Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - July 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(4/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/3)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/3)-(6/4/5)-(1/4/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/4/8/6)-(4/7/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/6)-(4/7/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/6)-(4/7/2/9)-(2/8/6/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/9)-(2/8/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/8/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIES HONOR Jul03 Jun06 May25 May09 Feb16 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 126 1.40 36% 1.80    
2  RANDY DAYTONA Jun29 Jun17 Jun02 May19 Apr25 (melancon d)BATISTA X 120 6.00    
3  ZONG'S FAVOR Jul16 Jul04 Jun02 May13 Dec18 (antwine micha)PENA JONUELLE 121 15.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  I NITA WARRIOR May17 Apr30 Sep16 Aug23 Aug02 (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 126 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL BAND Jul15 May26 May13 Apr11   (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
6  LOUISIANA BARGAIN Jun22 May26 May13 Jan18 Jan04 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
7  EMBRACE MY HEART Jul16 Jun28 Jun06 Jan25   (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 126 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LADY BULLS EYE Jul05 Jun24 Jun09 May13 Oct23 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 124 15.00    
2  REAL SILK Jul16 Feb23 Jan15 Dec27 Dec07 (duhon jose)BATISTA X 119 2.50    
3  A REAL EMBRACE Jul16 May22 Feb20 Dec18   (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE NICE         (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 114 4.50    
5  OUR LAST HALF Jul16 Jun29 Dec22 Nov18 Aug06 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.00 69% 0.40    
6  MOPAC TRAFFIC Jun29 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr17 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00 6% 15.40    
 
LAD-3   07/30/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOUSAND ANGELS May26 Mar23 Mar08     (gomez davi)BATISTA X 120 8.00    
2  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Jun22 Jun07 May20 May11 Mar30 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  QUEEN BERKELEY Jun22 Jun03 May17 May03 Feb27 (ramirez ro)GONZALEZ NICASIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AIRO DINERO Jun27 May26 May04 Mar21 Feb28 (clary jaylan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 31% 2.30    
5  LASKO LADY May14 Apr18 Mar03 Feb07 Dec13 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Jun22 Jun07 May20 Mar28 Mar02 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 124 6.00    
7  LINDA FAYE Jun24 Jun09 May17 Apr09 Feb27 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Jun24 May23 Mar29 Mar19 Feb15 (gonzalez is)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00    
2  MIZ JAMESON Jul05 Jun24 Jun16 May22 Feb15 (ramirez ro)GONZALEZ NICASIO 118 6.00    
SCR  RUBY THE DESTROYER Jul14 Jun16 Jun06 May12 Apr29 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
4  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jun16 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
5  MARIAH'S CANDY Jul14 Jun29 May31 May09 Apr20 (broussard jer)PENA JONUELLE 113 8.00 5% 17.70    
6  PATTERN BET Jun15 May16 Apr25 Feb03 Nov13 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
7  CRAFTROOM Jul21 Jun24 Jun01 May19 May07 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 115 12.00    
 
LAD-5   07/30/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E LION May09 Mar19       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  BERNARDO Jun28 May31 Apr17 Mar28   (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASHADO by SAINT BALLADO)
3  TEQUILA N' SALT May31 Mar13 Jan20 Dec22 Oct27 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of COCKTAIL HOUR by DYNAFORMER)
4  DR. NIKO Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar18 Oct27 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.50 12% 7.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
5  KEYS GOLDEN SONG May25 Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Jan19 (davila jes)RAMIREZ JR 119 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MISS PERDIDO KEY by BROKEN VOW)
6  SAFE BET Jul14 Jun15 May03 Apr06 Mar09 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of APPEALING BRIDE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  KEOKUK KID         (witt ii)BOREL H 119 8.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BERNADETTES VISION by POWER BROKER)
8  ROARING RAPIDS Jul12 May10 Apr19 Mar30 Mar16 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 6.00 6% 15.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
 
LAD-6   07/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCH OF SWORDS Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May13 May03 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 30.00    
2  THISGUYCANFLY Jun29 May30 Aug06 Jun23 Jun09 (mallery vonn)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
3  MUCHO MACHO CAM Jul12 Jul04 Jun20 May31 Apr27 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 123 12.00    
4  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Jul04 Jun02 Mar12 Mar02 Feb16 (gibson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 1.60 39% 1.60    
5  SLIM JIMMY Jul04 Jun15 May31 May18 May11 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 15.00    
6  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR May11 Apr04 Mar08 Jan17 Sep23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00    
7  STORM STRATEGY Jul04 May03 Mar22 Feb14 Jun28 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  PICCOLO UOMO Jun29 Jun09 Feb23 Jan31 Jan02 (clary jaylan )PENA JONUELLE 115 8.00    
9  MY UNCLE BILLY May22 Apr30 Apr10 Feb14 Jan25 (bernard john)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   07/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY STALKER Jun23 Jun02 Mar21     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
2  KOKOMO STARLET Feb20 Jan28 Dec06 Nov07 Oct10 (jackson rich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  NEVER WALK ALONE Jul18 Jun10 May25 Apr26 Apr16 (tillis jerry)EDISON JOCELYN 120 30.00    
4  SHES ONE BOMB         (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLIVIA ANTOINETTE Jul11         (duhon o)BOREL H 117 20.00    
6  ROYAL B         (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  MAIZ'N MONEY Jun05         (camejo jos)BATISTA X 120 12.00 9% 9.80    
8  GET FROSTY Jun15 May20 Apr12 Mar01 Feb08 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 4.00 14% 5.90    
9  CHARMING LEAH Jul04 Jun10 May25 Apr06 Feb08 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
SCR  ADIOS DUTCHIE         (ziadie kirk)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.50    
11  CAT ATE THE CANARY Jul22 May25 Feb22 Feb08 Jan24 (jacks e)VARGAS P 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.