Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(5/9/7/2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(5/9/7/2/4)-(1/6/8/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/9/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/2/4)-(5/9/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/2/4)-(5/9/7/2/4)-(5/9/7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/7/2/4)-(1/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/2/4)-(1/6/8/3)-(9/5/2/1/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/3)-(9/5/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/3)-(9/5/2/1/3)-(3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-8   WIN (9/5/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/1/3)-(9/5/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/1/3)-(9/5/2/1/3)-(9/5/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/2/1/3)-(3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/1/3)-(3/4/1)-(2/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/3/8/5)-(7/9/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-10   WIN (2/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/5)-(7/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-11   WIN (7/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-5   07/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLEY BARKLEY Jul20         (gibson howar)OROZCO E 119 5.00    
SCARLETT LETTER Jul12         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
MORE TROUBLE         (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 6.00    
WINENDINEHER Jul12         (baze robert)CRUZ M 119 20.00    
LOTSA KITTY Jul12         (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 119 4.50    
SUBTLE SHIMMER         (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 3.00 19% 4.30    
HOT SUMMER BREEZE Jun22         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 10.00    
MOONRISE SERENADE Jul12         (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 119 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEXZIE Jun15 May30 Apr06 Mar08   (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 121 3.50    
BELLA CIAO CIAO Jul03 Jun07 May24 Apr27 Aug18 (patino faustino)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COMPANY GIRL Jul13 Jun15 May24 Jul06 Jun22 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
LETSGETTHEREFIRST         (martinez)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRICAL Jul03 May24       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  NATALIE G         (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 121 4.50    
NEPHELE Jul13 Jun14 May24 May02 Mar30 (baze robert)HALDAR J 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
OUTA LUTE         (simkins ros)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00    
DELAYED NOT DENIED Jul13 Jun07 May24 Sep06   (bullock st)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 10.00 17% 5.00    
10  MISTY MALIBU Jul13 Jun20 Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 (tubbs scott)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
 
EMD-7   07/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VHAGAR Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr22 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
CHEERING FOR LAYLA Jul03 Jun08 May11 Apr19 Mar14 (hobson sim)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00    
NATION'S BELLE Jul03 Jun15 May11 Sep15 Sep06 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 15.00 8% 12.00    
BIG CATTY Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May03 Nov05 (perez hilario)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00    
HAPPY IS Oct11 Aug25 Aug03 May25 Apr20 (trujillo mar)HALDAR J 122 15.00    
POP CHART Jul13 Jul03 Jun07 May26 May11 (madrigal elodio)MATIAS J 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SORORITY PARTY Jul13 Jun28 May25 Apr17 Mar19 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 3.50    
GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jul13 Jun21 Apr02 Mar06 Jan30 (rosales )AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
EMD-8   07/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOIN' SOUTH Jul12 Jun22 May26 May03 Nov17 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 6.00 8% 12.00    
  (by OM out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
ADIOS JOJO Jul12 Jun15 May18 May03 Sep07 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 119 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LORELIE G by HARBOR THE GOLD)
HE'S NOT TALKING Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May11 Aug25 (mcphee doug)KRIGGER K 119 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NO TALKING BACK by FLATTER)
F B I BOB Jun22 May26 Apr01 Feb19 Feb03 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 119 30.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHE'LL TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
CANDY CABALLO Jun22 May11 Jan17 Dec27 Dec10 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 5.00 10% 8.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIVA MALALA by MALIBU MOON)
BIG BOWIE Jul12 Jun14 May11 Sep15 Aug25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BE MY BABY by OGYGIAN)
KISS THE TIGER Jul11 Jun14 May26 Oct13 Oct06 (dronen sam)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 30.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
MY VINO Mar22 Feb05 Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
SI THAT TIGER Jun22 May11 Sep15 Aug04 Jul13 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 0.80 48% 1.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
 
EMD-9   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH RUN May31 Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 Jun14 (maravilla )CASTILLO E 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAST CHAZ Jul13 Jun27 Jun20 Mar03 Feb06 (puentes jose)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
CODE CHARLIE Jun28 Mar31 Mar17 Feb10 Oct04 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 May25 May10 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  EL BERRINCHES Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 Jun01 May17 (puentes jos)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
SCR  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 (harshman loe)SMITH E 122 15.00    
SCR  MOJAVE (GB) Jun27 May31 Mar31 Jan30 Dec26 (cruz jaymie )HALDAR J 125 10.00    
ROYAL HALO Jul11 Jun13 May25 Mar17 Feb27 (pirone e)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
SQUARE CAT Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 May17 May03 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
 
EMD-10   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC DAY Jun27 Dec11 Nov03 Oct14 Sep15 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 6.00    
FIFTY CINCO Jun28 Jun06 May11 Dec07 Nov30 (thomas ruby)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
BALLYVAUGHAN GIG Jun27 Jun13 Aug11 Jul21 Oct01 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 32% 2.20    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jun27 Jun07 May10 Sep08 Aug09 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
HOT CHICKS ONLY Mar24 Mar11 Feb13 Nov30 Nov10 (thomas jamey)HALDAR J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T HIT ME BASH Jun07 May11 Apr19 Dec15 Dec08 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
SCR  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul11 Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr19 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
MY DOMINATOR Oct14 Oct04 Sep14 Sep02 Aug04 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-11   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY BARMAID Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 May25 Apr29 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 6.00    
ACCLAIMED PREACHER Jul18 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Feb09 (trujillo marcelino)DURAN F 125 15.00    
LIBBY'S GAMBIT Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May25 May17 (tubbs scott)OROZCO E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA POPIS Jul18 Jun29 Jun22 May26 May18 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 125 4.50    
JAZZY LOVE Jul19 Jun29 Jun21 Jun08 May25 (bullene michael)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 11% 8.40    
PRINCESS PAYTON Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 May25 Sep08 (perez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 10.00    
CRYSTALIZED SECRET Jun15 Jun06 May17 Apr15 Mar25 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 48% 1.10    
ROSES R BLUE Jul18 Jun27 May30 May09 Apr06 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May25 Apr17 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.50 14% 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.