Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - October 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4)-(5/1/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(5/1/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/1/3)-(1/8/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
HAW-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/8/3)-(5/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(5/6/1/7)-(4/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(4/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(4/9/8)-(6/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/8)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8)-(6/7/8/3)-(3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3)-(3/5)-(11/12/3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(11/12/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-9   WIN (11/12/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/12/3/1)-(11/12/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/12/3/1)-(11/12/3/1/9)-(11/12/3/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Oct02 Sep11 Jul31 Jul10 Jun15 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00    
2  FLYING SAMURAI Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 (ryan chri)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  POLTERER Oct09 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Jul31 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
4  ICE SHARD Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 Jul24 Jun29 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
5  REGIMENTAL Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Jul20 Jul06 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
6  DANVILLE Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
HAW-2   10/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK VINTAGE (IRE) Sep04 Aug10 Jun26 Jun11 Nov11 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
SCR  CODE NAME Sep07 Aug14 Oct06 Sep01 Jul25 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  ONE TIMER Sep18 Jul02 May24 Dec14 Oct05 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50    
4  BIG VINCE Jun30 Apr27 Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  LUNDBERG Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 May25 May04 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 6.00    
SCR  LEADING THE CHARGE Sep18 Aug28 Jun14 May12 Aug21 (block chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00    
7  CONGRATS ON FIFTY Sep18 Aug21 Jul10 Jun05 May25 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★    
8  ORANGE DIABLO Sep20 Aug31 Jul30 Jun07 Sep23 (rosin coty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 8.00    
 
HAW-3   10/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Jim Edgar Illinois Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT THE POWER Sep14         (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 116 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by PROTONICO out of VIRGINIA'S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  HEAVENLY BELIEFS         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 3.50    
  (by CORE BELIEFS out of MY HEAVENLY SIGN by FOREST CAMP)
3  DON ALEJANDRO Sep26         (de mora)MACIAS HUGO 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAP FEVER out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
4  EARL'S OUTLAW         (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 116 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of GLAMALA by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  GOGH Sep14 Aug28 Aug03     (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 116 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
 
HAW-4   10/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Oct09 Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  ICONICUS Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul08 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  MYSTIC POWER Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN CAUSE Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Jul20 Jun21 (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
5  BIGFOOT SIGHTING Sep06 Aug17 Jul08 Jun15 May25 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 5.00 ★    
6  INDIE FREEDOM Sep17 Jul26 Jul03 May31 Apr09 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 8.00    
7  LEMON DROP SHOT Sep24 Aug09 Jul19 Jul01 May29 (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
8  BOURBON LIFE Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug07 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
HAW-5   10/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Pat Whitworth Illinois Debutante Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THEN NOW 'N ALWAYS Oct05 Aug17       (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
2  CULTURE SHOCK Sep28         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 115 10.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of MY MERTIE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SCR  MO TOWN RENEE         (catalano wayne)COLON H 115 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SHELBI RENEE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
4  LAST CANDY Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27   (young r)MOJICA O 115 10.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of ALBANY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  ZEE Sep07 Aug17       (boyce michele)FELIX E 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
6  BIAGODDESS Sep07 Aug03 Jul10     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of GODDESS OF KIP by KIPLING)
7  JULBA Sep27 Sep09       (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 6% 15.90    
  (by BASIN out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  MIDNIGHT MS Sep07 Aug12       (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 5.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BUZZIN AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
HAW-6   10/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULALUME Jul13 Sep12       (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 30.00    
SCR  SPIRIT TO INSPIRE         (rosin cot)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
3  VISIONS N DREAMS Sep26         (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 30.00    
4  ESCOVEDO Jul10 Jun25 Dec13 Oct03   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 67% 0.50    
5  ENTICING OPTION Oct05 Aug31 Jun26 May22 May01 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 ★    
6  ATRAXA Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00    
7  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
8  D' ARGONAUT Oct09 Aug30 Jul20 Jul10 Oct13 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WW BEST OF TIMES Aug31 Aug14 Jun26 Apr10 Oct19 (becker scott)FELIX E 124 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
HAW-7   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul24 Jun26 (spagnola )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 8.00    
2  THE LAST THRILL Aug26 Aug05 Jul06 Oct29 Oct15 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 122 4.00    
3  LIL CARRIE D Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Feb29 (slager mike)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOSHEN GIRL Jun15 Sep01 Aug15 Dec18 Nov25 (lada liana)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 20.00    
5  TAP THE LINE Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 Aug16 Jun19 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
6  KIND KISMET Sep07 Aug27 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  CAME UP ROSES Oct05 Aug31 Aug17 Jul10 May26 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
8  FASTTIMESATMIDNITE Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul15 Jun24 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
HAW-8   10/19/2025 4950ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY BEAR Sep17 Aug30       (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  KEEN GAL Sep25         (rodriguez edua)COLON H 121 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RED DANE by RED ROCKS)
3  I'M HUNGOVER Sep25 Aug31 Jul20 Jun01   (block chris)MOJICA O 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by UPSTART out of JOYFUL NIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  MIRACLE MINDED Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 Jul03 Jun14 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CURLISH FIGURE by CURLIN)
5  MAJORING IN GOLD         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of RUNNING CREEK by CAPE TOWN)
6  RESORT FEE Sep25 Aug21 Aug02     (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STORMIN MAGGY by STORM CAT)
7  CATNIP HILL Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Jun12 (horvath k)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
8  ROARING VIXEN Sep25 Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jun12 (cristel j)REYES FRANK 121 4.50 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TRAVELING TIGER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  NELLY K         (west ethan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SORESCA by ELUSIVE CITY)
 
HAW-9   10/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMP DADDY Oct05 Aug25 Jul31 Jul03 Jul14 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  DICK BEST Oct02 Sep18 Aug31 Aug21 Jul19 (simonovich dani)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
3  COMMISSIONER OSCAR Sep28 Sep11 Aug27 Jul26 Jul05 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM Sep28 Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
5  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Oct09 Sep28 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 (dizeo dino)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 20.00    
6  MR. UNIVERSE Sep11 Aug24 Aug14 Jul27 Jun29 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
7  LUCKY BOSS Oct04 Sep18 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
SCR  HAWKS CREEK Sep21 Sep07 Jul03 May29 Oct06 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 6.00    
9  CHAOS REIGNS Jul31 Jul03 May18 May04 Apr20 (divito p)FELIX E 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  HONEST TO GOODNESS Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 May25 May08 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
11  CLIFF DIVER Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
12  SONIC SPEED Oct09 Sep20 Sep13 Aug20 Aug06 (escobar m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  READTHECLIFFNOTES Aug31 Jul03 Jun05 Apr20 Oct06 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
14  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Sep28 Sep14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun19 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.