Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/3/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/3/6/5)-(6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/5)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/5)-(6/4/3)-(5/8/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/8/2/7)-(6/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/7)-(5/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/7)-(5/8/2/7)-(5/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/7)-(6/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/7)-(6/2/5/8)-(5/2/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8/10)-(6/2/5/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/8)-(5/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/8)-(5/2/3/8)-(3/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/8)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/8)-(3/2/4)-(1/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNER OFFICE Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug04 Mar11 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
AINT NO BANDLEADER Nov07 Sep22 Aug11 Jul17 Jun12 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 126 3.50    
COASTLAND Oct21 Aug14 Jul19 Jun06 May16 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
INTO GOLD Nov05 Oct21 Oct14 Sep18 Sep09 (mahan p)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 20% 4.10    
HIDDEN RANSOM Oct28 Oct10 Aug20 Jul03 May12 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-2   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMED OUT Nov13 Oct28 Oct13 Nov21 Nov07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00    
C V JERSEY BEE Oct28 Sep18 Aug30 Jul23 Jul03 (gonzalez agus)BRACHO A 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
PAINT THE TOWN Oct28 Oct13 Sep11 May26 Apr09 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Oct28 Sep30 Aug06 Jul09 May27 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Nov13 Oct13 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 (yoder susa)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAILS HERE Oct28 Aug13 Jun18 May22 May04 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANNON MAN Oct03 Sep18 Aug27 Aug02 Jul19 (salcedo r)MARTINEZ L 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVELAND POWER Nov11 Oct27 Sep30 Aug07 Jul19 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Nov13 Oct30 Oct13 Sep16 Aug29 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
CONDEMNATION Nov11 Oct09 Aug27 Aug12 Jun25 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
PARTY POOPER Nov20 Oct30 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
SERENDIPITOUS Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Oct01 Sep11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
MO DONT NO Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Aug12 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 119 0.80 27% 2.70    
GENERAL WINSTON Nov20 Nov13 Oct27 Sep29 Sep03 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
MOR CRAFTY Nov20 Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAT DADDY Nov18 Nov04 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (genovese rich)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 Aug07 Jun17 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
AURA OF GOLD Nov12 Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 Aug18 (madrigal )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
SCR  FLORIDA GATOR Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 Oct01 Sep22 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
FATIH Oct27 Oct10 Sep17 Aug26 Nov27 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
EL MARRO Nov20 Nov12 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
PARKER Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep22 Sep04 (gonzalez agustin)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GREY STREAK Nov12 Oct11 Oct04 Aug07 Jun28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-5   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACY ELLEN Nov03 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06   (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 6.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
BOLD SALLY         (lopez jacint)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BOLD RED out of BLAZE OF JOY by COMMISSIONER)
DIVINE SILENCE Nov03 Oct20       (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by HOLY BULL out of SILENT ACCOUNT by PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
JAC'S COCOABELLA Nov18 Oct25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 1.60    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
BOLD POPPER         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 20.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BOLD RED out of HELL'S A POPPIN by SLAM MY HEART)
FOREVER FLOWING Nov03 Oct14 Sep30 Aug25   (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SWEET VIVIAN Nov03 Sep27 Aug16     (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
TEAM CHIQUITA         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
  (by DRILL out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
MO DON'T STOP Nov04         (orantes r)DIAZ I 122 12.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
10  MIDNITE KINGS FATE         (rettele rich)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
MVR-6   12/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL'S BOY Nov07 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 125 5.00    
SILENT DRILL Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 Sep12 (sweeting craig)DIAZ I 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
NATIONAL STORY Nov13 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
RADIO SILENT Nov13 Oct28 Oct13 Sep18 Aug14 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
MAMAS HOME COOKING Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 Jul14 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
ORVILLE B Oct28 Aug27 Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
TAHLEQUAH JOE Oct28 Sep22 Aug29 Aug11 Jul09 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
CARSON N SPENCE Oct28 Oct10 Sep22 Aug07 Jul03 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 6% 16.60    
 
MVR-7   12/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($39.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE NOMORE Oct13 Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul14 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 4.00    
HIDDEN ACCESS Nov20 May14 May03 Apr07 Dec03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
MISSION CONTROL Nov20 Sep26 Aug27 Jul08 Jun16 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
SWING STATE Oct29 Oct21 Sep01 Aug14 Jul15 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
C V DYNAMIC Oct28 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 Aug22 (gonzalez agus)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
BIG TRUCK Oct28 Oct06 Sep19 Jul18 Jun21 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   12/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVID Nov18 Oct09 Jun26 Jun07 Apr30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
BLAZING TONY Nov03 Oct20 Sep18 Sep05 Jul26 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY POWER Nov03 Oct20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
DRILL CITY Nov18 Oct09 Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 20.00    
SCR  KOZY K Nov18 Oct20 Oct02 Jan09 Dec19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
BIGPICLITTLEPIC Nov13 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 (poole m)BRACHO A 125 2.00 21% 3.80    
HEZA PISTOL Nov11 Oct25 Sep03 Jul06 Jun19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00 15% 5.60    
WILLIE T Nov18 Nov03 Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.