Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (4/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/7)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/7)-(2/6/1)-(4/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/9/7/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5)-(4/9/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(4/9/7/5/6)-(1/8/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/9/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/5/6)-(4/9/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/5/6)-(4/9/7/5/6)-(4/9/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/7/5/6)-(1/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/5/6)-(1/8/3/7)-(8/6/11/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/5/7)-(1/8/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/3/7)-(8/6/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/7)-(8/6/11/10)-(9/14/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/6/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/11/10)-(8/6/11/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/11/10)-(8/6/11/10/7)-(8/6/11/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/11/10)-(9/14/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/11/10)-(9/14/7/8)-(4/9/1/8/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/14/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/14/7/8)-(9/14/7/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/14/7/8)-(9/14/7/8/11)-(9/14/7/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/14/7/8)-(4/9/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/14/7/8)-(4/9/1/8/10)-(3/6/13/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/9/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/1/8/10)-(3/6/13/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/6/13/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/13/1)-(3/6/13/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/13/1)-(3/6/13/1/5)-(3/6/13/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/17/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASTEN Dec05 Oct18 Oct02 Sep03 Aug20 (ward dennis)MARTINEZ R 118 6.00    
HARPER'S AFLEET Dec26 Nov19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
PRINSIPITO Jan11 Dec26 Dec12 Dec03 Oct29 (quinones r)MEJIAS A 111 20.00    
COERCIVE Dec26 Nov19 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 (ors)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 1.50 43% 1.30    
INSANITY IT SEEMS Oct26 Sep27 Jul05 Jun12 May15 (narvaez c)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 8.00 7% 13.10    
STAR OF ABRAHAM Dec26 Nov26 Sep20 Aug31 Jul23 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00    
BOURBON STREET BOY Nov19 Nov02 Aug31 Jul27 Jul06 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOILY Dec31 Sep21       (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
STYLET Nov06 Aug26 Oct10 Sep20   (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 122 1.20 72% 0.40    
LA DAMA DE HIERRO Dec31         (hernandez enrique)TORRES R 122 20.00    
LOVE THAT GAL Dec31 Dec19 Dec03 Nov22 Sep05 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 122 2.00    
MAGGIES BREW Dec31 Jul12 Jun21 May31 Mar28 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 4.50    
DEB'S SEA BREEZE Dec31 Dec03 Oct26 May04 Apr25 (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST BOTTLE Sep14         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
HAPPY JACK EXPRESS Dec24         (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
CALL SHADD Apr08 Mar08       (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 25% 3.10    
AEONIAN Dec17 Aug22       (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 2.00 39% 1.60    
NORTH SHIP Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun16 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
XIAO LONG Jan02 Dec13 Aug13     (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
NEOSTAR Nov29 Apr18 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 (davis n)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN GUNNER Dec19 Nov22 Sep14 Aug16 Jul03 (mazza joseph)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
JUST RELAX Jan03 Dec17 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
BLACK CANDY Dec26 Nov25 Nov04 Oct19 Oct01 (tom)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00    
KEIGS Nov13 Oct28 Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
LACE UP Jan04 Dec03 Nov08 Oct18 Aug30 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
OLD TOWN ROAD Jan03 Nov19 Jun30 Jun02 Apr19 (waltke e)HESS SARA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Jan03 Dec24 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 14% 6.40    
GOWOKEGOBROKE Dec27 Aug22 Jul10 Jun02 Apr23 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Dec27 Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-5   01/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT PRINCE Nov29 Aug31 Jul19 Nov01 Oct06 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
WOW WHATA PARTY Dec05 Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 Aug13 (lawrence james)GIL CIPRIANO 119 30.00    
JOURNEYMAN Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CABLE READY Nov06 Oct11 Sep13 Aug10 Jul11 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 10.00    
ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Dec05 Apr24 Feb06 Nov09 Oct03 (mott william )MORALES PABLO 119 4.00    
FREEDOM PRINCIPLE Dec24 Nov27 Oct24 Sep12 Jan31 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 119 20.00    
HEATHGUARD Dec13 Nov28 Sep12 Feb08 Jan18 (lerman s)CENTENO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FORGED STEEL Dec06 Oct19 Sep06 Aug02 Jul04 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  AUGUST RAIN Dec04 Oct04 Aug23 Aug04 Jul01 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
10  SOLIWAY (FR)         (belsoeur yvo)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
11  MO TRUMP Dec24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep13 Aug10 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
12  TOK TOK Dec24 Oct24 Mar30 Mar09 Nov03 (motion h)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
 
TAM-6   01/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND MESSA Dec20 Nov29 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
