00    
BAND SWEETHEART Feb25 Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 (cudworth paul)GIL CIPRIANO 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
MT. D'ORO Feb27 Feb12 Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 (simone v)LEON SONNY 122 1.80 60% 0.70    
SCR  CALENDULA Feb21 Oct15 Jul09 Jun18 May19 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
 
TAM-2   03/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. HOOLIGAN Feb07 Jan09 Dec06 Oct24 Sep17 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 3.50    
SCR  BEAU CHEVAL Feb05         (sacco gr)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
PASS AND GO         (walden william)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
POWER WRENCH Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 Jan14 Dec26 (mendieta ale)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE LAST BULLET Feb21 Feb05 Jan09 Nov02 Sep28 (shaw christoph)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.00    
CHINGU Dec12 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 (rountree )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 8.00    
THE MAGIC SPEED         (mazza w)SERPA ANGEL 119 15.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-3   03/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY COME EASY GO Mar01 Jan16 Jan07 Dec03 Apr05 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Feb18 Jan30 Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 118 12.00    
CLOUD STORAGE Feb14 Jan18 Jan02 Oct16 Oct02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 16% 5.10    
BLUE FASHION Feb18 Feb08 Jan24 Sep07 Aug14 (sacco d)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
THREE RUN BOLT Feb18 Jan30 Jan18 Jan02 Dec17 (vargas a)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00    
BRAMBLE BUSH Feb25 Feb12 Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LONG GONE SALLY Feb07 Jan18 Dec26 Dec12 Nov22 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
TAM-4   03/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINSANITY Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Nov29 Oct18 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Jan17 Dec27 Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 12% 7.30    
JUST RELAX Feb18 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec17 (simone micha)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
SWEN Feb18 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec20 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 118 12.00    
PAYNTED WARRIOR Feb18 Jan23 Jan03 Nov29 Mar29 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
ARROGANCY Jan07 Nov26 Aug23 Jun21 May29 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
UNDALAY Feb11 Dec31 Nov29 Oct09 Sep20 (harris w)FERRER C 118 5.00    
HARPER'S AFLEET Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 Dec26 Nov19 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   03/11/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE FROM KIEV Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 Dec12 (curto bever)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
JACK KEROUAC Feb27 Oct24 Sep14 Aug17 Aug01 (amaya gu)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 61% 0.70    
MAXIMATCH Dec26 Nov19 Oct04 Aug22 Aug10 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
MAGIC HEART Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 8% 10.90    
WINE COLLECTOR Jul04 May31 Apr27 Mar06 Feb02 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
DIAL HIM UP Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 30.00    
TRACKSTER Feb20 Jan25 Dec31 Nov26 Oct19 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
GOD WITH US Feb14 Jan31 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (mendieta alej)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
OVERHAUL Feb20 Jan30 Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINANT DIVA Jan23 Nov24 Oct31 Sep13 Dec19 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
TOP POCKET PICK Feb14 Jan30 Nov22 Sep28 Aug31 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
GLORIOUS LADY Feb04 Jan23 Jan04 Dec05 Oct08 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
HOT DANCE Feb04 Jan16 Dec26 Dec10 Sep06 (becker s)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  ATHENA'S WISDOM May04 Mar30 Mar09 Feb14 Jan12 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 6.00    
PRAYED FOR GIRL Feb20 Jan30 Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 (dobber arnoud)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
GRIDLOCK Feb14 Jan03 Dec06 Oct29 Sep20 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
MERRY MADISON Feb19 Nov28 Nov06 Oct04 Aug31 (bauer a)LEON SONNY 118 3.50    
 
TAM-7   03/11/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. FUNTASTICO Feb22 Feb05 Sep28 Sep14 Jul31 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
SULION Feb22 Mar16 Nov01     (rizo juan)ALONSO LUIS 122 4.50    
SKYBREAKER Feb22 Jan18 Dec17     (rivera francisco)FERRER C 122 30.00    
RED SKY MORNING Jan21 Dec13 Apr23 Mar29 Mar09 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
CONN SMYTHE (GB) Mar01 Feb06 Jan15 Dec28 Oct30 (tharrenos wi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
COMMANDER'S COIN Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Oct22 Oct02 (paterno robe)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
NICOLE'S WILL Feb05 Oct15 Oct01 Aug11 Jul04 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 8% 12.30    
SILVER PUNCH Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Oct07 (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 8.00    
FLAMEFIRE Feb22 Feb06 Jan30 Jan11 Jan02 (morzan j)MARTINEZ A 122 30.00    
10  EFFICACY Jan21 Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 Oct19 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RESURGO         (gardea abrah)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 15.00    
SCR  VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Feb22 Jan31 Jan07 Mar15 Mar01 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SCR  DOMINATOR C. Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug24 (baez ralph )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
SCR  AMERICA LIVES Aug12 Aug14 Jun20     (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/11/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR ABOVE Jan30 Jan04 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 (dobber arnoud)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Apr18 (avila ju)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
TERRIE T Feb18 Feb04 Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 (lusk r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
HIT SONG Feb14 Jan21 Jan04 Dec27 Dec10 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANNA JEAN Feb21 Feb08 Jan24 Jan02 Dec17 (gardea abrah)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SECURITYLIGHTNING Feb27 Jan30 Jan02 Sep06 Jul27 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 6.00    
QUEEN DIANA Feb21 Feb01 Dec27 Nov22 Oct19 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 123 20.00    
SPUN TO PURFECTION Feb21 Feb08 Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
CHILL BEAN Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 Dec11 Oct25 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
10  PRINCESS NORMA Feb21 Feb08 Jan02 Nov22 Sep26 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
SCR  HIGH HEARTS Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Jan02 Dec17 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.00    
SCR  SOHO NIGHTS Feb27 Nov04 Oct22 Sep15 Aug07 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
 
TAM-9   03/11/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR QUEEN Jan09 Dec20 Nov03 Sep28 Aug13 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 119 8.00    
JUNTA Feb05 Jan16 May14 Apr12 Apr02 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
HURRY UP HANNAH Aug08 Jun26 May01 Mar20 Feb14 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  LADY CHA CHA Jan10 Dec27 Nov01 Oct04 Jul12 (cazares )GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
EXPLOSIVE LADY Feb07 Jan07 Oct23 Sep30 Jun04 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
RUGELACH Jan10 Nov19 Aug16 Jul31 Sep08 (wilensky sam)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
MAKE THE BOYS WINK Nov28 Oct09 Aug30 Nov28 Jul28 (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 5.00    
TRUE SPUN Feb07 Jan07 Sep27 Aug30 Jul17 (o'connell k)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
ACCENT (GB) Feb01 Apr23       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.