Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ARP-3   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(5/4/8/6)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-4   WIN (5/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/6)-(2/1/4)-(5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-8   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/25/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE DRINKS Sep28         (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 117 10.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of SUPER ONE by NO STORMS)
2  BOSS GIRL Sep06         (rosales jorge)CARDOSO DAVID 117 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CATBIRD SEAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  CHOCOLATE WASTED Sep28 Sep12       (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of EXTREME CAUTION by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  THOROUGHLICIOUS Aug31 Jun21       (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 117 4.00    
  (by MO FORZA out of LOST PROPHET by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  CLARKE'S BOMBER         (long vaughn)CARRENO J 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KAPPA GAMA by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  SOPHIE'S HEART         (jensen ma)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KNICKS GO out of LOVE ABROAD by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  SPEAK THE TRUTH Oct10 Sep27 Jun13     (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GOLDEN GLASS by GOLDENCENTS)
 
ARP-2   10/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET OF HOOF Oct17 Oct03 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.50 ★    
2  COLLIER Oct10 Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 Jun14 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50    
3  PARTY FOUL Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jun01 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 4.50 55% 0.80    
4  JAHEZ Sep27 Jul21 Jun20 May26 Apr18 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
5  NACHO GRANDE Aug31 May11 Jul28 Jun09 Mar14 (carlson jayc)BANDA F 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
6  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Aug27 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
7  BRILLIANT COLORS Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun08 May23 (ibanez alberto)BAEZ M 124 15.00 11% 8.00    
 
ARP-3   10/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP CHART Oct03 Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.00    
2  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Oct03 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Aug09 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
3  SAHARA SUE Oct11 Sep06 Jul27 Jul19 May24 (gray kirk)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
4  CHILD PROOF Oct11 Aug10 Jul24 May31 May02 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WAR MUSIC Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  SABRIA Oct10 Aug31 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
7  DODGEBALL Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 May23 May03 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
8  IRISH TAP Oct10 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (arceo antoni)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
 
ARP-4   10/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM SEZ Oct04 Sep20 Sep10 Aug09 Jul27 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
2  SHUT UP MAN Sep13 Aug09 Jul10 Apr04 Mar09 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
3  DEFENSE WINS Oct11 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
4  SHARP WARNING Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
5  NUMERO SIETE Oct11 Sep28 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  J'S LITTLE MAN Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 (ibanez alberto)BAEZ M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SCRATCHY APACHE Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 (lavanway days)COUTON JULIEN 124 10.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  GROOVY HUEY Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   10/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($26.283K) 2 C/G PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE RYDER         (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by SPY SIGNAL out of SLEW'S RYDER by SLEW'S FOLLY)
2  TALL COOL ONE Oct12 Sep22 Sep05     (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by WHISKEY WISDOM out of WHISPERED WISHES by WITH APPROVAL)
3  BLEEP Sep21         (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 3.50    
  (by ASSAGAI out of CHERRY PICKER by CAPE BLANCO)
4  MORE COOKIES Sep21         (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MRS. GEHRIG by MR. GEHRIG)
5  HIDDEN FEES Sep28         (kemper kerry)CARRENO J 120 4.50    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
 
ARP-6   10/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FREE Oct04 Sep20 Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 (varga)ROSALES JUAN 124 4.50    
2  MISS YOU NO MORE Oct04 Sep13 Jun01 Mar29 Feb28 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50    
3  STOLEN FUNDS Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Nov17 Oct26 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 5.00    
4  I'M A TRUMPER Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 Nov02 Oct25 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN BEAUTY Oct04 Sep20 Jul26 Jul13 Nov17 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  DIXIE CUP MARTINI Oct04 Sep13 Oct25 Oct05 Sep20 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
ARP-7   10/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Lassie Purse ($26.453K) 2 F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LEGACY Sep21 Jul12       (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 120 3.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
2  GLAD IMA HOTTIE         (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of LIL MISS HOTTENTOT by PERFECT MANDATE)
3  SCAPPY JO Sep12 Aug31 Jul12     (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIT KAT JO by JOHANNESBURG)
4  SHE'S NEVER WRONG Aug16 Aug01       (parsons r)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.00 10% 8.70    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  CASTING CUPID         (vicchrilli russ)ARANA MINOR 120 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MISTLETOLEE Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 Jul18 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by MITOLE out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
ARP-8   10/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME TO SKIP TOWN Oct17 Sep28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50    
2  GABRIEL'S LEGEND Aug31 Jul27 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST PICKLES Aug09 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 Jun16 (carlson jayc)BANDA F 120 6.00 ★    
4  BOSS DOWN Oct17 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 120 4.50    
5  CHIEF HARLAN Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jun15 (gray kirk)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00    
6  R BARRACUDA Sep05 Aug23 Jul18 Jun14 May18 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 3.50 76% 0.30    
7  JET STREAM Sep27 Aug17 Aug06 Jul05 Jun18 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRACE'S HANK Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug06 Jun17 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.