Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/5/6/2)-(5/9/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(5/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(5/9/6/7)-(3/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (5/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/6/7)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/7)-(3/6/5)-(6/8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(3/7/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/5)-(3/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/5)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/2)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/10/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/4/10/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/4/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/7/9)-(3/4/10/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/7/9)-(3/4/10/7/9)-(3/4/10/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENUINE PERIL Aug22 Aug06 Jul16 Sep04 Aug03 (munoz carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.20 56% 0.80    
2  CATARINA Aug15 Jul25 Apr23 Apr05 Feb14 (azpurua eduardo )RUIZ JORGE 120 4.00    
3  LONG GONE SALLY Aug22 Aug06 Jul10 Jun13 May17 (braddy j)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  PAROLA SICURA Aug15 Jul23 Jun28 Apr18 Sep16 (werneth robert)BOYCE FOREST 121 3.50    
5  BLUESKYSLOOKINATME Sep01 Jul18 Feb21 Jan31 Nov29 (locklear jam)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SET ABLAZE Sep01 Aug15 Jun15 May25 Apr25 (godsey kare)HAMILTON WESTON 118 6.00    
7  COUSHATTA CUTIE Sep01 Aug07 Jul23 May21 Apr23 (hunt d)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
 
CNL-2   09/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A PROUD NOTE Aug06 Jul16 Jun27 May25 Apr19 (shankle j)CARRASCO R 118 3.00    
2  HUMOR SENSE Aug22 Jul17 Jun05 Feb21 Jan24 (ochoa ge)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAJUN EXPECTATION Sep01 Aug01 Jul17 Jun05 May04 (hester leanne)MORENO ANGEL 122 6.00    
4  BETSYLICIOUS Aug01 Apr04 Sep04 Jul05 Apr20 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  CHUBLIN Sep01 Jun28 Jun13 May16 Mar15 (bailes robert)CENTENO E 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  DREAM LEADER Sep01 Aug20 Apr24 Mar27 Mar08 (durr cody)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAMEO Sep01 Jul25 Apr30 Apr12 Feb26 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 3.50    
8  MISSY BOSS Aug22 Aug07 Jun13 May16 Apr14 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00    
 
CNL-3   09/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID'S CHOICE         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 6.00    
SCR  GLOBAL PURSUIT         (stites fli)SANCHEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  SNOWBOARDER Aug23         (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 119 30.00    
4  LA CHISMOSA         (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 119 5.00    
5  KISS ME MO Aug13         (hohlbein ke)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  COURAGE ON TAP Aug20 Jul24       (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 15% 5.80    
7  SCAT         (mccutchen )HUSBANDS J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  LA JEFACITA         (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
9  TAP INTO GRACE Aug08         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  NENAS STAR Aug27         (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
 
CNL-4   09/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAEZ Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jul18 Jun08 (azpurua eduard)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
2  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Aug27 Jul23 Jun25 May29 Apr23 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00    
3  HAPPY CAT Aug29 Jun28 Jun21 Aug24 Jun16 (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  SLIPPIN JIMMY Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jul09 May25 (mccutchen j)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.50    
5  NO ANGEL Aug22 Jul25 May19 May02 Mar19 (lusk r)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  READY FOR A FIGHT Aug22 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May18 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Jul16 Dec27 Dec12 Nov08 Oct26 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
 
CNL-5   09/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUCCI VISION Mar13 Feb02       (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 121 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FRIPPERY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  WAR THUNDER Sep04 Feb01 Jan15 Dec11 Oct26 (brown kelt)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of LYRICALLY by THUNDER GULCH)
3  LONESOME ROAD Jul16         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WALK OF STARS by STREET SENSE)
4  VOLUNTEER FIREMAN Aug09 Jul05 Jun14     (ryan s)BOYCE FOREST 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HAPPY HARMONY by RUNHAPPY)
SCR  FREE COSTS TO MUCH         (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of GAL NEXT DOOR by LIMEHOUSE)
6  FINESTKIND Aug13         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 121 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
7  GAELICHEARTOFGOLD         (perkins ben )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BELLS IRISH FANCY by DUNKIRK)
8  FALCON BLUE Aug28 Jul26 Jun20 May26 Apr25 (joy j)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FLIRTATION WALK by OUTFLANKER)
 
CNL-6   09/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN LIGHT DAY Aug09         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART LOVE KISS by ZENSATIONAL)
2  BEYBE BETO Aug29 Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 (vazquez jose )MORALES ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
3  BEHOLD THE KING Aug29 Jul25       (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 119 1.00 51% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
4  SEAL BAY Aug02 Jun29       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
  (by TETHRA out of SIFTING SNOW by SAME DIRECTION)
5  SARATOGA SLACK Sep01         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLOUD STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
6  PRACTICAL JOKER Aug08         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DADDY'S DUO by SCAT DADDY)
7  CULOIR Jul25         (duarte jr)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
8  BRAVO BRODY Aug29         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of RUSHEN HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
CNL-7   09/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM PRINCIPLE Jan31 Dec14 Nov02 Oct06 Sep07 (ochoa ge)GALLARDO A 122 30.00    
2  HE'SPUREGOLD Aug10 Jul06 May24 Nov02 Sep29 (breen j)CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FOREVER SOUPER Aug11 Jun21 May24 May03 Mar30 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  RAPTOR'S (BRZ) Aug20 Jul26 Apr17 Jan25 Jun27 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  STRONG QUALITY Jun19 Apr06 Jan31 Aug11 Jun08 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00    
6  SIEGE OF BOSTON Aug10 Jun28 Dec21 Oct13 Aug29 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00    
SCR  FULMINEO Aug16 Jun21 May24 Apr19 Sep07 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLING POINT Sep06 Aug15 Nov30 Oct26 Jul13 (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00    
 
CNL-8   09/12/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET HER PASS BY Aug06         (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
2  REST ASHORE Aug28         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
3  LADY VALOR Aug13         (campbell michael)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  IVY GARDEN         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 15.00 9% 9.60    
5  SHINING AWAY Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12   (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
6  INDE ROSE Aug28         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00    
7  KELSEY HILL GIRL Aug28 Jul31       (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUSICAL POWER Aug23 Aug06 Jul26 Jul12   (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 4.00    
9  KIP         (rivera justin)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  GELINOTTE Aug23         (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  CRIMSON RED Aug25 Aug06       (cobb margar)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.