Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (3/7/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8/9)-(3/7/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8/9)-(3/7/1/8/9)-(3/7/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8/9)-(3/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8/9)-(3/1)-(5/4/3/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/4/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/4/3/8)-(7/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8)-(5/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/8)-(7/6/1)-(3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(3/8/6)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6)-(3/5)-(6/7/4/9/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/7/4/9/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/7/4/9/10)-(8/2/4/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/7/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/9/10)-(6/7/4/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/9/10)-(6/7/4/9/10)-(6/7/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/9/10)-(8/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/9/10)-(8/2/4/9)-(9/10/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/9)-(8/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/9)-(8/2/4/9)-(8/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/9)-(9/10/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MTH-9   WIN (9/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/3/6)-(9/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/3/6)-(9/10/3/6)-(9/10/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKULL HONOR Jul18 Jul02 Jun18 May28 May13 (paterno robe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 9% 10.40    
SURPRISE PACKAGE Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May18 Apr26 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
DUAL INCOME Jul11 Jun08 Apr04 Mar08 Feb08 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 1.80 47% 1.10    
WILD CAPTAIN Jul21 Jun18 May27 May17 Apr23 (flores-coba f)OCASIO M 117 20.00    
GIANT JAMES Aug01 Jul20 Jun08 May25 Oct18 (harris holly)IORIO MELISSA 121 10.00    
TAP THE CANDY Jul06 Jul02 Jun01 Apr14 Feb08 (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 15.00    
GAMETIME GLADIATOR Jul18 Jul02 Jun13 May21 May08 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 18% 4.70    
MY PAL MAX Aug01 Jun29 Jun14 May25 May18 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50 6% 15.30    
MY BOY ROCKY Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 May26 May11 (gonzalez claud)SUTHERLAND C 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTEFANIA LIGHT         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 10% 8.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NO SHOW ROSE by GRAYDAR)
SCR  SHE'S JUSTIFIED Jul10 Jun03 Apr23 Mar10 Jan28 (lake scott )GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 8.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of SHE'S CHUBS by ALBERT THE GREAT)
KISS ME SLOW Feb08 Nov21 Jul21     (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.50 64% 0.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TERESA Z by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  CLUMSY CLAIRE         (mazza joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HELENA THE FIRST by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  ALWAYS AUTHENTIC Jul19         (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 119 4.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
CITY BROAD Jul16         (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 123 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
RISUKO Jul19 Jun25 Jan16 Dec04 Oct19 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SILK ASSASSIN by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-3   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTER KISSES Jul20 Jul04 Jun11     (yanez r)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May03 Apr06 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
PARK AVENUE BETTY Jul26 Jul05 Apr11 Mar19 Jan10 (volk scott)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
PRETTY SHY Oct04 Sep14 Jul28 Jul14   (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
CHESTERTOWN JANE Jun21 May17 Mar30 Aug11 May25 (perkins ben )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.50 26% 2.90    
THEGANGSALLHERE Aug02 Jul11 Jun07     (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
TRUMPS GIRL Jun21         (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
PRINCESS DIVA         (dougherty dev)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
 
MTH-4   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DITHER Aug01 Apr25 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMMENSE FAITH Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 May17 Apr27 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 12.00    
LIBERTY STAR Jul06 Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr08 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.00    
SCR  EGO MAN Jul14 Jun10 May19 Apr22 Apr01 (pino v)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
TAP IN FORMATION Jul09 Jun16 May26 May13 Apr15 (rodriguez ir)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
LLOYD Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May31 May24 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
DIAMOND HEIST Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May31 May24 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-5   08/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Jul04 Jun14 Apr23 Mar21 Feb15 (pimental joh)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
SCR  SOL THE FRANK May01 Apr05 Feb15 Dec01 Nov07 (legall ricard)JARA FERNANDO 123 20.00    
JACE IS NO JOKE Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May18 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  SILVER POCKET Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 Aug18 Jun22 (cash russell)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.50    
SCR  BRAD'S BET Jul04 May25 Oct18 Sep28 Sep08 (cash j)MOYA F 123 12.00    
BRACA May31 Apr24 Mar08 Feb02 Jan24 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNION PURRFECTION Jul16 Jul09 May26     (pino micha)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 4.00    
MOTOWN MIKE         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00 30% 2.40    
 
