Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 18, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(1/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/4/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/8)-(1/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/8)-(1/4/2/7)-(5/7/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(5/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(5/7/2/8)-(4/1/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(4/1/6/3)-(6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/10/3)-(4/1/6/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(6/3/1)-(2/8/10/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(2/8/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(2/8/10/12)-(6/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/8/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/12)-(2/8/10/12/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/12)-(2/8/10/12/3)-(2/8/10/12/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/10/12)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/10/12)-(6/4/5)-(8/5/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(8/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/9)-(8/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/9)-(8/5/2/9)-(8/5/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/18/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTERLITHIC Dec06         (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
RUNTOWN Jan07 Dec19 Nov29     (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 4.50    
MEMORY OF MY LIFE         (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOLA'S ROMANCE         (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST HATHOR         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
DUCHESS ELEANOR Dec31 Dec06 Oct25 Oct03   (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 1.00 50% 1.00    
THE BEASTER BUNNY Nov23         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
 
TAM-2   01/18/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY FREE BIRD Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BRAMBLE BUSH Jan11 Dec26 Dec05 Oct17 Oct03 (baez ralph)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 109 10.00    
POLA OF TROUBLE Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 Aug22 Jul17 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
CAPTURED DARLING Jan07 Dec05 Oct10 Sep06 Aug23 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
VIKING QUEEN Dec26 Nov26 Oct18 Sep25 Aug20 (cahill steven )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
MIA'S ANGEL Jan09 Nov26 Sep10 Aug16 Jul24 (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
THREE RUN BOLT Jan02 Dec17 Nov26 Oct17 Aug31 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
CHARLIE'S BEAUTY Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep19 Aug10 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN ATLAS Jan04 Dec19 Nov19 Oct14 Oct02 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 2.50    
 
TAM-3   01/18/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYIKOS Dec31 Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 Jul17 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.50    
COMMANDER'S COIN Oct22 Oct02 Jun19 May26 May13 (paterno t)HESS SARA 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
R MARKOVICH Nov22         (cordero-lopez al)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
KANTHAROS JR Dec31 Dec17 Jun22 Mar23 Feb09 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
METAL CHURCH Jan07 Dec03 Oct17     (crook-de)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
SKYBREAKER Dec17         (rivera francisco)FERRER C 120 20.00    
GRAN CORREDOR Dec17 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26   (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ST JOE HARBOR Feb18         (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/18/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLEBRUCERULES Dec13         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
IKNOWYOUCANWAIT Nov30 Nov01 Oct11     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
JUST A FLAME Dec31 Dec10       (gonzalez lui)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
CHANCE ON ME Jan04 Dec26 Dec12 Oct25 Oct12 (bacallao-veg)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
WIN WINNIE WIN Jan09 Dec13 Nov01 Sep28   (avila carl)CENTENO E 119 1.00 35% 1.90    
SILENT TONE Dec26 Nov29       (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
NET PROFIT Dec31         (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
PARTY BOY         (mendieta)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/18/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FITZ RIGHT Nov06 Sep20 Aug15     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 12% 7.10    
Y'ALLREADYFORTHIS Dec06 Oct25 Oct02 Aug06   (gardea abrah)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
GO MISCHIEVOUS Oct11 Sep18 Jul18 Jul03   (lawrence james)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
THANKFULNESS (IRE) Dec06         (clement migue)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
WINE PARTY Oct16 Sep24 Aug31     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
MOBELLADREAM Dec20 Nov10 Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLOWKO Dec20 Dec06 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 (miller c)FERRER C 118 12.00    
FLY LIFE Dec20 Oct25 Sep12     (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
RADAR LOOP Nov23 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01   (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 10.00    
10  I'VE GOT THE HONEY Aug31 Aug16 Jul20     (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
SCR  TREMONT TAMMY Dec06 Sep06 Aug17     (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  VANISH Jan01 Nov29 Nov01     (casse mark)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN BEACH Jan08 Dec04 Nov16 Jul27 Jul11 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
 
TAM-6   01/18/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGUST RAIN Dec04 Oct04 Aug23 Aug04 Jul01 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 21% 3.90    
OUTOFTHEDARK Dec06 Sep06 Aug21 Aug09 Jul09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
TODDCHERO Dec12 Oct15 Sep19 Aug11 Jul28 (ward dennis)CENTENO E 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
GARAMOND Jul25 Jun14 Apr27 Mar01 Jan25 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.00    
SCR  VIRGINIA CITY Nov16 Sep14 Aug17 Jul04 May25 (alvarado )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 12.00    
TWILIGHT DANCER Dec13 Oct20 Sep19 Aug11 Jul21 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-7   01/18/2026 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARIZONA TERRITORY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAFE AMERICANO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RESOLUTE Aug15         (clement migue)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by AMERICAN CHANCE out of FILLE WOLF by WOLF POWER (SAF))
MO BEACH TIME Sep18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul05   (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
SCR  KOTLIKOFF Dec26 Nov08 Sep26     (mott i)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
  (by TACITUS out of DEAN HENRY by EMPIRE MAKER)
D REMBRANDT Dec12         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of TAP TAP TAPAROO by TAPIT)
LANDING FORCE Dec26 Nov29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug08 (wilson tony)FERRER C 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RED ROBE by NATHANIEL)
MO ACTION Dec10         (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NIKKI'S CHOICE by FORESTRY)
NAVIGATION         (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by SONGANDAPRAYER out of TRAIPSING by STROLL)
LIKENESS Nov07 Oct16 Aug07     (mcgaughey clau)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of GUCCI GULCH by GULCH)
10  UNDERTAKER Dec31 Dec06 Oct23 Oct11 Sep06 (ramos ben)CASTANON L 119 15.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GRAND SLAM out of SUDDEN DEATH by NORTHERN JOVE)
11  WAYSTAR         (motion h)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WESTIT by TAPIT)
12  RIPMAN Dec31         (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZIPMAN out of RIPROARING by SCAT DADDY)
 
TAM-8   01/18/2026 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ROMANCE Jan03 Dec20 Dec10 Oct15 Sep25 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 121 6.00    
CLOUD STORAGE Jan02 Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 Aug20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
AWESOME PIC Dec26 Nov26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 (hernandez enri)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
LONG GONE SALLY Dec26 Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
MI AMORE Sep20 Aug30 Jun28 Jun05 May09 (garcia pedro)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET NOLA Dec13 Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 Aug19 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
ICE QUEEN Oct03 Sep10 Jul03 Jun04 Apr02 (alessi james)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
FULLMOONMAGIC Jan02 Dec05 Aug26 Oct12 Sep15 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
 
TAM-9   01/18/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNTACTIC Jan04 Dec17 Nov15 Oct26 Sep25 (escobar mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Oct23 Oct02 (granitz antho)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCHNITTKER Jan03 Oct23 Sep29 Aug19 Aug05 (guciardo kath)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Dec27 Dec13 Nov19 Jul05 Apr19 (bennett s)HESS SARA 119 8.00    
CUPID'S DUDE Dec27 Dec17 Nov28 Oct08 Sep01 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
VENIK Dec26 Oct16 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 (rice kevin)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
POWER ATTACK Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50    
ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Dec27 Nov29 Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
URANIUM Jan03 Dec10 Nov28 Nov02 Aug30 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK Dec17 Nov03 Oct07 Sep20 Aug31 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.00    
SCR  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Dec17 Oct07 Sep19 Jan18 Dec28 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Nov19 Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 Jun15 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  MAX SWAGGER Nov26 Oct02 Sep14 Jun06 Apr12 (rose orlando)GIL CIPRIANO 119 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN UNITY Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.