Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/4)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/4)-(5/1/2)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/4/5)-(1/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/8/4)-(5/8/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(5/8/1/2)-(8/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2)-(8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2)-(8/6/7)-(4/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/16/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTIN CRUISE Oct09 Feb26 Jan31 Dec28 Nov07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
SHOGUN BE FAST Jan03 Dec06 Nov16 Nov09 Oct11 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00    
TREVAGGIO Dec27 Nov07 Oct16 Sep05 Aug21 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Nov07 Aug08 Jul05 Oct26 Sep23 (gelner jayde )RIVERA SANTOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD PRIZE Jan10 Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 Aug29 (jacks e)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
COVERT KAT Dec04 Nov22 Oct17 Sep20 Sep07 (t)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
ONE TIME MARK Jan04 Oct25 Oct16 Aug15 May25 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
HOU-2   01/16/2026 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY O Dec18 Nov07 Oct18 Jun15 Oct12 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
RAZORS EDGE Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Jul22 Feb23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHERI'S PRADA Dec18 Nov06 Sep26 Aug22 Jun21 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
SPARKLY Dec18 May11 May01 Mar21 Feb03 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 2.50    
LOTTERY TICKET Dec19 Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Sep12 (c)DE CRUZ 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
STEALIN'TIME Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Oct12 Sep18 (hinckson mar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.50    
 
HOU-3   01/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MACHO CAM Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jul12 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 121 6.00    
BRADIX Jan02 Dec18 Apr19 Apr06 Mar21 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 4.50 48% 1.10    
BAYOU BOY Aug27 Jul29 Jun10 May17 May03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
FLY RED BIRD FLY Dec12 Nov22 Oct16 Sep19 Aug29 (rivera j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
MORO LEGEND Nov28 Jul04 Jun15 Mar03 Oct06 (hernandez ti)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING OF GRACE Sep28 Sep12 Jun01     (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00    
ECHO MARINE Jul04 Jun13 May16 May03 Mar01 (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
 
HOU-4   01/16/2026 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTWATER TAFFY Nov07 Sep18 Aug30 Jun29 Feb02 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
NANCY LYNN Nov13 Sep20 Jul06 May17 Apr04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00    
RUBIA Sep18 Jul04 Jun15 Mar14 Nov03 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 12.00    
PHUNK Sep20 Sep04 Aug09 Jun08 May31 (davidson n)PENA BRYAN 121 15.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  NINIA Nov13 Aug23       (ziadie kirk)DIAZ RENE 121 2.00    
RUMPUS Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 Nov01 Sep15 (g)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SCR  WAUNEKA Apr05 Jan25 Dec22 Nov24 Oct04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50    
BLING IT TO ME Jan04 Nov13 Sep20 Sep04 Jul06 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
 
HOU-5   01/16/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 35 ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUS CAUSE Aug10 Jul19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 (fuentes serg)VERA T 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
OTHERBROTHERDARYL Jul13 Jun13 May24 May03 Apr19 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 5% 17.50    
CAUSE IM THE KING Jan11 Sep12 Jun22 Apr25 Mar29 (baldillez ale)RIVERA SANTOS 123 20.00    
SCR  TOMMY KAT         (silva miguel)FUENTES MARIO 119 3.00    
OKLAHOMA FLAME Dec12 Oct30 Feb22 Jan25 Nov22 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
DOC HENRY RIDGE Sep23 Jul13 Jun29 Jun21 May24 (mejia arac)MORALES X 123 8.00    
LAST AFFAIR Jan03 Apr05 Mar01 Feb14 Feb01 (h)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
DRAMA KING Jan04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 (eoff terry)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
HOU-6   01/16/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (mejia jaco)MORALES X 121 20.00    
TRESILLIAN Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 Aug29 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50    
COLONEL BARTON Jan03 Dec05 Nov20 Nov01 Oct23 (govea cesa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50    
DERBY DATE Dec10 Oct05 Aug22 Jul11 Jun14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 3.50    
MY WIFE IS RIGHT Jan04 Dec03 Nov21 Oct24 Sep18 (davidson n)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Dec03 Oct09 Sep19 Aug22 Jun27 (caldwell r)ALVAREZ L 121 12.00 26% 2.90    
ROCKETS RED FLAIR Dec13 Oct24 Oct02 Aug15 Jun20 (pish danny)LUZZI J 121 8.00 7% 12.90    
WORTH LOOKING Nov01 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
HOU-7   01/16/2026 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXECUTIVE POWER Nov29 Oct12 Jul12 Jun14 May10 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
BALSA Nov27 Oct15 Sep25 Sep08 Aug13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
CARBONE Dec20 Nov28 Sep27 Jul12 Mar29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 3.00    
BAD BEAT BRIAN Nov15 Nov01 Sep28 Sep05 Aug23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
BRUCELEA Jan02 Oct31 Sep18 Jul29 Jul03 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
BLUE LIGHT Dec03 Oct25 Sep28 Aug29 May26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  THE DEVIL'S BET Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar30 Mar22 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
STAYED IN FOR HALF Nov01 Oct16 Sep16 Aug29 Aug06 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.