Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/1/8)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(3/1/2)-(5/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/7/1)-(9/5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(9/5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(9/5/4/1)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/1)-(9/5/4/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/1)-(9/5/4/7/1)-(9/5/4/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/4/1)-(5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/1)-(5/4/3)-(4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/5)-(8/7/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(8/7/2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM FEISTY Sep24 Sep08 Jun08 Nov12 Oct29 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 123 4.50    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Sep24 Sep08 Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.00    
WILD LOOKER Sep24 Sep08 Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO SEVEN Sep24 Sep08 Jun10 May05 Nov23 (gonzalez alda)ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
VALIANT VICTORIA Sep29 Aug05 Jul07 Oct22 Oct07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
LIGHT HEARTED Sep30 Aug06 Jul27 Jun03 May20 (herrington )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
 
PID-2   10/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWHATEVERITTAKES Sep10 Jul29 Mar09 Feb05 Dec20 (reed r)MORALES PABLO 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
THY NAME IS WOMAN Sep23 Sep03 Aug24 Jul29 Jul23 (fennessy john)MARTINEZ W 125 8.00    
ENGLISH INDY Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug15 Jul14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
SCR  STARSHIP LEGACY Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 (fennessy joh)AYALA J 125 5.00    
RAINBOW RANIA Sep04 Jul19 Apr17 Feb13   (matejka )RODRIGUEZ O 122 1.40    
PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Sep03 Jul08 Jun11 Apr25 Mar21 (reed eri)GALLARDO A 125 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  N K P ONE Sep23 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
DONT COMPRESS Sep22 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 6% 16.90    
 
PID-3   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACLEAN'S LULLABY Sep10 Jul03 Jun06 May11 Apr16 (matejka pave)AYALA J 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
GOT A COMPLEX Sep22 Aug15 Jul09     (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
MALIBU MUSE Sep14 Aug07 Jul17     (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BUFF BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
FORBIDDEN FRIEND Sep10 Jul19 Jun14 May15 Apr07 (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
JOYOUS SONG Aug28 Aug08 Jun29 May24 May02 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
TWORLY BLUEBELL Sep22         (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by OXBOW out of IN THE WAY BLUES by MACHO UNO)
 
PID-4   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWNED JEWEL Sep15 Sep03 Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 5% 17.50    
KOTYLOS Sep29 Aug06 Jul22 Jun25 May21 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 6.00    
WHERE YOU WAS Sep24 Jul29 Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 4.50    
SCR  COLONEL POPPY Sep19 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 5.00    
THALBERG Oct01 Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (morrell )GALLARDO A 125 1.80 54% 0.80    
CALYPSO CHARLIE Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul03 Jun04 (dickey keith)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00    
PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Aug27 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 May26 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
PID-5   10/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONIAL SENSE         (mott riley)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DEMIMONDAINE by TAPIT)
BABY ME GOOD Sep24 Aug27       (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of MOMS MABLEY by NOTIONAL)
ESSENTIALLY GOLD Sep19 Jul05 Apr11     (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
LIMITED VINTAGE Aug08         (russell )GALLARDO A 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MEU AMOR by BERNARDINI)
MIDWEST PRINCESS Sep08         (walden willia)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 32% 2.20    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of AWESOMEMUNDO by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  JEN D'ORO Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jun27   (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JENNEMILY by STRONG MANDATE)
I CHOOSE JOY         (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CANDLE'S LEGACY         (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CANDLE MAKER by TAPIT)
HONOR BRIGHT Sep18         (stidham michael)SPIETH S 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
10  INSPIRE COURAGE Aug28 Jul10       (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of GIRLS PEARLS by TALK IS MONEY)
 
PID-6   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEDGE Jul29 Jun19       (walden william)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
SCR  MO DODGY Sep19 Sep09 Aug16 Jul04 Jun01 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00    
CARNIVAL ROCK Sep19 Aug26       (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
EXPRESSO BAY Sep09 Aug13       (beattie )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
LEFTNATEAWALKIN Sep19 Aug13 Jul07     (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
JES SEE ME Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13   (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
SCR  WILDNCRAZYGUY Sep12 Aug24 Jul26     (lucas anthony)ROJAS MARTINA 120 4.50    
MR RANDY Sep19 Aug07       (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
 
PID-7   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCCI Sep28 Aug27 Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00    
SCR  TODDCHERO Sep19 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun04 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
CALL ME LATER Sep29 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Oct23 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
SAINT GOAR Sep29 Aug26 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 49% 1.10    
DOWAGIAC CHIEF Sep19 Sep08 Aug11 Jul23 Jun10 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
DRUNK ON SAKE Aug13 Jul09 Jun16 May27 Apr26 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 6.00    
SCR  YOU BET A FORTUNE Sep09 Aug12 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (bernardini j)AYALA J 123 3.00    
 
PID-8   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEDSOE Oct01 Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 Jul01 (jones micha)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 20.00    
EXTRA MEDIUM Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 123 15.00 9% 9.90    
LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
WE CALLED SOL Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (baez n)AYALA J 120 5.00    
FADETHENOISE Sep22 Sep03 Jul20 Jun27 May26 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 125 1.60    
SHY DA RUNNER Oct02 Sep15 Sep03 Aug09 Jul19 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 125 2.50    
FACE DOWN Sep24 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul02 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.50 19% 4.10    
RANSOM MONEY Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.