Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/6/4)-(3/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/4/2/5)-(5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/5)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/5)-(5/2/3)-(3/6/9/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/6/9/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/6/9/11/8)-(2/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (3/6/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/11/8)-(3/6/9/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/11/8)-(3/6/9/11/8)-(3/6/9/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/9/11/8)-(2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/11/8)-(2/3/4)-(7/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(7/6)-(5/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(5/3/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Oct20 Oct07 Sep16 Jul21 Jun30 (robillard al)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.50 63% 0.60    
2  CUGINE Oct08 Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 126 6.00    
3  KADESH Oct01 Aug21 Jul10 Jun02 May08 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 12% 7.70    
4  SAILOR'S CHANCE Oct20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 4.00    
5  NOT YET CHARLIE Oct08 Sep08 Aug29 Jul16 Jun25 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00    
6  BIG POPPER Oct20 Oct13 Sep09 Aug07 Jul08 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   11/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELLCAST Sep28 Aug15 Jul15 Jun06 May05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.60    
SCR  SHAKE THE FROST Oct21 Sep10 Jul15 Jun20 Jun10 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 124 15.00    
3  TATANKA Sep11 Aug29 Aug20 Aug03 Jul02 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
4  SECRET TROUBLE Oct08 Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARLESTON Oct14 Sep30 Sep04 Aug18 Jun21 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
6  POWERFUL Oct14 Aug20 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (rone mike)PARKER L 124 8.00 18% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   11/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Oct12 Sep18 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 (guerrero)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
2  MARKHAMIAN Oct23 Sep29 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 (castillo )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  TIME THE AVENGER Oct28 Sep22 Sep03 Aug18 Jul28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Oct20 Oct07 Sep28 Sep03 Aug05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  CAPTURE MI Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul02 Jun12 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE VAQUERO Oct23 Oct10 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
7  THANKS FRANK Oct25 Oct08 Sep18 Jun24 Jun04 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 126 3.50    
8  STELLARS IN CHARGE Oct19 Sep18 Aug31 Jul10 Jun19 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
 
MVR-4   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WELLINGTON Aug25 Jul08 Jun18 Apr30 Mar11 (madrigal )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
2  TIMELY SECRET Oct20 Oct01 Aug28 Aug11 Jul28 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 126 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  LIONISTIC Oct02 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARTFUL HOPE Jun09 May20 Apr28 Mar26 Mar13 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.00    
5  LUCKY COUGAR Oct14 Sep14 Sep08 Aug25 Jul08 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
6  SHEISTHEHERO Jul01 Jun09 May28 May13 Apr28 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUKELE Oct23         (vecchio c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE by HAYNESFIELD)
2  BEAT THE BUZZER Oct03 Aug05       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  SPARK ONE UP         (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
4  LEAVETHENINETYNINE Oct23 Oct03 Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LENA LOVE by CITY WEEKEND)
5  MR WARDEN Oct23         (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 20.00    
  (by NIGHT WARDEN out of MISS NANCY FRANCES by SUN KING (IRE))
6  PURE GRINDING         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MODERNIST out of BROOK'S ON FIRE by FRIESAN FIRE)
SCR  MACHICO MADEIRA Oct23 Sep24 Aug05     (rone mike)PARKER L 122 8.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of ANGELINA by RACE DAY)
8  RICO SUAVE (IRE) Sep24 Aug26       (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PERSIAN BOLD (IRE) out of BALLET REVIEW (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
9  MR. RIFFLE Oct23 Oct03 Sep20 Aug22   (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
10  MO MO LIGHTNING Oct03         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  WISLEY Oct23         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
MVR-6   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENDLESS FASHION Oct25 Oct13 Sep17 Aug29 Aug20 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
2  STELLA E VELOCE Jun09 May12 Apr11 Mar25 Mar17 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  CHAPTER AND VERSE Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  FIVEMINUTSOFPASION Feb22 Dec28 Nov06 Oct06 Sep10 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  SOLO SURPRISE Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 May26 May13 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 5.00    
SCR  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME Oct21 Oct12 Aug31 Aug19 Aug04 (gomez aleja)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
7  AZTEC MELODY Oct25 Oct03 Apr23     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
8  CALCOLERY Oct23 Oct13 Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 (juarez-mendoza )BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00    
SCR  RACING THE LIGHT Sep28 Aug21 Aug03 Jul04 Jun05 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
 
MVR-7   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. SENSEI Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 May08 Apr18 (hernandez rey)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00    
2  PUPIL Oct15 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
SCR  IRISH JUBALEE Oct26 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 120 1.80    
4  LIL RED BEAUDETTE Oct03 Sep15       (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 ★    
5  MIA'S GO Sep19 Sep11 Aug19     (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 117 3.50    
6  ESSENTIAL WILD CAT Sep26         (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00 23% 3.40    
7  JOHNNY LIES Aug23         (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-8   11/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVAN COME HOME Sep18         (pease har)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SUNFEST by UNION RAGS)
2  ONE MORE THING Oct22 Oct08 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50    
  (by SEGOVIA out of CRAQUELURE by POWERSCOURT)
3  EBONY'S SECRET Oct22 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 10% 8.50    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
4  PLAY BALL SUSIE Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
5  JILLY RUNS DEEP Oct08 Sep02 Aug12     (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.00 62% 0.60    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of JILLYBEAN by KETTLE CORN)
SCR  STOPTALKINGSARAH Jun23 Jun11 May22 Apr21 Apr07 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
SCR  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug11 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
8  DESTINY'S TOT Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
9  Z B READY Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Jul03 (romero osc)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 126 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
10  CHARDU Oct22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul23 (bird dann)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of LA LA BAMBA by PADDY O'PRADO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.