Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 14, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/4/5)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/5)-(2/5/1)-(1/3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/3/6/8)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/8)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/8)-(6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3/12)-(7/1/6/3/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/2/8/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/5)-(4/2/8/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/5)-(4/2/8/10/7)-(10/2/11/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/8/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/10/7)-(4/2/8/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/10/7)-(4/2/8/10/7)-(4/2/8/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/8/10/7)-(10/2/11/4/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/10/7)-(10/2/11/4/1)-(8/9/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (10/2/11/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/11/4/1)-(10/2/11/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/11/4/1)-(10/2/11/4/1)-(10/2/11/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/11/4/1)-(8/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/4/3)-(8/9/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/14/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SARAS SHINING STAR Jan03 Oct06 Sep25 Sep10   (duffy se)MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
ENCHANT Jul13 Jun08 May25 Apr11 Mar15 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  KATIE KING Jan04 Nov19 Oct27 Oct04 Sep18 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50    
GO K J GO Dec27         (vanwinkle da)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 15.00 19% 4.20    
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Jan03 Dec05 May28 May05 Feb14 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
GAMBI Jan04 Dec27 Oct06 Sep30 Sep17 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
NEW ISSUE Dec20 Oct18 Aug24 Jul25 Jun26 (potts g)HO WESLEY 123 4.50    
CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Dec19 Oct18 Sep13 Jul13 Jun08 (pimental john )CASTANON L 123 3.50    
GROWTH RATE Dec24 Oct24 Dec11 Jun15 May02 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  KATARZYNA Jan03 Nov21 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 8.00    
 
TAM-2   01/14/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST PRINCE Dec31         (rini anthony)SERPA ANGEL 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
CHAOS COMIN Dec31 Dec06       (vanwinkle davi)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
POLIZON Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov26 Oct25 (sano antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
SCR  MIKI JAK Jan02 Dec19 Nov26 Oct05   (sano ant)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
ALEXANDER K Jan04 Dec13 Dec06 Oct03   (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
LUCHO Dec19         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
POWER WRENCH Dec26 Nov29 Oct19 Oct05   (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 1.80    
 
TAM-3   01/14/2026 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICK'S HONOR Dec31 Nov29 Sep20 Sep03 Jul27 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
EMPIRE OF GLORY (ARG) Dec06 Nov01 Oct11 Sep06 Aug08 (lawrence l)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
VINO SOLO Dec26         (lopez mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
MAGIC MIKEY Dec19 Aug27 Aug15 Jul03   (seale chris)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
TISUM Oct29 Sep26 Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 12.00    
DISTINCT Dec31 Nov26       (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
JES SEE ME Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
TEDDY BEAR Dec06 Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug10 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   01/14/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCHISES Dec31 Dec24 Dec05 Oct09 Aug20 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
SPEEDY HANS Dec24 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct28 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 8.00    
EVERDOIT Dec27 Dec19 Oct21 Sep15 Aug10 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
THE HONEYMAN Nov15 Oct04 Oct05 Sep13 Aug16 (levy l)LEON SONNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEACE CLOUD Jan04 Dec10 Oct07 Sep20 Aug30 (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 123 2.50    
PASSIONED Dec05 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  CONSPIRACY FACT Dec24 Nov22 Sep22 Sep13 Aug16 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
TIZ A BEAST Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 May23 Apr16 (paragallo jennife)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
 
TAM-5   01/14/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHTTOWN Oct31 Aug30 Jul25     (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
GUAVABERRY Nov07 Oct12       (carrascojr vict)SERPA ANGEL 119 30.00    
ANNIE WAY         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
PALPITATIONS Nov22 Oct12       (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
A ROSE FOR SKYLER Nov29 Sep12 Aug16 Jul04 Jun21 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
LOST KITTY         (arriagada jua)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
WHISKEY WHIM Dec06 Oct18 Sep26     (garcia rodolfo)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
MISSUS SEKI Dec24 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25   (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
D DOLLY'S GIRL Dec06 Nov19       (jones douglas)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
SCR  DR. PATTEN Jan02 Oct02 Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 (rya)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 15.00    
11  SHIP OF FOOLS Dec10 Oct15 Sep14     (huston k)FERRER C 119 15.00    
12  FANTASY AFFAIR Nov29 Oct09 Sep18     (sacco gregor)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00    
SCR  KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD Jan02 Dec13 Nov28 Nov09 Sep25 (simone micha)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
SCR  MISTRIAL WIND Dec24 Nov19 Aug31 Aug17   (dominguez huber)HESS SARA 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   01/14/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIDOZA Nov29 Sep19 Jul11 Jun01 Apr26 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  LA FROST Dec10 Aug31       (pompay terri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
PERUVIAN LUCKY Dec27 Nov29 Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
CAPITAN DANNY (CHI) Dec14 Jul04 May11 Apr12 Mar14 (barboza victor)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
EIGHTYSIXCHEVY Dec06 Sep13 Aug02 Jul02 Jun18 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BREAK OUT Dec13 Nov28 Aug21 Jul12 Apr24 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
THE BEST DISTANCE Jan07 Dec27 Dec03 Nov22 Oct21 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
CYBERBEAST Dec31 Nov28 Oct20 Sep28 Sep01 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 8.00    
 
