Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/5/4)-(1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/2/5)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(8/5/1/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(8/5/1/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(8/5/1/7/9)-(1/7/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/5/1/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7/9)-(8/5/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7/9)-(8/5/1/7/9)-(8/5/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/1/7/9)-(1/7/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/7/9)-(1/7/6/5)-(4/6/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-8   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5)-(4/6/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-9   WIN (4/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/2)-(4/6/9/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/2)-(4/6/9/7/2)-(4/6/9/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POCO YO Aug22         (maravilla jorg)MORENO JAIRO 116 8.00    
POINT MAKER Aug17 Jun29 Jun15 Jun14   (greiner gar)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 10% 9.30    
LUCKY'S SNIPER Aug08 Jul11 Jun01 May18 Apr27 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
TOWHEE Aug08 Jul19 Oct06 Jan13   (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 1.40    
LUCKY'S LOADED Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14   (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.20 54% 0.90    
 
EMD-2   08/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEPHELE Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 Jun14 May24 (tubbs scott)MONTALVO C 121 4.50    
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug02 Jun21 Jun07 May11 Aug24 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
SEXZIE Aug09 Jul27 Jun15 May30 Apr06 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 2.00    
STRIKING NOTES Aug09 Jul26 Feb20 Feb04 Jan06 (gibson vince)HALDAR J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIVER DANCE Aug23 Jul13 Jun13 May26 Mar10 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
EMD-3   08/31/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 2 ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HACKSAW MOUNTAIN Aug24         (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
MILKMAN EXPRESS         (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
MELVINS LUTE         (simkins ros)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 4.50    
MORE THAN ORDINARY Aug16         (thomas jamey)HALDAR J 120 2.50    
MY FRIEND JOHN         (koch neil )CASTILLO E 115 10.00 16% 5.40    
OLIVER TIZ Aug01 Jun22       (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
EMD-4   08/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARNIE BOY Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jul03 Jun06 (markle dan)ALVARADO T 121 2.50    
RIDING BY Aug23 Jul05 Jun28 May09 Apr06 (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 0.80 54% 0.90    
BEAR ENCOUNTER Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 Jul26 (villamar c)CASTILLO E 120 15.00    
GET DOWN Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 May18 (harwood ryl)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
LET ME HELP YOU Aug23 Aug08       (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL HORTON Aug08 Jun01       (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00    
 
EMD-5   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHAROAHS LIST Aug10 Aug01 Jul20 Jul12 Jun20 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOUIE THE FIRST Aug03 Jul25 May18 Sep06 Aug17 (wright blain)HALDAR J 125 4.00    
K R RULES Aug24 Aug03 Jul12 May24 May10 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.50    
JULLIAN IN PARIS Aug17 Aug03 Jun27 Jun15 May26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00 66% 0.50    
MISTER MIDAS Aug24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 May11 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
CONRAD MEADOWS Aug03 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May26 (navarro jose)MONTALVO C 125 5.00    
 
EMD-6   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATE GUARD Aug17 Jul11       (thomas ruby)HALDAR J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON DANCER Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 May18 Mar16 (trujillo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
EMPIRE WARRIOR Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May18 (tubbs scott)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
ANGIER Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul20 May05 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
SPECTACULAR TIGER Aug16 Jul11 Jun27 May31 Apr27 (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
TRUE MANTRA Aug03 Feb09 Nov29 Oct20 Sep22 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 121 8.00    
 
EMD-7   08/31/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENNARD Aug01 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May31 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
J T'S WATCH Aug08 Jul11 Jun08 May24 Apr27 (maravilla j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
STAY LIT Aug17 Jun14 May24 May03 Feb02 (jennings s)CASTILLO E 117 20.00    
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Aug22 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 May24 (axmaker sheena)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (gibson vince)HALDAR J 125 5.00 15% 5.50    
MOUNT PELLIAR Aug09 Jun21 Jun07 May18 Feb15 (greiner gary)DURAN F 122 8.00    
HAPPY DOES Aug08 Jul11 May17 Apr06 Mar07 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
MOVE OVER (GB) Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul11 Jun21 (hernande)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.80 24% 3.20    
ORTH Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun08 (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 125 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
EMD-8   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAP IT DADDY Aug17 Aug02 Jun21 May26 Apr27 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  IMPROBABLE BET Aug03 Jul19       (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00    
SLEW O' MISCHIEF Jul12 Jun14 May26 May03 Apr17 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 4.00    
YETI LUTE Aug08 Jun22 Jun08 May26   (simkins ro)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
MY VINO Jul27 Mar22 Feb05 Jan19 Dec04 (gibson vince)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 Jun14 May18 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
IMPASSABLE (IRE) Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 Aug25 Aug04 (belvoir howard)ALVARADO T 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
EMD-9   08/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS PAYTON Aug10 Jul27 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 (perez sergi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
LULA BELLA Aug02 Jun29 May25 Apr28 Apr02 (nunnally jenni)ALVARADO T 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOB'S VAI Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun22 (cryderman)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 120 5.00    
THE GREAT HAYNES Aug07 Jun22 Jun08 May17 Mar30 (greiner gary)HALDAR J 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
BOLD INTENTION Aug02 Jul05 Jun15 May26 Mar27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
MADAME GAZELLE Aug08 Jul12 Jul10 Jun22 Feb16 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 20% 4.10    
STATEFOREST Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul11 Dec08 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 4.00    
LUSMA Aug22 Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 May18 Apr08 (villamar c)CASTILLO E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SONG OF SHADOWS Aug02 Jun06 Jan19 Dec06 Nov08 (gibson h)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.