Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/1)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/4)-(8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(8/3)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/3)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(5/6/2)-(2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/6)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COME ABOUT Jun20 Jun12 May22 Nov20 Nov09 (eubanks ann)RAMOS O 125 8.00    
VIRAL VIDEO Jun07 May22 May02 Apr07 Mar25 (marquez cesar)RIVERA D 123 10.00    
SCR  HARRISON C May07 Mar24 Jan08 Nov12 Oct16 (dotolo david)RANGEL JOEZER 125 8.00    
SCR  MYCROFT Jun28 Nov22 Nov01     (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00    
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Jul09 Jun12 Jun07 May15 Apr25 (beattie san)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 6.00 42% 1.40    
GREAT COMPOSER Jun27 Jun07       (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50    
MANHATTAN CHARLIE Jun12 May29       (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
MO JUICE Jun05 Mar21 Feb07     (sarson b)FLORES E 115 12.00    
 
PEN-2   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUSSIAN BLUE Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 May23 May15 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS LIKE BETH May27 May13 Apr15 Mar05 Feb07 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 2.50    
GENIEINABRIDLE Jun27 May26 Mar22 Jan26 Dec28 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ F 121 3.00    
PINK ROSE Jun11 Jun02 May17 May02 Mar07 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
LA MACCHINA ROSSA Jun27 Jun07 Apr23 Mar27 Dec19 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   07/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BESS' CANDY Jun28 Jun06 Dec04 Nov07 Sep07 (wagner karin)RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 15.00    
SCR  RED BETTY Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May22 May01 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 123 20.00    
SCR  KINDRED HEARTS Oct29 Sep10 Jul01 May20 Nov21 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
HOPEFORGREATNESS Jul01 Jun16 Jun06 Nov07 Oct23 (padilla o)AGUILAR JEAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARY'S REWARD Jul03 May20 Nov06 Sep16 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.50    
MOCHA DIANE Jun25 May22 Dec20 Dec01 Oct02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00    
NEW BOOTS Jul05 Jun19 Jun05 May22 May11 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  DON DIVA Jun25 Jul31 Jul11 Oct24 Oct05 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 30.00    
SCR  SEAP Jun25 Jun15 May25 May10 Jun01 (stettinius suz)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
10  ADIOS MEISTER Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 Nov21 Oct10 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 123 12.00    
SCR  MISSY'S MAP Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May17 May03 (sullivan el)DEL SARA 113 8.00    
SCR  CRUISING GAL Jun15 May27 May07 Apr21 Apr14 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 15.00    
 
PEN-4   07/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSED AT DAWN Jun22 Jun12 May23 May09 Apr25 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 125 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MINISTER'S DEPUTY by IRON DEPUTY)
COLLEGEVILLE QUEEN         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WIDGET by STREET CRY)
WICKLOW POOKA Mar07 Jan28 Dec12 Nov14   (stites w)CORA D 122 6.00 17% 4.70    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
CITY BROAD         (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 125 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  QUIET CITY         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
  (by CARSON CITY out of EDGE CITY by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  MY GREY HUMOR Jun04 Nov10 Aug23     (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CAUY'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF Jun09 May20 Apr25 Mar24   (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CHAMPAGNE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MS. LAOBANNIANG Jun26 Jun05 Jan02     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of DEVINE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
PEN-5   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY GILT Jun21 May24 May01 Mar09 Jan04 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
KISS THEM DEADLY Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct27 Sep20 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUZZ ADAMS Jun28 Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Jan18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
STIFLING HEAT May08 Apr24 Feb27 Jan09 Dec12 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 118 4.50    
EASY ACTION Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Feb02 Dec13 (rosado roberto)AGUILAR JEAN 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
NIGHT PREACHER Jun20 Jun08 May09 Apr26 Apr05 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-6   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YES IT'S ROO Jun20 May03 Mar21 Mar13 Feb27 (davis jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jun11 May29 Apr29 Mar28 Feb28 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  TACTICAL HUMOR Jun20 Jun11 May23 May03 Mar21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50    
FLOAT ON Jun20 Jun05 May19 Jan08 Dec20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 3.50    
BUSTIN LOOSE Jun29 Jun08 Dec12 Nov06 Sep28 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00    
AMPERSAND Jun27 Oct24 Aug28 Aug01 Jun27 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00 7% 13.30    
MINISTER FOR MAGIC Jun15 May10 Apr25 Mar29 Feb23 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00    
 
PEN-7   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PLAYER KAZ Jun19 May15 Apr25 Feb27 Feb07 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 61% 0.60    
UNCLE MONEY Jun20         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
SCR  WILD NUGGET Jul03 Jun11 May22 May07 Mar27 (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.00    
SCR  RUN HELWIG RUN Jun07 May22 Mar26 Mar06 Feb07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
KAZ CREED Jun19 Jun11 May17 Apr25 Mar21 (kravets m)CORA D 123 6.00 8% 11.90    
FORTHELOVEOFRUN Jul04 Jun07 May23 May11 May02 (maldonado jona)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.