Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - August 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(4/6/3)-(2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/3/7)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(2/5/1)-(3/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/1/7/5)-(2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/5)-(2/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(9/3/5/1)-(7/6/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (9/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1/7)-(9/3/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/5/1)-(7/6/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/6/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3/1)-(7/6/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3/1)-(7/6/5/3/1)-(7/6/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   08/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELMORE         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 7% 12.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FASOLA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
BIG D         (block chris)COLON H 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
THIS BEAU KNOWS         (block chris)MOJICA O 119 6.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of MARKET BUZZ by AFTER MARKET)
THIEVER         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CRAFTY ANA by CRAFTY FRIEND)
GOGH         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
BIAGODDESS Jul10         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 116 3.00 7% 12.60    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of GODDESS OF KIP by KIPLING)
INSTASTAR Jul15 Jul04       (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
 
HAW-2   08/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAISY MAE ATTACK Jul17 Jun14 May10 Apr22 Oct31 (childers s)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 15.00    
LIL CARRIE D Jul13 Feb29 Jan25 Oct30 Oct03 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 3.50    
ILLY SIMZ Jul13 Mar09 Feb14 Feb01   (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
MARY MOONGLOW Jul10 May22 Apr22 Jun23   (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.40 59% 0.70    
WAVE OF MEMORIES Jul13 Jun26 Jun03 May10   (lindsay r)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 15.00    
SAVVY SMILA Jun29 Jun05 May15     (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
HAW-3   08/03/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DINOS DIXIE Jul06 May11 Mar15 Jan30 Nov27 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00    
GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul06 May11 Dec12 Oct22 Oct03 (reid r)COLON H 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
ZOOMBIE Jul14 Jun24 Mar21 Feb07 Dec06 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
FAITHFUL RULER Jun24 Jun05 Apr26 Aug29 Aug01 (watkins )RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
A P BLAZING GREEN Jul06 May25 May11 Oct10 Sep19 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
NAGY AND DA BEARS Jul27 Jun26 May25 Oct10 Sep19 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
GABAGOOL Jul17 Jun19 May29 May15 Apr02 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   08/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING THE LIGHT Jul04 Jun05 May15 Oct24 Sep08 (campbell joel)FELIX E 118 8.00 14% 5.90    
RUMBRANDT Jul06 Jun19 Jun01 Sep12 Sep01 (slager mi)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
SAFECRACKER SUE Jul13 May22 May01 Mar07 Feb15 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 2.50    
JOYZELLA Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Jun01 May11 (spagnola ida)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
SHE STOPPED SHORT May04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 Feb05 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
SHARP ATTACK Jul13 Jun29 Jun23 May26 May18 (divito ja)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 3.50    
 
HAW-5   08/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNY SACK Jul17 Jun29 Jun05 May18   (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
CHEF RAY WILEY Jul05 Jun24 May24 May10 Apr26 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BROWN EYED BANDITA by BIG BROWN)
YORKTON WHEAT         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
  (by YORKTON out of LIL REDHEAD GIRL by ALGORITHMS)
LORD BLOCK Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 Jul21 Jul14 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
  (by SUNTRACER out of ROMAFLAME by BURNING ROMA)
TIZMEONEMORETIME Jul17 Jun29 Jun07 May20 May06 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of TIZ AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
JAKES CHANNEL May18 Sep05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 (rednour )RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
FRONTIER MARSHAL Jun29 Jun05 May04 Oct03 Sep15 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.80 10% 9.40    
  (by SKY MESA out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
 
HAW-6   08/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYON SHADOWS Jul17 Jul06 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP STICK Jul20 Jun29 May22 May01 Apr10 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
LARRY THE POET Jul17 Jul06 May24 May10 Jan26 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  STORM'S REFLECTION Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Apr23 Mar05 (banks chr)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 20.00    
SECESSION Jul17 Jul06 Jun12 May10 Apr10 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
VIA DEL CORSO Jul17 Jul06 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.00    
RED MOSCATO Jul17 Jun15 May27 Apr29 Oct15 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   08/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITALE Jul27 Jul10 Jun29 Jun14 May11 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
HONEST TO GOODNESS May25 May08 Oct13 Sep15 Sep08 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
BAKENEKO Jul10 Jun15 May29 May15 May08 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
MALIGATOR Jul17 Jul03 May29 May15 Dec05 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
TEMPER TANTRUM Jun29 May15 May08 Apr24 Mar12 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
DAPPER DUDE Jul08 Jun19 May29 May15 May01 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
MAASAI WARRIOR Jul12 Jun21 May03 Apr09 Mar04 (leonard ii)FELIX E 122 6.00    
REMEMBER THE MAINE Jul10 Jun19 May18 Apr27 Sep22 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
HUMBLE WARRIOR Jul12 Jun04 May12 Nov05 Oct29 (granitz j)MOJICA O 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  ICE AXE Jul20 Jul03 Jun26 May29 May22 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   08/03/2025 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADELYN ATTACK Jul13 Jun12 Oct29 Sep19 Aug08 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CATHOLIC SUE Jul13 Jun12 May11 May01 Feb28 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00    
ELIZA VANCE Jul01 May15 Apr27 Aug25 Jun23 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUPRISE ME AGAIN Jul13 Jun12 May22 Sep29 Aug29 (block chris)COLON H 122 4.50    
KNIGHTOFCARAVAGGIO Jul03 May08 Sep20 Jul30   (danner ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
BUTTONS AND LACE Jul13 Jun12 May15     (boyce michele)MOJICA O 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
RIETTA Jul13 Jun26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec05 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
SECRET OPERATION Jun26 May22 May01 Apr10 Dec03 (slager mike)FELIX E 122 12.00    
OH MACARENA Jun29 May29 Jan01 Nov11 Oct22 (bigelow e)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
SCR  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Jul13 Jun29 Jun12 May29 Apr27 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
SCR  AUTISM COMPASSION Jul13 Jun12 Apr27 Apr10 Jan23 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.