Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/2/1/6)-(4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/6/3)-(9/4/2/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ARP-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(9/4/2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ARP-7   WIN (9/4/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/3/1)-(9/4/2/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/3/1)-(9/4/2/3/1)-(9/4/2/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-3   10/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUFYS REWARD Oct17         (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 3.50 71% 0.40    
INVINCIBLE ANGEL Sep12 Aug30 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MARY Sep19 Aug02 Nov15 Sep28 Aug03 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 2.50    
ZIP IT KAREN Sep28 Sep14 Sep06 Jul27 Jul06 (scudder rick)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
STEEL SPUN Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 4.50    
SUNRISE MAGIC Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jun14 Jun06 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-4   10/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMINTHEBLUEGRAS Aug10         (loftin linda)RAMOS B 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of MORETHANAWARNING by MORE THAN READY)
REAL SILK Oct03 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of UNION SILK by UNION RAGS)
SCR  AUNT ALEX Feb14 Jan26 Jan05 Sep12 Aug15 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VALLEY OAK by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
ROBIN RED Sep19 Aug13 Jul11 May11   (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BLUE SAMURAI by ORIENTATE (GB))
BANDERSNATCH Sep21 Sep12 Apr05     (dillenbeck bruce)CARRENO J 120 10.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of CAUSEWAY R. N. by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
AUNT DEE Sep19         (esquibel mar)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of ULTIMATE BEAUTY by FRIENDS LAKE)
TAPIT CARA Nov15 Oct20       (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 6.00    
  (by APACHE PARK out of TAPIT LIGHTLY by TAPIT)
RECTIFY Sep19 Sep03 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 (rushton temple)DELORME L 120 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AVERYMERRYMOMENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
ARP-5   10/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESACINCH Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
NORTHERN GEM Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul26 Jul12 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
SABRIA Aug31 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 Jun13 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
IRISH TAP Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May31 May09 (arceo antoni)CARRENO J 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
COLLIER Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 Jun14 Jun06 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
 
ARP-6   10/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYIN A THIRST Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 (leon alexis)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
STAR STUDDED BANNA Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19   (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
SHE'S SO TRUE Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 6% 16.50    
GLITTERS ANDIE Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 May10 Apr17 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
MASTER JANE Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 Jun27 May25 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.00    
CANDY HAPPY Sep21 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Sep21 (scudder jr)CARRENO J 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
ARP-7   10/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UKRAINE STRONG Sep27 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug17 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BETTER EDGE Sep28 Sep13 Jul18 Jun21 May24 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
TERRY'S SERVICE Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
GOODBYE NOW Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 (mitchell chris)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MORE THAN EASY Sep13 Aug07 Jun29 May24 May03 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
TOP WOLF Sep07 Aug03 Jul05 Jan05 Dec06 (dillenbeck bruce)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
ORO Sep27 Aug17 Aug03 Jul02 Jun11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
NOBLE LAKER Sep07 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 120 6.00    
JIMMY Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 Jun20 May25 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
10  GUTFIELD Sep07 Nov17 Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.