Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Genesee Valley
Saturday - October 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GV-1   10/11/2025 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY TEACHER (GB) May04 Mar30 Nov05 Oct08 Oct02 (neilson ka)KORRELL VIRGINIA 160   42% 1.40    
  (by FASCINATING ROCK out of SEE EMILY PLAY by GALILEO (ARG))
2  VADAVVERO (IRE)         (young leslie )CARBERRY LUKE 153      
  (by VADAMOS out of DAVVERO by MARJU)
3  THE RED FOX Oct18 Oct06 Sep20 Sep01 Jun09 (mckenna todd)TIERNEY CONOR 160      
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  OLD STYLE HUMOR (IRE) Mar30 May05       (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 165   ★    
  (by AIZAVOSKI out of ROYAL LUSO by LUSO)
 
GV-2   10/11/2025 15840ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($15K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF GRACE May07         (pinkard casey)PINKARD CASEY 153   31% 2.20    
2  RHYTHMIA Mar31 Nov05 May07 Apr22 Mar26 (mckenna todd)TIERNEY CONOR 170   39% 1.60    
3  PROJECT TWO (IRE) Oct15 Aug31 Aug01     (young leslie )CARBERRY LUKE 158      
4  MASTER SEVILLE May07 Apr22 Apr15 Oct22 Mar27 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 170   ★    
5  CREALION (FR)         (garner tho)KORRELL VIRGINIA 160      
6  NORTHERN THUNDER Jan27 Dec29 Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 (pinkard casey)SULLIVAN BEN 150      
 
GV-3   10/11/2025 18480ft TURF RC11 FIRM Genesee Valley Hunt Cup Timber Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD GAME Mar30 Mar30 Nov13 Oct29 Oct02 (neilson kathy)WYATT JAMES 160      
  (by HARD SPUN out of GRAND SLAM GIRL by GRAND SLAM)
2  GOODOLDTIMES (IRE) Apr29 Apr15       (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 165      
  (by GOLD WELL out of BALLINLOVANEEILE by ALPHABATIM)
3  UCO VALLEY (IRE) Nov02 Mar31 Mar25 Nov05 Oct15 (young leslie )CARBERRY LUKE 165   55% 0.80    
  (by VADAMOS out of MUSICAL RAIN by VAL ROYAL (FR))
4  SHOOTIST Mar30 Nov05 Apr29 Apr22   (mckenna todd)TIERNEY CONOR 165   16% 5.20    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of HEATHERDOESNTBLUFF by OLD TRIESTE)
5  THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) Nov05 Oct14 May13 May07 Apr22 (young f)NO RIDER 160   ★    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
6  ETERNAL STORY (FR) Nov02 Jul26 Apr30     (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 160      
  (by SIDESTEP out of EARTH AFFAIR by ACATENANGO (GER))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.