Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(2/1/3)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/6/2)-(4/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/1/3)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL SMOKESHOW Jun02 Jun26 Jun15 May15 May02 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00    
IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Jun25 Jun07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec09 (cline rober)NUNEZ Y 123 6.00 41% 1.40    
J. P INDY Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 Jun07 Apr23 (cline c)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
SCR  ELECTRIC MELODY Jul14 Jun25 May19 Dec27 Oct26 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 1.60    
EMERALD EYES Aug08 Jul12 Jun24 May30 May09 (salcedo ramon)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT BULL Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Oct06   (rodriquez r)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
FORT BLING Aug14 Aug01 Jun28 May23 Jan25 (tsirigotis )BLANCHE RISHAWN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHASIN' CHAFFIN Aug01 Jul13 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 121 2.50    
BABALO'S BOY Aug16 Jul19 Jun18     (ramos rafa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
TWICE BITTEN Jul29 Jul10 Jun16 May29   (garcia genar)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 4.00    
SUNDAY SURPRIZE Mar13 Feb12 Jan04 Oct15 Sep12 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 125 12.00    
 
BTP-3   09/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGYPTIAN QUEST Aug15 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun28 (adams nan)CORREA L 125 4.50 29% 2.40    
HIGH ENOUGH Aug08 Jun22 Jun05 May16 Apr24 (habeeb j)MOJICA JR 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
HOWARD'S GRIT Aug21 Aug13 Jul21 Jul04 Jun23 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ICE MINISTER Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (asbury davi)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.50    
SKY KEY Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jun28 Jun19 (melancon paul)PAULY SUMMER 118 12.00    
SCR  ACE ON THE TURN Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 Jun13 May15 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50    
 
BTP-4   09/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIMES Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 May23 Nov06 (lauer mic)CORREA L 125 2.50    
MOON PARTY Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Sep20 (haehn r)OUZTS W 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGED LEGACY Jul17 Jun25 Sep19 Aug06 Jun12 (garcia genar)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 1.40 51% 1.00    
BEL ARIA Aug20 Jul11 Jul02 Jun13 May30 (townley s)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 3.50    
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug20 Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 Aug29 (bates l)PAULY SUMMER 120 12.00    
SYLLABUS Aug20 Aug14 Jul30 Jul19 Jun18 (dominguez )HERNANDEZ A 125 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
BTP-5   09/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELTOWEES BLING Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 Jun25   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
LOW STANDARDS Aug01         (danner kelsey)MOJICA JR 122 6.00    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
MONEY MAGIC Aug13         (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 12.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
TOM'S AVATAR Aug26 Aug05       (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of VALLEY OF MO'ARA by OVERANALYZE)
LIGHTNING SPEED Aug22 Aug01 Jul03     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 2.50 13% 6.60    
  (by TWO PUNCH out of FIVE STAR NIGHT by STAR DE NASKRA)
COOL LUCKY         (cline rob)CORREA L 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
  (by ACCELERATE out of TOO COOL by SHAKESPEARE)
R U ENTICED Jul03         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 4.50    
  (by ENTICED out of R U FORREAL by DISTORTED REALITY)
SCARED CAUSE Aug22 Aug01 Jul03     (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 122 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MOONLIGHT RIDE by MALIBU MOON)
 
BTP-6   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOSSIER Jul26 Jul02 Jun07 May20 Dec05 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
BOLD ADVENTURE Aug04 Jul09 May14 Apr21 Mar28 (loveland del)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
SCR  CELTIC MISCHIEF Aug22 Aug14 Jul16 Oct03 Aug29 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
COMMANDO JOE Aug13 Jul26 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (brownfield clau)MOJICA JR 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
CABALLO FELIZ Aug20 Jun05 May23 May06 Mar29 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
CHIEF BUCKEYE Aug08 Jul10 Jul01 Jun12 Jun26 (salcedo ra)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   09/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD OF WINE Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 (cristel m)CORREA L 123 1.80 21% 3.90    
BOURBON STATE Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jul09 Jun13 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 3.00    
MOON CHARGER Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jul04 Jun24 (cambray andres)HERMAN NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOBO SALVAJE Feb12 Jan24 Dec14 Nov17 Nov06 (salas marce)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
BAMBY BOOM Aug21 Jul30 Jun24 Jun01 May20 (cambray andre)ORANTES CESAR 114 15.00    
FORGE IN FIRE Aug02 Jun27 Jun08 Apr26 Feb06 (alvarez nery)DIAZ CESAR 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
BTP-8   09/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALILEE Aug02 Jun19 Aug02 Jul25 Mar26 (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ N 123 10.00    
CASANOVA KITTEN Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 May21 May03 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
KARMA DIRECTOR Aug21 Aug06 Jul09 Jun19 May16 (baez serg)CORREA L 125 6.00    
SCR  DEL MO Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Sep19 Sep04 (orantes jose)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.50    
SCR  STITZY Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 May21 Apr06 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 20.00    
JURA Aug14 Aug02 Jul02 Jun19 May15 (baez sergi)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
PICKFORD Aug14 Jul30 Jun19 Feb02 Dec01 (conto kevin)PARKER L 123 5.00    
SCR  COUNT FROST Aug27 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 Jun07 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.50    
SCR  AZURE SKY Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 Jun04 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.