Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(6/3/1)-(6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/2/4)-(2/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/3/4)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(5/2/3)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/4/5)-(3/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Aug21 Jul10 Jun02 May08 Apr11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
2  BROADWAY SKY Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 (winters michell)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ICE BLAST Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  ROYAL DRAGOON Sep23 Aug03 Jun12 May22 Mar01 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 4.50    
5  NAPA DUDE Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Mar27 Mar01 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 12.00    
6  MONTAUK COVE Sep18 Jul17 Jun30 Jun12 May26 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DARK BARON Sep09 Aug18 Jul08 May22 May05 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 8% 11.90    
 
TDN-2   10/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLYESTER BRIDE Sep22 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 6% 16.60    
2  SPECIAL BEACH Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 May13 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
3  MISS SHADY Sep24 Aug14 Jul07 May21 Apr11 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  MAY MAYS CASTLE Aug11 Jul01 Jun17 May29 May05 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 6.00    
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 Jul28 Jul09 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50    
6  MALICED Aug20 Jun11 May22 May03 Apr22 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-3   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RINGTHATBELL Sep12 Aug06 Jun25     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 3.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
2  CRICKLEWOOD         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of ROSETTA GRAY by EQUALITY (GB))
3  MY PAISAN Sep12 Aug25       (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
4  BAD BOY ROY         (langley joshua)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00 19% 4.30    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MISTIE ROYALE by MIZZEN MAST)
5  SAMMY'S HALO Sep12 Aug25 Aug06     (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 2.00    
  (by DRILL out of REFLECTING RIVA by LION HEARTED)
6  BOSABROTHER Sep12 Aug25       (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by CORFU out of BAY JA VU by KETTLE CORN)
 
TDN-4   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 May19 May03 (poole m)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May28 May07 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
3  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Sep24 Sep01 Aug21 Jul14 Jun25 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 1.60 8% 12.20    
4  PARLAY CHARLIE Sep11 Aug26 Jul15 Jun18 Mar03 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
5  FLASHY N Sep09 Aug21 Mar27 Mar20 Mar05 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 2.50    
 
TDN-5   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTOWN DREAM Sep12 Aug25 Aug06     (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM ON JILLY by OVERANALYZE)
2  GLORY REIGNS Sep12 Aug25       (higham ni)MARTINEZ L 118 1.60 33% 2.10    
  (by ONE SIDED out of GLORIOUS VENEZUELA by BIG BROWN)
3  SCIOTO Sep12 Aug13       (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 24% 3.10    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MISS VAN GOGH by VINDICATION)
4  RASCAL FLASH         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by DRILL out of ZARLANZ by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  CHASING ORION         (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 4.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of NOMIRACLESNEEDED by UNION RAGS)
6  RIVERS OF WEALTH Sep12 Aug25 Aug06     (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 118 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of CALLMEBELLA by PALACE MALICE)
 
TDN-6   10/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING IN STYLE Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00    
2  WILLFUL DESIRE Aug23 Jul27 Jun15 May13 Mar29 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 23% 3.40    
3  MISS ATHLETIC Sep15 Aug05 Jul14 Jun18 May26 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIMELY SECRET Aug28 Aug11 Jul28 Jun15 Apr28 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 121 4.50    
5  MALI BALI Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
TDN-7   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN RANSOM Aug20 Jul03 May12 Apr22 Oct29 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  SMOOCHER Sep11 Aug13 Jun17 May28 Mar04 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
3  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun16 May14 Apr24 Oct03 Sep16 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
4  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Jul30 Jun26 Jun01 Apr18 Mar14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 115 1.80 22% 3.50    
5  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Sep11 Aug12 Jul07 Feb08 Jan15 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAMBLER Sep11 Aug06 Jul03 May27 Apr22 (ccamaq)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   10/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Sep11 Aug29 Aug11 Apr10 Mar19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
2  OVERLOAD Sep18 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
3  BISCUITS AND GRITS Sep18 Jun12 May07 Apr21 Mar30 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 39% 1.50    
4  PECKS NOT BAD Sep09 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jul16 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  SHOW SLIDING HOME Sep18 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Apr21 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EL MARRO Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 Jun25 Jun04 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
7  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Sep18 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 13% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.