Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(1/5/9/4)-(8/9/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/4)-(8/9/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/4)-(8/9/3/7)-(10/2/7/12/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/3/7)-(10/2/7/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/7)-(10/2/7/12/11)-(2/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (10/2/7/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/12/11)-(10/2/7/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/12/11)-(10/2/7/12/11)-(10/2/7/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/7/12/11)-(2/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/7/12/11)-(2/4/8)-(1/2/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/1/6/8)-(2/4/1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(1/2/5/6)-(10/12/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(10/12/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(10/12/7/4)-(5/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/12/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/7/4)-(10/12/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/12/7/4)-(10/12/7/4/2)-(10/12/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/12/7/4)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/12/7/4)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(5/4/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/4/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/10)-(5/4/1/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/10)-(5/4/1/10/6)-(5/4/1/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. SWEETS Nov29 Sep22 Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
GOD WITH US Nov26 Aug15 Jul06 Jun20 May11 (wilson to)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 108 6.00    
SCR  CALL THE CAVALRY Nov26 Oct31 Oct10 Sep11 Aug20 (birdwell tena)LEON A 121 15.00    
KING FALIERO Nov29 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Dec13 (wittek karyn)FERRER C 121 5.00    
RUSTY PISTOL Nov26 Sep19 Aug30 Jul20 Jun22 (jones douglas)LARA VICTOR 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUST RELAX Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 Apr27 Apr05 (arriagada jua)ROJAS MARTINA 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
MY FAVORITE TOPIC Oct12 Jul04 Jun08 Apr25 Jun21 (castro m)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
METAPHOR Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Jul11   (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00    
SCR  HENDRICKSON Dec03 Nov19 Jul25 Jan17 Dec27 (eagan ma)RODRIGUEZ O 121 10.00    
 
TAM-2   12/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKES UP Dec05 Sep20 Sep05 Jul19 Jun15 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  CAPTURED DARLING Dec05 Oct10 Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 120 20.00    
SHIP IT Dec10 Oct07 Sep23 Sep06 Aug02 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
MT. D'ORO Oct07 Sep25 Sep03 Aug15 Jul26 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
NAUGHTY FAVORS Nov22 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep02 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
FOXY LADY Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 (garcia jr)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Dec05 Nov02 Aug30 Aug23 Jul31 (simone mi)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 110 12.00    
LA GATA SALVAJE Nov19 Oct31 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 120 20.00    
PALEO'S PRINCESS Oct03 Aug08 Jul05 Jun15 Nov28 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-3   12/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEQUERA Nov29         (drake robert)COTTO L 120 20.00    
FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Jun05 Apr26 Apr02 Feb21 Feb05 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00    
SKYBREAKER         (rivera franc)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 20.00 16% 5.20    
GRAN CORREDOR Sep06 Aug16 Jul26     (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
ZIMBAWEE Apr05 Feb21 Jan17 Dec06 May03 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 30.00    
AEONIAN Aug22         (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 110 4.50    
THE HOPE TRAIN Nov29 Feb08 Jan08     (preudhomm)HERRERA R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER ORE Dec03 Oct18 Apr10 Mar05 Jan25 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
FLY COMMANDER Dec03 Nov16 Oct18 Sep13 Aug22 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  DAVE DID IT May22 May07 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 (mcgoey monica)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00    
11  SO GRAND Nov26 Oct16 Sep24 Aug24 Jul11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.00    
 
TAM-4   12/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Oct29 Sep26 Sep15 Sep02 Aug21 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 123 12.00    
THOUGHT Dec03 Nov04 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 113 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  BOLD LOOKER Dec07 Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 (cordero )RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00    
COX CANYON Nov28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 Jun11 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 10.00    
GHOST STALKER Dec05 Nov22 Sep13 Aug21 Aug06 (waltke e)HESS SARA 123 30.00    
SCR  STREET GLIDE Dec05 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Nov22 Oct30 Oct09 Aug27 Aug13 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 5.00 6% 15.80    
JARLIAN Nov22 Sep20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 (quinones raul)SUAREZ JESUS 123 30.00    
SILENT AND VIOLENT Nov28 Nov08 Sep13 Jul27 Jun21 (bacallao)MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
10  LE GRIFFON May11 Apr16 Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 54% 0.80    
11  REMERTON Oct18 Sep13 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (castro jose )BATISTA A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  PANDO Dec03 Nov19 Oct03 Sep16 Jan26 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   12/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZARRO Oct30 Sep30 Aug28 Jul29 Jun26 (granitz antho)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00    
BATTLE WARRIOR Nov26 Aug22 Aug01 Jan24   (campbell mich)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 77% 0.30    
GREAT HUNT Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Mar28 Feb16 (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00    
WOODLANDER Nov26 Oct17 Aug11 Jun27   (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
D LOVER Apr26 Jan31 Jan19 Jan07   (jones douglas)HESS SARA 124 30.00    
TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Nov28 Sep20 Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 (pimental john )COTTO L 122 4.50    
KADAR INDY Apr25 Apr11 Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 (drake rober)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00    
KANTHAROS JR Jun22 Mar23 Feb09     (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY LITTLE CAIBO Nov28 Oct31 Oct16 Oct01 Sep18 (agostini arthur)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
10  TIZTIMONIAL Nov26 May31 Apr25 Oct31   (delgado h)MERA C 122 15.00    
11  DISOBEDIENT BULL Aug23 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13   (hernandez )MEJIAS A 112 6.00    
12  RENEGE Dec03 Jun21 Jun08 May25 May04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
SCR  ROJO SKY Nov26 Sep13 Sep03 Aug23 Aug14 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  ARROW GHOST Nov26 Sep11 Jul12 Mar14 Feb23 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 124 5.00    
 