MTH-6   08/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 May24 May10 (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
INBOUND Jul12 Jun20 Jun08 May11 Apr26 (ramirez ricard)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00    
THREE CAPTAINS Jun21 May25 Apr25 Mar29 Feb16 (gonzalez claud)ADORNO ABNER 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  CRAFTY DON Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 Nov12 Oct25 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jun29 Jun14 May24 Apr27 Apr05 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  MENDELSFLY Jul21 Jan29 Jan15 Dec03 Nov12 (velazquez d)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
SCR  FORMAL AFFAIR Jul19 Jul09 Jun29 Jun01 Apr25 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 124 3.50    
 
MTH-7   08/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAN MACHINE Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Mar30 (simon linda)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 30.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jul20 Jun27 Oct18 Sep14 Jul07 (kendall denni)IORIO MELISSA 121 20.00    
SEE THE TRUTH Jul20 Jun21 May18 Oct18 Oct04 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 10.00    
FLASH FROZEN Jun28 Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 Feb09 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 117 6.00 15% 5.50    
SHY DA RUNNER Jul19 Jun21 Dec13 Nov07 Oct09 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 121 10.00    
TOM COLLINS Jul04 Jun06 May02 Mar22 Aug29 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
SAND PIPES Jul19 Jun21 May11 Apr09 Feb15 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  QUIZLER Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr04 Mar07 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00    
SCR  X Y PRIME Jul19 Jun21 Apr26 Mar29 Feb08 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  TEE AT ONE Oct13 Sep22 Aug02 Dec09 Sep16 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-8   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLISS STREET Jul23 Jul05 Jun01     (cash j)MOYA F 119 8.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BLISS TO YOU by FREUD)
BOOTED UP Jul11 Jun01       (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET CORINE by PULPIT)
VOLUNTEER FIREMAN Jul05 Jun14       (ryan s)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HAPPY HARMONY by RUNHAPPY)
TELL 'EM I'M COMIN Jun28 Jun20 May15 Apr27 Apr04 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by UPSTART out of WHAT A REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
GUALILLO         (dutrow richard)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LA SIRENA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DOMINICAN THUNDER Jul18 Jun14 Feb08 Nov17 Sep07 (jimenez jose )OLVER MADISON 119 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  VENETO Jul18 Jun29 Jun07 May04 Mar30 (corrales jos)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BAMBOLA DI PEZZA by EMPIRE MAKER)
COMPLETEEFFORT (IRE) Mar29         (margotta antho)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 36% 1.70    
  (by CURLIN out of OFTEN by GALILEO)
INTO INSPIRATION Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 May11 Mar01 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL HONOR by HONOR CODE)
 
MTH-9   08/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPY GIZMO Jul30 Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 May05 (perez )GONZALEZ JR 119 20.00    
SCR  BE HERE Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May18 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 122 4.00    
SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Jun22 Jun15 Jun06 May10 Apr26 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00 6% 15.90    
CONSULTANT Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 Nov18 Oct22 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Jul12 Jun27 May17 Apr30 Apr05 (woodit jos)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
RETWEET Jul10 Jun27 May15 Nov17 Oct26 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 May18 Apr18 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
SCR  MAC DADDY TOO Jul19 Jun27 May17 Apr23 Apr01 (brown r)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
MORE THAN WORK Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 Mar29 Feb22 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
10  ROCK THE STARS Jun21 May31 May10 Apr19 Apr06 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CABINET PIK Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 May10 Jan01 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.