Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - May 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/1/3)-(6/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/5/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/1/3)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/4/1)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY FUN Apr25 Mar21       (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of YOU MAKE LUVIN FUN by A.P. INDY)
CROSSING GUARD Feb20         (sinnefia paul)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CROSSING THE TAPE by JOHANNESBURG)
VALERIE'S SPECIAL         (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of DIME A DOZEN by SOFT GOLD (BRZ))
HIGH ACHIEVER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BEACHES N BOURBON by BROKEN VOW)
SECRET JOURNEY         (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
  (by FLYING CONTINENTAL out of TARA'S SECRET by SECRETO)
MUSIC CLARIFCATION Apr14 Mar24       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FASHION MO by UNCLE MO)
 
PEN-2   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAOL LABAMBA         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  EXTRASEXYMCSTEEMEE Apr23         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00    
SHOWTIME MATINEE May09 Apr15       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
HOT ROD KITTY May09 Feb19       (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
POPS HARPER May03 Sep15 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-3   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY STREAK May07 Apr23 Mar27 Dec27 Nov22 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
LEONIDS May02 Apr11 Mar14 Jul03 Jun10 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR May07 Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECTORATE Mar10 Jan09 Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
TROPHY ROOM May03 Mar27 Mar14 Feb28 Jan08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50    
GOING AT IT May07 Feb28 Feb06 Dec27 Nov13 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME PRIMA May09 Mar20 Mar07     (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00    
BRONX BOYS Apr24 Mar21 Feb07 Jan09 Dec02 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Apr23 Mar28 Feb19 Jan09 Nov21 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 120 8.00    
TACTICAL HUMOR May03 Mar21 Feb21 Jan08 Dec19 (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 6.00 8% 11.20    
PICTURE THIS May03 Mar28 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 (klesaris )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
BALLAD OF WARRIOR Apr24 Mar13 Mar06 Dec30 Nov27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 117 2.00 30% 2.30    
EASTER BET Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE DROP BACH Apr25 Dec20 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 (dunham bernard)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
MIRACLE TRIP May12 Apr25 Apr01 Jan29 Jan14 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 122 2.50    
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON May02 Mar21 Jun18 May31 May17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN KISSER May02 Mar14 Feb28 Feb21 Jan02 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Apr25 Mar28 Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LIMA May01 Mar20 Mar06 Dec20 Oct31 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRUSSIAN BLUE May15 May01 Oct31 Aug21 Jul26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.00    
CARLY HUSTLE May15 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 (harigeorgiou konst)FLORES E 124 20.00    
BONITA LASSIE May01 Feb24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
PRETTY LILY May09 May01 Apr14 Mar27 Mar03 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 1.50 33% 2.00    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 12.00    
 
PEN-7   05/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERBOAT BANDIT Feb21 Jan08 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
GRATED COCONUT May08 Mar13 Feb21 Oct16 Sep25 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 1.60 33% 2.10    
SWEET SPITE May08 Mar13 Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 4.00    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT Apr15 Mar05 Jan28 Dec12 Nov08 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY May03 Feb28 Feb13 Jan29 Dec16 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 120 2.50    
SCR  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE May08 Apr15 Mar27 Feb21 Jan29 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.