Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - June 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/4/5)-(1/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/7/4)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(2/5/4)-(1/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/5/7)-(10/6/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FP-5   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(10/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(10/6/8/1)-(2/9/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-6   WIN (10/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1)-(10/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/8/1)-(2/9/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-7   WIN (2/9/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/6/1)-(2/9/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/6/1)-(2/9/7/6/1)-(2/9/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTRACTED Jun07         (becker scott)FELIX E 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
TEGWAR Jun04 May13 Apr18 Nov20 Oct23 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of MARQUEE CAL GAL by COWBOY CAL)
MEGANTHEEBATTALION May31 May13 Apr29     (becker scott)WALES T 120 5.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
STEAL POETIC Jun14 May31 May13 Nov02   (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of PERFECT POET by OXBOW)
THIRSTY NATALIE Jun23 Jun04       (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of NOCHERYLIKEMYCHERY by EMPIRE WAY)
EPIC MOMENT Jun07 Mar29 Mar14 Oct19 Oct03 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 19% 4.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLASHY GAL by BOLD N' FLASHY)
 
FP-2   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR'S DREAM May27 May06 Mar16 Mar02 Sep17 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
FANCY HILL Jun17 May27 May04 Sep29 Sep12 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 5.00    
RESOLUTION (FR) Jun17 May27 May06 Nov02 Oct15 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 126 4.00    
ERNESTINA Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct22 Oct08 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
REBA ATTACK May27 May10 Apr22 Mar12 Feb20 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HIALEAH HOTTIE Jun10 May27 May13 Sep24 Aug20 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
FP-3   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART JOKER Jun07 May10 Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 57% 0.70    
MISTER SHARPIE Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 Oct05 (durham mi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
STAGFLATION Jun05 May13 Apr22 Mar26 Nov13 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50    
TIZWOW Jun03 May25 Nov02 Aug27 Aug13 (retana ga)TROXTELL BRITTANY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jun12 Apr24 Apr03 Mar27 Dec04 (alonso fer)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
PONTUS Jun03 May17 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00    
SWISS GUARD May24 May10 Apr26 Oct31 Oct22 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
 
FP-4   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULYNNE Jun14 May06 Dec18 Oct31 Oct19 (manley steve)FELIX E 126 4.00    
RACETOTHEFINISH May31 May10 Apr22 Oct29 Sep29 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
AROSE FOR LYLA Jun14 May17 Apr22 Oct29 Oct19 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
LIL BIT TIPSEY May24 Oct01 Sep07 Aug20 Jul30 (mcewen billy )SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GHAALEB'S HONOR May31 May17 Oct29 Oct01 Aug24 (becker scott)WALES T 124 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
FP-5   06/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T LAW May29 May11 Apr24 Oct06 Sep29 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY Jun03 May17 Nov02 Oct19 Oct01 (straub marvel)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
STEVE Jun14 May31 May10 Apr26 Oct31 (appleton )TROXTELL BRITTANY 108 10.00    
BEST MAN SPEECH Jun07 May13 Apr26 Oct15 Sep28 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
PETE'S LEGACY Jun03 May17 Nov02 Oct24 Oct12 (essenprei)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  CUCUY Jun15 May29 Apr27 Apr13 Mar02 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.00    
NATIVE MOONSHINE Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 Jan19 Nov26 (smith r)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYHOP May27 May13 Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME DREW Jun10 May13 Apr26     (becker scott)WALES T 120 3.50    
ADIOS KID Jun07 May10 Apr26 Mar13 Feb21 (delong ben)SIMPSON M 120 15.00    
TRUIST Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
SCR  HE'S A FINE MAN Jun10 May27 May13 Oct29 Jul20 (straub marvel)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 20.00    
FIVEO'CLOCKCHARLIE May27 May10 Nov02 Oct17 Aug03 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.50 16% 5.20    
DREAM GOLD Jun10 May27 May13 Oct29 Oct06 (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
STANCE Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct29 Sep28 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 6% 16.60    
MOVE IN SILENCE Jun10 May24 May01 Apr17 Oct24 (wilborn kevin)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
10  CENZONTLE May24         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
FP-7   06/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMITY Jun17 Jun03 May20 May06 Oct15 (martinez-)ULLOA JOAN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECT A LIL Jun03 May06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 29% 2.40    
BABAS GAL Jun10 May27 May06 Apr29 Apr13 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 126 20.00    
LUTION Jun10 May20 Apr22 Oct29 Oct15 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 20.00    
MORO MAESTRO Jun10 May20 May06 Apr22 Sep21 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.50    
CHANEL POINT Jun10 May13 Apr29 Sep07 Aug17 (martinez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.50 7% 12.90    
LUCY JANE Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 Sep12 Aug15 (foxworth leo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct12 Sep14 (mosier harold)LOPEZ A 124 20.00    
MISS DUTTON Jun10 May27 May13 Oct31 Oct17 (martinez-lina)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
10  CAT TALE BREEZE Jun10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (durham mike)WALES T 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.