Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
CTM-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/8/4/1)-(6/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-7   WIN (3/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/1)-(6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNATUDE Jun27         (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 125 10.00    
2  HOLY MOSES Jul07 Jun06 Sep13     (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50 13% 6.40    
3  GRAZED BY LOVE Jun27 Jun06 May23 Mar19 Mar03 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 61% 0.60    
4  MAVERIKIE Jun24 May24       (walper deanna)NELSON DANE 125 4.50    
5  FLAT OUTTA AUSTIN Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 Oct03 Aug31 (humbke ch)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 120 3.00    
6  BRI'S BOY Jun24 May23       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   07/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Sonoma Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY BELLE Jun28 May16 May03 Mar12 Feb21 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 120 8.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  GEE I'M FOXY Jun28 Jun07 May17 May03 Sep17 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 124 0.80 52% 0.90    
  (by KLIMT out of FOXY SARA by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  KITTY HOUSE Jun28 Jun07 May23 Feb20 Jan27 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 120 3.00 ★    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  UNVEIL THE GRACE Jun28 May23       (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EBONY RUN by EL CORREDOR)
5  NO REJOYCE Jul05 Jun12 May24 Aug23 Aug10 (kettleson todd)NELSON DANE 122 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CTM-5   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AH TOUCHE Jun13 May30 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 4.50    
2  EYES OF BEAUTY Jul05 May30 Sep14 Aug10 Jun07 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.00    
3  LA PATRONA Jun06         (cone ro)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  RISING STRONG Jul05 Jun15 May16 Sep21 Aug02 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  STARFALL Jun13 May30 May16 Apr19 Mar21 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  POCKETFULOFDREAMS Jun24 May23 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 8.00    
 
CTM-6   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDDINGONTHERITZ May09 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Oct11 (bell ken)LUNAN RICHARD 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BURNLEY May23 May09 Oct06 Sep07 Jul23 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Jun24 Jun06 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 8.00    
4  SQUALOTORO Jul05 Jun15 Jan16 Dec08 Nov02 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 ★    
5  MOB BOSS Aug23 Jul26 Jun07 May17 May04 (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  SNAP COUNT Jul05 May31 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00    
7  TIGERITO Jul07 Jun13 May31 May24 May10 (strachan james)LAHOE RUJA 123 2.50    
 
CTM-7   07/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Count Lathum Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER STORM KING Jul04 Jun24 Jun07 May16 Aug23 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE WEST out of STORM QUALITY by STORM VICTORY)
2  WRIT IN STONE Jul05 Jun13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 10.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CONQUEST REBEL by DIXIE UNION)
3  PUTTINGONTHEFOIL Jul04 Jun07 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
4  BORDER SONG (FR) Jul05 Jun13 May24     (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of MORE THAN A SONG by MORE THAN READY)
5  REBOSO Jun07 May04 Apr17 Mar25 Feb18 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 120 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
6  DANCING PORKY Jul04 Jun13 May09 Mar25 Feb18 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 4.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
7  CONCRETE COWBOY Jul05 Jun06 May23     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of MYSTICAL MOLLY by FOREST GROVE)
8  WOOD CEILING Jun07 Mar22 Feb19 Jan17 Nov26 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
 
CTM-8   07/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KYSTONE Jun24 Jun07 Mar10 Feb18 Jan29 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
2  KEEN FLATTER Jul04 Jun15 May30 May17 Sep06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 ★    
3  J DUTTON Jul05 May30 May16 Jan16 Dec07 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  STOP AND A TRES Jun27 May30 Apr17 Mar11 Jan23 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 15.00    
5  PACHECO Jul07 Jun15 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 10.00    
6  STONEVICIOUS Jun15 May30 Apr23 Mar24 Sep08 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  BUZZINGA KARMA Jul07 Jun15 May30 Sep07 Aug30 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 12.00    
8  QUINTO SOL Jul04 May14 Sep06 Jul27 Jul12 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
9  PARKING PERMIT Jul04 Jun24 Jun06 May24 Sep07 (walper deanna)NELSON DANE 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.