Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (8/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/7)-(3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/7)-(3/1/8)-(7/2/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(7/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(7/2/5/8)-(3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/8)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/8)-(3/7/5)-(1/2/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/2/8/5)-(2/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/5)-(2/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/5)-(2/5/1/3)-(1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(1/8/6)-(3/2/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MARI BROWN         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
TINA'S BACK Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 May29 May02 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.00    
REMY'S TOP GUN Sep12 Aug23 Aug16 Jul10 May23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
HOLD DEM Sep12 Aug09 Jul05 Jun12 Jun03 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 124 30.00    
RIVER PLATE Nov23         (reyes d)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
GOLDEN PLUNGE Sep06 Mar06 Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 (atkins mic)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
GONE TO CARO Aug23 Jul25 Mar28 Mar07   (brown a)LARA VICTOR 108 20.00 5% 19.00    
EYESONTHECANDY Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 Jun12 (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-2   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALINA EXPRESS Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 Jul05 Dec04 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
RACING HOT LINE Sep04 Aug01 Jul11 Jun06 May08 (barber l)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
CONNECT THE DOTS Sep07 Aug13 Jun15 May08 Apr18 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  POWERED BY LOVE Sep04 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun12 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.20    
SUPER LINO Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 Aug15 (mcgill)RIOS-CONDE JR 120 20.00    
FULL PROOF Sep06 Aug16 Dec01 Oct17 Sep07 (clagett c)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 8.00    
SCR  IL MARCHESSE Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 Nov20 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50    
C R'S UNCLE LINO Sep04 Aug07 Apr26 Feb23 Dec16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
CT-3   09/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILDHUNCH Aug22 Jul26 Mar14 Feb14 Dec16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
TOUR GUIDE Aug16 Jul25 Jun28 Jun05 May22 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
STRATEGIST Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul13 Jun27 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Aug20 Jul31 Jul11 Jun05 May01 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
ESPRESSO Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jun26 May23 (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 8% 10.80    
RICK'SWARMHEART Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 May10 Apr13 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
DORADO Sep12 Aug14 May02 Apr19 Mar15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
ROBBIELIKESHIM Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 Jun09 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
 
CT-4   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLD DESERT Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jun27 (johnson dewa)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
DIRECT APPEAL Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 (clatterbuck)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
BAIL IS DENIED Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 1.20 56% 0.80    
FLYIN MAYAN Sep12 Aug16 Jun21 May30 May08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
BAD LINEAGE Sep04 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Jun12 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Aug21 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May10 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 120 12.00    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Aug07 May15 Apr25 Mar20 Dec13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
CT-5   09/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNDING THE KIDS Sep04 Jul24 Jun21     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
CRY TOUGH Jul19 Jul10 May24 Aug01   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
FIRST PRINT Sep04 Jul24 Jun27 Apr26 Feb27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
GRAND INTENTIONS Sep04 Aug07 Jun27 May31 Apr26 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
LIL KNOCKOUT Sep06 Jul26 Jul19 Jun21 May24 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
FAR MORE Apr26 Apr05 Nov20 Oct18 Sep14 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS Aug23 Jul25 Apr23 Mar30   (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
MEDALLION OF ASH Jun27 Jan11 Dec14     (cromer leslie)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSY BAY Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 Jun20 May23 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.50    
 
CT-6   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZACHAMUNDO Jul03 May30 May02 Mar14 Feb01 (runco c)BELISARIO JUAN 111 10.00 6% 16.50    
PASCALINE Sep05 Jul19 Jun14 May10 Apr19 (delacour arnaud)CRUZ ANGEL 118 0.60 66% 0.50    
ANNAPOLIS ROAD Sep12 Aug16 Jul19 Jun21 May24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
GIMMETHATSUGAR Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jun27 May30 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
PRIME SHOPPING Dec04 Nov09 Oct12 Aug24 Jul13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 7% 13.40    
RUM N COKE Sep04 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 20.00    
SCR  TOODLESWASMYNAME Jul17 Jul03 Jun21 May30 May08 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 20.00    
MIDNIGHT MESA Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May10 Feb01 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/25/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KASS N KIKI Sep05         (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
SABURO'S VOW Aug15 Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr26 (dollinger-)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 20.00    
SCR  IRISH DELIGHT Aug09 Jul31 Jun28 May23 May01 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00    
COUNTRY CHERRY Jun13 Mar22       (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 1.60    
SCR  RIDE TO REMEMBER Sep12 Aug15 May24 May08 Apr17 (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 118 15.00    
MISS MENETES Feb26 Feb01 Jan10     (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWAN Aug15 Jul26 Jun07 May17 Apr26 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
CARIBBEAN COMEDY Aug15 Jul03 Apr03 Feb26 Feb07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-8   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY MAC Jul18 Jun21 May22 Apr24 Mar27 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
LONA LEE Aug14 Jul12 Jun20 May29 May16 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
MARILYN MOONROE Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
TALENTED LORD Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
YES TO LOVE Sep02 Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00    
NO DENYING DENIS Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 May29 May16 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00    
BARAPHA Aug07 Jun12 Apr19 Apr04 Mar21 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
OVER THE BULL Aug22 Jul26 Jun21 May10 Apr26 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.