Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(4/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(4/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(5/4/2/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6)-(5/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/6)-(5/4/2/8)-(2/7/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/3/8)-(5/4/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/2/8)-(2/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/8)-(2/7/8/3)-(5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/3)-(5/7/2)-(8/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(7/1/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/2)-(7/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/2)-(7/1/8/3)-(3/7/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/3)-(3/7/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/4)-(3/7/9/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/4)-(3/7/9/8/4)-(3/7/9/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADA THORNE May25 May10 Apr16 Mar28 Mar07 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Jun15 Jun01 May25 Apr17 Mar31 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 20% 4.10    
SETTLER'S COVE Jun21 May31 May10 Sep08 Aug30 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
PINEAPPLE CRUISE Jun15 May25 May11 Dec01 Nov17 (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
SORORITY PARTY Jun28 May25 Apr17 Mar19 Mar05 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 8.00    
CANDIED JOULE Jun22 Apr29 Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 122 15.00    
PRANCING MATILDA Jun21 Jun13 May26 Apr17 Apr02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
 
EMD-2   07/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN A PICKLE Jun22 May03 Apr10     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SURF RANGER         (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 6.00    
WRECKLESS RHETT         (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PEACE PARDNER Jun22         (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 10.00    
TAPBYANGELS         (tubbs scott)MONTALVO C 120 4.50    
TWENTYTHREEONBLACK         (birdwell tena)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT BENJI         (evans justin)KRIGGER K 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
MIKE'S EXCESS         (lenzini michael)CRUZ M 120 15.00    
 
EMD-3   07/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNIN AT MIDNIGHT Jun22 Jun08 May31 May10 Jan24 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50    
COCONUT DREAMS Jun14 May24 May03 Aug03 Jul06 (martinez b)DURAN F 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
VALID GOLD Jun20 Jun07       (patino faust)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
NEPHELE Jun14 May24 May02 Mar30 Mar07 (baze robert)ALVARADO T 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
LITTLE VENUS Jun28 Jun13 May26 May03 Mar28 (puente)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
DANZING ZELLA Jun20 May31       (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
FAE ALLANNAH Jun22 May17       (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 121 15.00    
CHATTY LEROYBROWN Jun22 Jun07 May25 May03 Apr10 (garcia serjio)COUTON JULIEN 121 5.00 8% 11.40    
 
EMD-4   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEREHAVEYOUBEEN         (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
I'LLTAKEITFROMHERE Jun20         (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
PRANCIN LADY Jun20 May25 Dec15 Nov10   (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 2.00    
DELAYED NOT DENIED Jun07 May24 Sep06     (bullock st)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 28% 2.50    
FINE BY ME Jun15 May24 Jun09     (cooper kay)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
OMACHE GIRL         (boyd preston)RICHARD RONALD 125 15.00    
RIVERSIDE GLORY         (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00    
MISTY MALIBU Jun20 Oct05 Sep06 Aug10   (tubbs scott)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COMPANY GIRL Jun15 May24 Jul06 Jun22   (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
 
EMD-5   07/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jun21 Apr02 Mar06 Jan30 Aug09 (lucarelli frank)KRIGGER K 123 4.50    
ETHAN'S GIRL Jun13 May24 Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 (tubbs sc)AMADOR RUIZ 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
WINANYWAYUCAN Jun15 Oct06 Sep08 Aug16 Jun23 (velasquez )CASTILLO E 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHADY HARBOR Jul03 Jun21 May25     (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00    
BELLE WEATHER Jun28 Jun06 May17 Jul07   (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 119 10.00    
SHESAYSHELLO Jun28 Jun06 May17 Mar31 Mar05 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 117 3.50    
SHADOWED THOUGHTS Jun21 Feb08 Dec07 Nov24 Aug17 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
CALY BALI Jun21 May31 May17 Dec09 Nov19 (puentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 5.00 11% 8.20    
 
EMD-6   07/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAUN'S JAZZ Jun28 Jun13 Jun06 May18 Apr23 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 12.00    
CROWN MAGIC Jun08 May17 Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Jun20 Jun08 May25 May18 Apr28 (cryderma)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50    
ENOS SLAUGHTER Jun13 May18 Feb22 Jan24 Dec08 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Jun28 May25 May03 Feb06 Jan27 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
NAVAL ESCORT Jun20 May17 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 (martinez b)MONTALVO C 122 6.00    
BROTHER O' BRIEN Jun14 May18 Apr27 Mar29 Jan03 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
EMD-7   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOKECHERY SHARI Jun21 Jun07 Apr27 Mar30 Feb23 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 121 5.00    
MOONLIGHT GREY Jun22 May17 May03 Apr19 Mar25 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HALFWAY TO NOWHERE May11 Mar02 Jun02 Aug31 Jul28 (thomas jamey)KRIGGER K 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
RIVER DANCE Jun13 May26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan07 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
POP CHART Jul03 Jun07 May26 May11 Sep01 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 119 12.00    
MY LITTLE LADY Jun07 May25 Sep01     (gibson vin)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
DYNAMIC DEE DEE Jun22 May24 Sep14 Aug25 Aug09 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 3.50    
AUTISM INSPIRATION Jul03 Jun15 May11 Apr27 Mar17 (gibson vince)HALDAR J 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-8   07/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING GOODBYE Jun13 May10 Apr19 Mar20 Mar06 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
MANGIA PANE Jun20 Jun06 Mar11 Feb22 Feb04 (toye joe)COUTON JULIEN 125 4.50    
MASHHAD FLATS Jun08 May18 Sep29 Sep23 Aug31 (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF WILD EAGLE Jun20 May31 May16 Mar21 Dec29 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 5.00    
RICH GOLD Jun13 May25 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
QUALITY CAT Jun15 May31 Feb22 Jan26 May18 (gibson h)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
I'M NOBLE Jun20 Jun06 May18 Apr28 Apr08 (toye joe)DURAN F 122 3.00 27% 2.60    
BEAU MISCHIEF Jun20 Jun07 May25 May10 Oct06 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 22% 3.40    
 
EMD-9   07/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jun28 Jun15 Jun06 May17 Apr09 (christian bill)ALVARADO T 125 15.00    
GYPSY GUN Jun28 Jun15 Jun06 May17 Sep15 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 12.00    
FAST CHAZ Jun27 Jun20 Mar03 Feb06 Jan15 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
NO D'ORO Jun27 May17 May03 Mar09 Feb09 (birdwell te)TOMITA AKATSUKI 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
NATION OF FAITH Jun13 Mar10 Feb11 Jan23 Dec30 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 6.00    
RIMROCK LAKE Jun27 Jun14 May31 May11 Sep13 (navarro jose)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 20.00    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Jun29 Jun08 May18 Oct06 Sep22 (morris michael )CRUZ M 125 5.00 27% 2.70    
PRECEDENT LUKE Jul03 Jun15 May17 Apr25 Apr02 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50    
PISTOL POWER Jun15 Jun15 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 8.00 8% 11.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.