PAPA KATZ Dec27 Dec10 Nov29 Sep23 Sep01 (gray chris)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 30.00    
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Oct30 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul24 (martinez)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Jan03 Dec10 Nov29 Oct11 Sep10 (ward dennis)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 8.00    
MENDELLO Jan07 Oct17 Sep20 Sep03 May13 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
SUPER TIZ Jan11 Dec20 Dec03 Oct18 Oct01 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
SWEN Jan03 Dec20 Sep07 Jul27 Jun15 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 118 2.50    
DONTBESOOGROUCHY Dec20 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 Jul06 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
AWESOME ENTRY Jan03 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Aug01 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
10  DAVID'S SONGS Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Jun24 Jun10 (gray christop)MORALES ANGEL 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
11  DEVILISH DESIRE Dec20 Nov29 Oct06 Sep24 Sep10 (spanabel kelly )LARA VICTOR 108 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
TAM-7   01/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jan04 Oct20 Sep30 Sep19 Aug29 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 116 20.00    
POST COMMAND Dec20 Nov28 Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 117 10.00    
SMART STRIKER Jan04 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct12 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 8.00    
SIR SAFFER Dec06 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 May02 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 8.00    
DRAMA CHORUS Jan04 Dec05 Oct12 Aug30 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Dec27 Nov29 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 117 8.00    
STARSHIP EMPIRE Jan04 Nov29 Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 116 20.00 12% 7.20    
ADIOS BUCCANEER Dec05 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Aug15 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
ELDEST SON Dec27 Dec05 Nov19 Sep06 Jul25 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
10  TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Nov29 Oct10 Sep25 Sep10 May19 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 6.00    
11  SOULMATE Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 Sep26 Sep12 (wright michael )CENTENO E 117 8.00    
SCR  READY TO FLY Dec17 Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
SCR  EMBRACE MY UNCLE Jan04 Oct30 Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 2.50    
14  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Jan04 Dec17 Oct09 Sep19 Sep03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 116 30.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-8   01/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARISTIDE MAILLOL         (mott i)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY SASSY SARAH by SUMMER FRONT)
GOLD LIGHT         (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
  (by FROSTED out of SELECT FRIDAY by KANTHAROS)
GIFT FROM HEAVEN         (rarick lynn)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NANDIRA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HE GONE Dec27 Nov02       (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR GIN MILL by GO FOR GIN)
MUSKET MAGIC Dec06         (ward dennis)CENTENO E 119 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SANDRA'S ROSE by OLD TRIESTE)
HE AIN'T NO JOKE         (oliver terranc)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TENERIFE MOON by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
BOD BEACH Dec06 Nov14 Oct09 Sep14 Aug08 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LOOK INTO MY EYES by CITY ZIP)
JAMALAMADINGDONG Dec06 Nov01       (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LA DI DA LAURA by FACTUM)
NEO ZAPPER Dec06 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20   (dobber arnoud )MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SWEET ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  SCRAMBLER Dec06         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YAUPON out of TORCIDA by PLEASANT TAP)
11  MY BOY STAR         (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MY SARASOTA STAR by ADIOS CHARLIE)
12  SIR GAR D'LYON         (soler edisl)NOGUERA MARLENI 119 30.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of QUIET DIGNITY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  WAR WORLD ROCKS Aug09 Jul18       (gardea abra)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
 
TAM-9   01/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME SOME LIES Dec12 Nov15 Sep20 Sep06 Jul26 (orseno f)LEON SONNY 117 10.00 6% 16.80    
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Dec20 Oct06 Sep19 Jul19 Jun29 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 116 30.00    
DYNAMIC ACTRESS Dec27 Dec12 Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
SINGALONG KAYLA Dec27 Dec05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug08 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
ATMIDNIGHT Dec20 Nov02 Oct09 Sep13 Aug28 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
KATIES A LADY Jan02 Nov19 Nov09 Apr18 Mar21 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
MOBAY PRINCESS Dec27 Dec12 Nov02 Oct05 Sep05 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 117 15.00    
TRUE MYTH Dec26 Nov28 Oct12 Sep20 Aug30 (vanwinkl)GALLARDO A 117 20.00    
SCR  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Dec27 Oct31 Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50    
SCR  ALCOHOL Dec27 Dec05 Oct16 Sep23 Sep10 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
11  KINDRED HEARTS Nov28 Oct18 Sep10 Jul23 Oct29 (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 117 10.00    
SCR  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Sep20 Aug23 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 117 20.00    
13  ARIANA VALENTINA Jan02 Dec05 May30 Apr19 Mar22 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 116 15.00 9% 9.60    
14  OMIKAMI Dec27 Dec20 Nov26 Nov19 Oct23 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.