Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/2/4/1)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/1)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1)-(4/7/2)-(1/6/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(1/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(1/6/2/9)-(2/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/9)-(2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/9)-(2/6/8)-(2/9/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(2/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(2/9/8/6)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/8/6)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/6)-(5/4/6)-(1/3/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE FURMANATOR Oct18 Sep08 Jul28 Jun26 Jun11 (vega r)GONZALEZ JR 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  PEGGYSUE I LOVE U Jun14 May22 Apr27 Mar28 Feb26 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL Jun20 Feb22 Jan17 Nov24 Oct20 (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.20    
4  QUEEN WIGGY Jun20 Jun13 May11 Mar27 Feb28 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS Sep23 Jun26 Nov02 Sep19 Aug21 (crook-demasi )JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50    
6  NO FAKE Jun27 Jun14 Apr23 Mar25 Mar03 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00    
7  MISS M M Jun20 Jun07 May11 Apr28 Apr15 (crowell susan)OCASIO M 121 20.00    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE Jun20 May25 Apr18 Jan04 Dec24 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE LIMIT Jan26 Jan02 Oct18 Oct05 Aug14 (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50    
 
MTH-2   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYN GUY May25 Apr11 Feb06 Nov21 Sep27 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  AUTO GLIDE May31 Apr24 Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 (compton greg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
3  AWESOME FLAY Jun13 May25 May03 Apr21 Mar26 (wyner harol)GONZALEZ MELVIS 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  BOSS LOGIC Dec22 Nov28 Nov03 Oct05 Sep13 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 9% 9.50    
5  ANTIGRAVITY Apr09 Mar08 Feb14 Nov16 Oct05 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
6  KHOZEIRESS Apr19 Mar12 Jan11 Dec14 Aug17 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
7  QUISTMER Jun21 Apr27 Jan17 Jan08 Nov29 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 124 15.00    
 
MTH-3   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAMPANOAG CHIEF Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar14   (aristone phi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50    
2  PEACE CRUSADER Jun18 May31 May19 Apr22 Mar24 (castillo mich)OCASIO M 123 6.00 8% 11.60    
3  BRAD'S BET May25 Oct18 Sep28 Sep08 Aug23 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 121 8.00    
4  AWESOME EDITION Jan12 Dec20 Nov01 Oct11 Sep15 (orseno jos)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Jun14 Apr23 Mar21 Feb15 Jan10 (pimental joh)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
SCR  DON D FORTYSIX Jun14 May26 May11 Apr18   (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00    
7  NICOLE'S WILL Jun07 Apr11 Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  LEIGH'S LAST HERO May07 Apr07 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 (castillo miche)COTTO L 123 20.00    
SCR  AMOR GITANO Jun27 May24 Apr27 Mar07 Jan05 (agostin)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
 
MTH-4   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICK MERLIN         (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 114 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
2  CLEVER CHARLIE         (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.00 7% 12.40    
  (by TEJABO out of CLEVER WHITNEY by CLEVER SHOT)
3  GOLDEN SPIRIT Jun01         (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 114 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ACHIEVING GLORY by JUMP START)
SCR  COUNT MY BLESSINGS         (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
  (by FLORIANO out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
5  J J PACHECO         (sanchez jos)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  NOON TIME TIDE         (owens edd)VARGAS A 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  LA RESOLANA         (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 114 6.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of SWEETEST YET by DROSSELMEYER)
8  SUPERFRACTOR         (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 117 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DUMTADUMTADUM by MINESHAFT)
9  TIZ AWESOME         (huston rory )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 10.00 6% 16.20    
  (by CEE'S TIZZY out of HOOJI by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
 
MTH-5   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD STAMP Jun16 May24 Apr25 Mar22 Mar08 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
2  PRINCESS IRENE Jan30 Dec12 Aug29     (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  MUN MUN CAN RUN Sep13 Aug13       (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
4  ACHERON Jun07 May24 Oct25 Oct11 Sep20 (hills timoth)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
5  BUTTER KISSES Jun11         (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 119 6.00    
6  MONEY MAGNETTES Aug11 Jun23 May25 May11 Mar31 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  MY GREY HUMOR Jun04 Nov10 Aug23     (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
8  JERSEY JOYCE Aug18 Jul07       (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
MTH-6   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RABBIT HOUND Jun15 May25 Apr11 Mar15 Feb07 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
2  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE May26 Apr23 Mar09 Jan10 Dec20 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  IN THE CHASE Jun07 Apr13 Mar20 Feb21 Jan12 (jones mic)VARGAS A 117 20.00    
4  MIDLANER Jan18 Dec14 Nov04 Oct22 Oct02 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50    
5  BERNIE'S MITTS Apr15 Apr01 Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 121 10.00    
6  NORTHERN FLAME Mar01 Jan25 Jul06 Jun09 May04 (wilson)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MANOR HOUSE Jun08 Dec15 Nov28 Oct13 Sep21 (wilson )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
8  MACRON Jun15 May18 Apr24 Apr06 Feb24 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
9  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jun15 May30 Dec06 Oct12 Sep01 (synnefias p)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
MTH-7   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA MAIDEN Jun15 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug25 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00    
2  DAME CATHERINE Jun14 Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 5.00    
3  WOW LUCKY Jun07 May11 Mar28 Feb27 Feb02 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
4  PERMED Jun18 May28 Mar28 Mar14 Feb19 (pimental joh)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 33% 2.00    
5  THE GODDESS FACTOR May31 Apr23 Feb19 Jan19 Jan03 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  SPECIAL AFFAIR Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr16 Mar28 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Jun13 Apr25 Mar16 Feb12 Jan17 (kelly blake)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE Jun27 Jun14 May17 Apr02 Mar02 (avila car)SUTHERLAND C 124 4.00    
 
MTH-8   07/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMITY ROAD Jun13 May04 Apr02 Mar22 Feb16 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  VIRGINIA CITY May25 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
3  TALKLESSWORKMORE Jun14 Apr24 Feb17 Jan18 Oct05 (delgado jos)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
4  PERSISTEN Jun21 May26 Apr26 Mar22 Mar01 (avila juan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 15.00    
5  WISE UP May10 Mar08       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
6  GRAN YACO Jun16 Apr04 Feb26 Feb12 Jan19 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STYNER Jun18 Jun07 May16 May01 Apr04 (englehart je)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00    
8  THE BOONDOCKER Jun01 Aug10       (brown c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 12% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.