TAM-6   12/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOENIX OF WIT (IRE) Oct31 Oct04 Aug17 Jul12 Nov02 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
WRIGLEYVILLE Nov22 Oct04 Sep01 Jul19 Jun06 (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
CHRIS'S KITTY Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug15 Jul14 (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
SCR  NOTABLE EXCHANGE Nov22 Oct26 Sep12 Aug21 Aug06 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
ITHINKILOVEYOU Nov23 Oct24 Sep27 Sep14 Aug28 (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
EXPECTING A WINNER Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 Aug01 Jul23 (downing )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
MY ANTICIPATION Oct23 Sep26 Jul03 May11 Mar16 (birdwell tena)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
SCR  MYSUNSHINEGIRL Nov21 Nov08 Oct10 Sep13 Sep06 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
SCR  NATIVE ROSE Nov22 Oct03 Sep06 Apr12 Mar08 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00    
10  THREE RUN BOLT Nov26 Oct17 Aug31 Jul25 Jul06 (bennett gera)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 10.00    
SCR  AUTHENTICATE NOW Nov22 Oct21 Oct10 Aug10 Jul27 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   12/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T NONCENTS Nov28 Sep05 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 (gardea abraha)ROJAS MARTINA 120 30.00    
COLLECTIVE NATION Jul06 Jun06 May02 Apr17 Mar06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
SWEET WINE Nov28 Oct25 Sep27 Aug15 Jan18 (cascalla)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00    
HIGH HEARTS Nov22 Sep06 Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANNA JEAN Nov28 Oct24 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 118 10.00    
BELLY DANCE Nov22 Sep05 Aug06 Jul16 Jun12 (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Oct15 Oct01 Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 (bowersock ma)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 10.00 6% 16.40    
FORTUNE DREAMS Sep24 Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul25 (spanabel kell)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
DERBY EFFORT Jul11 Jun19 May31 May04 Apr05 (smith g)LARA VICTOR 108 30.00    
10  BELLA MENDY Nov14 Oct18 Sep14 Aug03 Jul13 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
11  UNICYCLE Nov22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Aug06 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 118 8.00    
12  RANCHO VISTA Nov26 Nov01 Sep13 Jan15 Dec13 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  WIDERTHANAMILE Nov23 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 (sano ant)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  BONMATI Nov23 Sep27 Aug30 May17 May02 (castro jose )BATISTA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-8   12/17/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE NOT WAR Jun29 May29 Apr19 Mar28 Mar05 (bennett gera)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
TRIPLE PASS Dec03 Sep20 Sep10 Aug10 Jun14 (felician)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
SCR  FORT CHARLES Oct28 Oct01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 120 30.00    
PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Oct09 Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
MR. PENNY PINCHER Nov29 Oct10 Sep11 Aug26 Aug04 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
LONELY RIDE Nov22 Oct16 Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 (potts g)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  EL CHISPAZO Nov26 Oct16 Jul08 Jun09 May26 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50    
MAYNARD Nov29 Oct22 Oct09 Sep15 Sep09 (baez ralph)BATISTA X 120 15.00    
SYNTACTIC Nov15 Oct26 Sep25 Sep13 Aug16 (escobar mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
10  BLAZE OF COLOR Oct31 Oct17 Aug31 Jun29 May15 (castro m)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
 
TAM-9   12/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S DUDE Nov28 Oct08 Sep01 Aug21 Jul26 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DR. PERRY Nov29 Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 Aug06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
POWER ATTACK Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 Jul24 Jun22 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50    
BRING ME A CHECK Nov03 Oct07 Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
PUTTHEBLAMEONME Oct07 Sep19 Jan18 Dec28 Dec04 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
DRUNK ON SAKE Oct13 Aug13 Jul09 Jun16 May27 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 8.00    
READY TO FLY Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 Jun01 (mcburney patri)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00    
ESCAPE KEY Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Apr16 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Nov19 Jul20 Jun21 Feb15 Dec14 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 121 30.00    
10  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Nov19 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Jun03 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Nov29 Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 Jul23 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 121 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN UNITY Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 (lopez )VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 5.00    
SCR  CORONOVA Nov29 Nov09 Oct11 Sep20 Aug27 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 30.00    
SCR  MAX'S MAP Nov29 Nov19 Sep20 Sep03 Aug15 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.