Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/5/1)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($7.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL PUNCH Aug30 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 Jul05 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
2  ARIZONA STEPHEN Sep12 Aug22 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PALACE ATTAINED May02 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
4  OUR BUBBY BOY Oct27 Oct19 Oct04 Sep22 Sep27 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 ★    
5  LET'S TIE ONE ON Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 May31 (scudder r)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  PAYNTED BLUE Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 Apr12 Dec29 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
7  WORK ORDER Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul05 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
 
ARP-2   10/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNFATHOMED Sep19 Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul18 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  STATE SCHOOL SMART Sep14 Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 Jul04 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  WE CALL HIM DOC Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (warren kayla)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00    
4  BRAYBRAY Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 2.50    
5  PARTY FOUL Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jun01 Apr26 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
6  TOP OF THE ROCK Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 Aug09 Jul12 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  J'S LITTLE MAN Sep21 Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
 
ARP-3   10/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE FLASH Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
2  ANCHORS AND SPURS Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
3  STAND BY TIME Sep14 Aug19 Jul26 Jul13 Jul06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00    
4  MILLIGANMIKEANDME Sep12 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 May30 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
5  PAYTON'S INDIAN Sep14 Aug19 Jul21 Jul04 Jun22 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  TRIBAL SPIRIT Sep01 Aug04 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
 
ARP-4   10/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ART QUEEN Sep21 Jul26 Jul11 Jul06 Jun29 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
2  IRISH PRANCER Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 Aug09 (amezquita carlos)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
3  DODGEBALL Sep14 Aug10 May23 May03 Apr25 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Sep19 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
5  AMY D Sep19 Sep14 Aug22 Jul27 Jun08 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
6  HAYNESPUN Sep19 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 2.50    
 
ARP-5   10/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING LADY Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 4.00 9% 10.00    
2  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Sep21 Sep14 Aug20 Mar29 Mar15 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  FULL SPIRIT Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00    
4  DADS ESTRELLA Jul26 Jun15 May31 Mar22 Feb22 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00 13% 6.40    
5  VIRTUALLY Sep10 Aug13 Jun29 Sep08 Aug11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
6  LONG MAY SHE RUN Sep27 Aug29 Aug10 Jul20 Jun13 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50    
7  CONNECTABLE Aug16 Aug06 May30 May03 Mar29 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 5.00    
8  ANNIE FOX Sep21 Aug03 Jul03 Jun14 Apr28 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.