Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Friday - November 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(3/4/1)-(2/6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/6/4/7)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4/3)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-3   11/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE CALL HIM DOC Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
WEBCAM Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
JAMES'S MOONSHINE Aug29 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Jun27 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
SCR  RIVERSPORT Nov02 Oct17 Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
NACHO GRANDE Oct25 Aug31 May11 Jul28 Jun09 (carlson jayce)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
EURO TRACKING Oct03 Sep14 Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 (scudder jr)RAMOS B 124 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
ARP-4   11/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.44K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE'S HANK Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug06 Jun17 (esquibel mark)BAEZ M 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
GUTFIELD Oct10 Sep07 Nov17 Oct18 Sep21 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50    
TERRY'S SERVICE Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
SHOOTIN' DICE Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul27 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
NOBLE LAKER Oct24 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 Aug16 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 120 8.00    
 
ARP-5   11/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.64K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGER IN CHARGE Oct11 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jul19 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 120 4.50    
JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Oct19 Oct11 Sep12 Aug17 Jul14 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  DESTINED TO DANCE Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00    
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Oct10 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Jul19 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMASS MONEY Oct26 Oct11 May18 Apr26 Mar21 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
GLOBAL ALLURE Oct11 Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Apr25 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
SHE'S SO FANCY Sep28 Sep21 Aug29 Jun22 May17 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-6   11/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.64K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR LOKI Oct17 Sep28 Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
HAIL STATE Jun21 Jun15 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00    
CALCULATED LUV Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 61% 0.60    
WHEELER DEALER Oct18 Sep27 Aug25 Aug08 Jun30 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
SCR  TAP THE BRAKES Nov02 Oct19 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 124 2.50    
FERRARI RED Oct17 Sep20 Aug22 Jul27 Oct13 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50    
 
ARP-7   11/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALMILLA'S BET Oct18 Oct04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
REAL SILK Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 Sep16 Sep02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
FILLY PELLI Mar26 Mar05 Jan14 Dec02 Aug05 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00 7% 13.80    
DIXIE CUP MARTINI Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Oct25 Oct05 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
FACTUALITY Nov02 Sep11 Aug14 Jul10 Jun26 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 120 20.00    
ONE EYE SUPER FLY Oct18 Sep06 Aug21 Jul06 May26 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50    
 
ARP-8   11/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAG ME Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 (scudder jr)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
J'S LITTLE MAN Oct25 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug31 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 6.00    
SCR  TOMA TODO Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 Aug17 Aug06 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 2.50    
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug10 (quezada zacha)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.50    
HOLD TIGHT Oct26 Sep28 Sep14 Apr13 Mar09 (long vaughn)DELORME L 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.