TAM-7   01/14/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Dec17 Jun05 Apr26 Apr02 Feb21 (torres pablo )TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
DEVILMENT Dec03 Nov02 Oct10 Sep14 Aug03 (orseno jos)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
DAVE DID IT Dec17 May22 May07 Apr04 Mar07 (mcgoey mon)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 112 30.00    
FLY COMMANDER Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 Nov16 Oct18 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
KENRIC Dec03 Nov26 Sep26 May03 Apr13 (davis n)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
MATTY B GOOD Dec26 Dec13 Sep14 Aug10 Jul19 (mazza joseph)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
PROTEST Dec31 Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 May03 (march william)BUSH V 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALL THE LUCK Oct21 Sep24 Aug25 May25 Mar12 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 6% 15.80    
ROJO SKY Dec26 Nov26 Sep13 Sep03 Aug23 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
10  CAREER RISK Dec26 Nov29 Oct05 Sep01 Jul30 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  PARTY ON RUFUS Dec31 Nov28 Oct15 Sep04 Aug23 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
12  SENOR MONEY Oct17 Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 Jun27 (harris w)LEON SONNY 122 6.00    
SCR  TEMPERATURE RISING Jan02 Dec24 Dec04 Nov21 Oct17 (bennett seymou)HENRY WESLEY 120 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/14/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TEMPTATION Dec27 Dec12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (quinones )MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00 6% 15.10    
OOPS HAHA Dec27 Nov19 Oct26 May04 Apr04 (sillaman richard)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
UNICYCLE Dec17 Nov22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 122 6.00    
ROCIO Dec19 Nov29 Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 (munoz cindy)HO WESLEY 118 5.00 7% 12.70    
PADRINO'S GOLD Dec27 Dec12 Nov12 Oct29 Oct18 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 10.00    
COMMANDERS PALACE Jan04 May22 Apr04 Mar16 Dec15 (alessi jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 30.00    
MEGANTHEEBATTALION Dec26 Oct04 Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00    
ONE SPECIAL ACT Dec27 Nov19 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 30.00    
QURBAAN D ORO Dec12 Nov29 Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 (padilla t)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 20.00    
10  BOLT OF PARADISE Nov16 Oct04 Aug17 Aug03 Jun25 (crook-de)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
11  MISS CLASSIFIED Jan04 Sep20 Sep07 Aug13 Jul04 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 9% 9.50    
12  HEAVENS EXPRESS Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 Oct04 Sep20 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 111 12.00    
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT Jan04 Dec05 Nov28 Oct23 Oct14 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
 
TAM-9   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE ECHO Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Oct02 Sep20 (escobar mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
ISLAND SPIRIT Oct28 Sep27 Aug24 Jul06 Jun27 (huston k)CASTANON L 119 12.00    
TAKE THE GOLD Dec19 Dec10 Oct04 Sep05 Aug10 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVO D'ORO Dec05 Aug03 May30 May02 Mar09 (castro m)LEON SONNY 119 4.00    
MESSI THE GREAT Dec31 Dec05 Nov19 Sep18 Aug16 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 6.00    
DEVELOP PRODUCT Dec20 Nov09 Aug29 Aug08 Jul11 (baez n)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
RAYDAR CONTROL Feb07 Jan15 Dec24     (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 5.00    
GO YOSHIDA Dec19 Dec05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
DANZING MINER Dec19 Dec02 Nov11 Sep20 Sep13 (garrett )GALLARDO A 119 8.00 7% 13.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.