Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(2/4/1)-(1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE Jun26 Jun09 May21 Apr29 Nov05 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
ALMOND CIDER Jun26 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr29 (vasquez ramon)COA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jun28 Jun14 May11 Apr25 Apr12 (jones eduardo )ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
DYNAMITE KARMA Jun09 May21 May01 Apr02 Mar07 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
BETA Jun26 Nov27 Oct08 Sep03 Jul31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
GOLDEN REIGN Jun19 Feb21 Jan24 Dec19 Nov06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 126 3.50    
 
FL-2   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELISSA'S SMILE Nov04 Oct23 Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
1A  WABAUNSEE Jun25 Jun09 May26 Nov04 Oct23 (pettine james)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
FORTY SMOOTH Jun25 Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 Aug14 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  TRACI'S GIRL Jun09 May11 Aug06 Jun17 Jun04 (sparling way)BAILEY O 124 8.00    
KAUFY FUTURES Jun25 Jun09 May21 May06 Nov20 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 2.50    
M. A. S. SCRUVES Nov20 Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
SCR  FEDALIA Jun25 Jun09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (murphy timo)MARTINEZ R 124 4.00    
 
FL-3   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDYLL GOSSIP Jun11 Jan17 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 3.00    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Jun04 May15 Apr04 Mar14 Feb02 (barrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 4.00    
NUMERIC Jun10 May27 May13 Apr16 Mar21 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHELLY Jun25 Jun03 Nov19 Oct16 Sep23 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
ZI END Jun17 May26       (breed a)FRET STEVEN 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
MAMBAGIGI Jun11 May21 Apr28 Jun11 May20 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
FL-4   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUT NOW AM FOUND Jun02 Apr28 Mar19 Mar01 Feb15 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 2.50    
SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Jun26 May28 Apr28 Feb22 Nov27 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
JOHN'S IN CHARGE Jun17 May21 Apr04 Mar23 Nov23 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST A GUY Jun16 Nov18 Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00    
SCR  SWEET JULIAN Jun17 Jun04 May21 May05   (acquilano jame)COA J 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
ENGLISH STORM Jun17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
LAST DRINK Jun17 Jun02 Oct29 Oct15 Sep18 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
 
FL-5   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MONTAUK SURF Jun16 Nov26 Oct16 Sep09 Jul22 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
SCR  MONTAUK MEMOIRS Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr05 Mar14 (barrow paul)HARKIE K 120 2.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
TEN RUN RULE Jun30 Jun10 May13 Apr29 Mar01 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 120 10.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
SNOWSTORM (GB) Jun04 Jul08 Jun19     (dixon k)CRUZ JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
BILLY AT THE GATE Jun02         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of GOLDIE'S PRINCESS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
PROBABLY FLATTERY Jun16 Jun02 Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
MY KINDA CRAZY Jun04         (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SAME KINDA CRAZY by POSSE)
 
FL-6   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SALTY RYAN         (bartlett william )PEREZ E 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of EXONERATED by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  SALT SPARTAN Jun16 Jul19       (bartlett william )PEREZ E 122 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PASTEL GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LUCEO NON URO         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MICROGRAM by MICROMANAGE)
HAN O' WAR Jun16 Nov18       (barrow paul)HARKIE K 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of HANNAH'S SMILE by PERFECT SOUL)
RACERX Jun04         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
NIGHTMISSIO         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MOM'S NIGHT OUT by FIRST DUDE)
DIVINE PEACE Mar30         (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
  (by CARACARO out of MARKET BUZZ by AFTER MARKET)
GONNA BE POSSIBLE Jun16         (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of GONNA BE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
HENRY'S HOPE Jun07 May15 Apr24 Apr05 Mar07 (jones e)ROHENA JR 122 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
 
FL-7   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD CONNECTION Jun17 May28 Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TROUBLED LUCK Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr24 Apr10 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
KAYMUS Jun26 Jun10 May26 Feb24 Dec12 (d'alessandro r)COA J 122 2.00    
SPECIAL PAL Jun25 May28 May05 Nov25 Nov11 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
SMALL PEBBLES Jan08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 Jul31 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
HYPNOCURRENCY Jun26 Jun04 May21 Nov25 Nov06 (pettine m)ROHENA M 122 5.00    
 
FL-8   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA WEEKEND Jun10 May27 Nov27 Oct16 Oct01 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
FOREST MANAGER Jun26 Jun04 May19 Apr09   (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 3.50    
SCR  SOLO ACT Jun10         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
SCR  NATURAL NINE May21 May05       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
THE SAXON STORY Jun04 May21 May13 Apr29 Nov27 (sells rachel)PENA LUIS 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
MOUNT MORRIS Oct14 Sep03 Jul22 Jul01   (bartlett william )PEREZ E 124 10.00    
DESTIN OF ROBIN May10         (smith troy)BAILEY O 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.