Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/5/3)-(1/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/2/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(2/3/8/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY THE DOTS Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
2  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00    
3  LONHRO'S GAMBLE Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul25 Jul07 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  CANTUCCI Sep15 Aug12 Jul27 Jul18 Jun26 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.40 22% 3.50    
5  DEFOGGER Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Aug05 Jul08 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME J D Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul18 Jun27 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  M C JACKHAMMER Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul22 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 124 4.50    
3  FOREST FLASH Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
4  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Sep02 Aug10 Jul21 Jul09 Jun29 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 8.00    
5  LULU'S LULLABY Sep15 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXCEED Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (roberts kristi)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00    
 
FE-3   09/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIKEN THE VIKING Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  DANCING IN RIO Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Jul25 Dec13 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
3  ALWAY'S ROSIE Sep15 Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 7% 12.70    
4  LET'S BE FIRST Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 Jul17 Jul03 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.00    
5  HYPER ANGEL Sep15 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Sep07 (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  HOLYMOLYMEOHMY Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug10 Jul05 (gittens devon)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 2.50    
 
FE-4   09/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREVESS Sep01 Aug18 Jul03 Jun15 May27 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
2  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Sep23 Aug18 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 (crete pierre)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  SILVER CANDICE Aug18 Jul22 Jul14 May27 Dec10 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
4  LEZIATE Jul27 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (husb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUIET MADDELENA Aug31 Aug07 Jun19 May22 May03 (chirc)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 2.00    
 
FE-5   09/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S GO LIAM Sep06 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 120 2.00    
2  GHOST BUSTED Sep16 Sep07 Aug22     (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  DADDY SEND MONEY Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 Jun07 Dec08 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  JERSEY KING Aug12 Jul21 Jun23     (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEARD A GHOST Aug17 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Dec13 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50    
 
FE-6   09/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MESEEKS Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 (mitche)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
2  STYLISH GENT Sep12 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Jun13 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  MIA AND ME Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 8% 12.20    
5  HEAT MERCHANT Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul25 Jun26 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 122 12.00    
6  ITS JUST MONEY Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 Jul18 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
7  HEY CUE Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 Jun13 May04 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.00    
8  HALF TO RELOAD Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.