Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/5)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/5/6)-(9/7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(9/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(9/7/1/3)-(8/9/5/10/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/3)-(9/7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/3)-(9/7/2/1/3)-(9/7/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/1/3)-(8/9/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-5   WIN (8/9/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/10/7)-(8/9/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/10/7)-(8/9/5/10/7)-(8/9/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/5/10/7)-(4/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/3)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/3)-(1/2/4)-(2/8/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKELLIG ISLAND Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (torelli stacy)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
PERCY Sep02 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
VIKING WARRIOR Sep02 Aug19 Jul17 Jun27 May25 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50    
JOHN THE BAPTIST Jul26 Jun28 May09 Mar12 Feb09 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
DR. DARBY Sep02 Apr23 Mar01 Feb15 Nov25 (huertas nirk)HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD AS HE GETS Sep02 Aug11 Jul24 Jul04 Jun22 (saul dana)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
UNITY DREAMS Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun15 (mcclung b)RUSSELL C 121 20.00    
ON CLOUD WINE Aug19 Jul01 Oct30 Oct16 Sep18 (smith troy)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
 
FL-2   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA BANKER Sep03 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (oyola david)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.00    
OUCH THAT HURT Sep03 Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 Nov18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
MERAVIGLIOSO Sep03 Aug19 Nov25 Oct15 Oct02 (gutierr)CINTRON YALEXAMARIE 117 3.00    
BAD CONNECTION Sep03 Aug20 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MRS BELL Sep03 Aug20 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 (dean victo)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
FAST FRAN Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 Jun10 Nov11 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
FL-3   09/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZEE MAGIC Sep01 Jul23 Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
LIPAN LAW Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
SHOCK Aug06 Jul15 Jun19 May24 Apr13 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00    
LU'S REDEMPTION Aug05 Jun11 May27 Jan24 Dec15 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 2.50    
EKWANOK Sep01 Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 May19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
SHE TAKES CASH Sep01 May13 Feb09 Feb02 Dec21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
 
FL-4   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH BOY AL Jul16 Jun26 Jun09 Nov26 Oct18 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
BOBBY THE TANK Aug20 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 May12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Aug26 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (acquilano james)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GANDY DANCING Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 Jul14 (ronen a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
SMILE TAKES CHARGE Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 Nov12 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
DON ANTONIO Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun09 May06 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 10.00    
INDY COWBOY Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun09 May13 (grabowski a)PENA LUIS 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
THANK YOU JON Aug26 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Aug26 Jun26 May14 Dec12 Nov27 (engleha)NAVARRO J 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
FL-5   09/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SAINT Aug01 Jun04       (joseph saff)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00    
TIP OF THE BOOT Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 May27 (fung christo)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
GIANT IMPACT Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (smith t)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
HERETICKLE Sep02 Aug25 Jul11 Jun28 May25 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
FAST AMENDMENT Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun02 Mar21 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
ARMENIAN DANCER (GB) Aug26 Aug13 Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 (grusmark karl)PENA LUIS 121 20.00    
NOT MY TYPE Aug25 Jul28 Jul16 Nov26 Nov18 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
DRACULA (AUS) Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 Apr25 Apr05 (sel)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
WHISKEY FRENS Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jan18 Dec08 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
10  BELMONT UNION Sep08 Aug25 Aug07 Jul24 Jul13 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 121 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  EL BOMBI Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 (reed a)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00    
 
FL-6   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROBABLY FLATTERY Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
BIG BROWN DELIVERS Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jun27 Aug30 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
HOLY DANCER Aug25 Aug05 Jul11 May24 Apr12 (zito nicholas )COA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
MAGIC BEACH Aug11 Jul16 Jun15 May03 Apr11 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MAGIC MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
ROLLOFTHESOUL         (bond brent)RUSSELL C 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of FANDANGA by FORESTRY)
REDHOTNOTBOTHERED Sep01         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SAVASANA by SCATMANDU)
A FEW CHOICE WORDS Jul28         (barrow paul)HARKIE K 121 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of YOLIE'S CHOICE by SILVER DEPUTY)
ASLEEP AT EIGHT Aug20 Jun30 May01 Apr06 Oct30 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY SKY by SKY MESA)
 
FL-7   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA MI JO DREAMS Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 Jun03 Nov19 (buckley jonathan )CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
THIN LEGS Sep03 Jul14 Jun10 Apr28 Nov18 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 Jun17 May21 (englehart c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
HYPNOCURRENCY Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 Jun26 (pettine m)ROHENA M 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  RUMINT May17 Apr21 Mar04 Feb07 Jan27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
TUMBLES Sep03 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Aug06 Jun27 Jun27 Mar09 Feb06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
 
FL-8   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE TRAIL Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jun09 Nov27 (gibbs jermaine)DIAZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  FLYIN BY May28 May05 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 (smith troy)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
SWEET TOOTH SUE Aug27 Aug04 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAUFY FUTURES Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 124 3.50    
FRANNIE LEW Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Sep13 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.00    
SCR  SUPER SLIDE Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 May21 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
REMOANE Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 Jun10 (lopez arcadio)GOMEZ O 124 6.00    
FEDALIA Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 (murphy p)RUSSELL C 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
DEVILLY Sep02 Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.