Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/5)-(5/1/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/1/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4/7)-(5/1/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4/7)-(5/1/2/4/7)-(5/1/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4/7)-(8/3/1/2)-(5/3/8/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-3   WIN (8/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/2)-(5/3/8/4)-(4/2/9/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-4   WIN (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (4/2/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(6/3/8/4)-(9/4/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/4)-(6/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/4)-(6/3/8/4)-(6/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/4)-(9/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/6)-(9/4/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/6)-(9/4/8/5/6)-(9/4/8/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 34 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE RICARDO         (calvario samu)JUAREZ J 119 15.00 11% 8.40    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of HAILING TEARDROP by TRUE CONFIDENCE)
2  DENIZEN         (newbold jon)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of PROUD REUNION by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  DEFENDING ALBERT         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.80 44% 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JETBIRD by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  MYTURNTODEAL Dec07 Aug19 Jul14 Jul04 Jun08 (mallery vo)PEREZ ANGEL 119 30.00    
  (by LUNARPAL out of I'M DEALING by DEVILS PULPIT)
5  BLINKNUMISSIT         (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 9% 9.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of TICKLE BUNNY by SHACKLEFORD)
6  FALCON QUEST Jun05 Apr27 Mar16 Mar01 Dec22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of FALCONRY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  DEACON JONES Apr26 Apr18 Mar23 Jan27 Dec31 (mallery vonn)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LADY HEATHER by BRAHMS)
8  PERSONAL CREED Apr04         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BARBY SUE by PURGE)
 
LS-2   05/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE VISION Apr18 Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 Jan05 (dupuy allen)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
2  WHISKEY ON ICE         (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 119 10.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  DEPTHS OF DIXIE Mar23 Mar08 Jan31 Feb18   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00    
4  MUCHO VAPOR May04 Apr17 Apr06 Mar21 Mar09 (martin steve)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HELLO GOODBYE Feb01 Jan04 Nov26 Nov18 Oct04 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 44% 1.20    
6  SUBLIME HOPE Apr17 Apr04 Feb28     (green ike)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
7  MORO PRINCESS Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 May27 May18 (herreros s)CAMACHO VALENTIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LA RONALDA Y G Apr04 Feb01 Jan12 Oct19 Sep28 (mendoza edgar)RIVERA SANTOS 119 20.00    
9  HURRYANDGETREADY Apr17 Mar30 Feb01 Jan10   (cravens ronnie)REYES R 119 12.00    
10  MAYBE SO May03 Apr20 Mar30 Mar22 Feb28 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00    
 
LS-3   05/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP IN THE BLUE         (newbold jon)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of COWGIRL N UP by MY GOLDEN SONG)
2  LOUISIANA WOMAN         (pish danny)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of THROBBIN' HEART by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  HELENE'S POWER         (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  PRIVATE CONNECTION         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 4.50    
  (by PRIVATE TERMS out of GILDED CONNECTION by GILDED AGE)
5  FROSTED HALO         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ASH ANGEL by MACHO UNO)
6  HONOR GOD         (fincher todd)FINCHER TANNER 120 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SOPHIE ANTOINETTE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  MICHIGA         (cravens ronnie)REYES R 120 15.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of BIG SINK STAR by A.P. INDY)
8  I LOVE MANGO'S         (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of FASTHAPPY by RUNHAPPY)
 
LS-4   05/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIM JIMMY May11 Apr19 Apr10 Mar23 Mar02 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00    
SCR  RON'S LAVENDER Apr26 Apr18 Mar28 Mar01 Feb07 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
3  CLOUDY PAST May10 Apr25 Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Apr25 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Jul04 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR JAWS Apr27 Apr17 Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 1.20 23% 3.40    
6  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Apr27 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan24 (schneider w)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
7  NATURAL HIGH Apr19 Mar28 Jan30 Jan08 Dec20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
8  FANDO Apr25 Mar28 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 (uriegas henry)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
9  PRETTY MACHO Apr19 Mar28 Mar14 Mar07 Feb16 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
 
LS-5   05/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY ZONE Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Oct12 Aug24 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
2  CANDY ARCADE Apr25 Feb28 Jan24 Dec21 Oct11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
3  TEXAS RED BEL Apr26 Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (george wayne)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CITY GHOST Apr26 Mar22 Feb28 Jan17 Jul04 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  FAYETTE BLUE Apr26 Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 Jul07 (ross)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
6  RUMPUS May09 Apr26 Mar23 Feb08 Feb01 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50    
7  SUNNY SAN LEON May10 Mar02 Jan19 Nov26 Oct11 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARQUETTE WARRIOR Apr26 Mar23 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
9  LET FREEDOM BLING May09 Feb28 Feb08 Sep14 Sep05 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  PLEASINGLY Apr26 Mar23 Jan31 Oct31 Oct03 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
SCR  GYPSY ROSE Apr02 Mar04 Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 (lee mark)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
SCR  NEUTRALIZE May05 Apr14 Mar17 Mar04 Jan05 (lee mark)DIEGO V 122 5.00    
 
LS-6   05/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIOR'S JUSTICE Apr26 Mar22 Feb08 Dec14 Nov23 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80    
2  WHATA MOON Apr25 Mar30 Feb24 Jan19 Dec21 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
3  MY BOY VANDER Apr25 Feb28 Feb15 Sep05 Jun29 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 30% 2.30    
4  IN SPITE OF IT Dec17 Nov26 Jul14 Jun14   (marr jo)FUENTES T 122 15.00    
5  TAPIT FIRST Apr25 Mar21 Feb28 Jan17 Oct04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 10.00 12% 7.70    
6  GREY MARKET Apr25 Feb07       (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
7  ARSONIST Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 Sep29 Sep05 (eoff terry)REYES R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SWIFTWIND Mar21 Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Oct23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOR OTAY Apr12 Mar20 Dec04 Nov20 Nov10 (borel renay)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00    
2  ROAD TO ELDORADO Mar14 Jan31 Jan18 Dec04 Nov16 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 4.50    
3  SUPER RENZO May11 Apr12 Mar23 Feb18 Aug06 (williams ma)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  AUTISM INCLUSION May03 Oct13 Oct05 Sep21 Aug18 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KARANTHOS May10 Mar29 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 119 10.00    
6  CHEERS TO CANDY Apr17 Mar15 Feb21 Oct10 Sep12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
7  SECRET TAVERN Apr17 Jan24 Oct25 Jul03 May12 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00    
8  LONE TREE Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb23 Nov23 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  TOO INTIMIDATING May10 Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 Jan24 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   05/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAJUN WARRIOR Jul03 Jun22 May10 Mar30 Feb09 (herre)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
2  LUV TO WIN Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Feb17 Jan19 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
3  LEWIS BERE (FR) Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 Jan09 (green greg)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
4  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Nov21 Oct21 (padilla carlo)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  BANDERA AZTECA Apr26 Mar28 Mar09 Feb22 Feb16 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAMPTON Apr15 Mar27 Feb14 Jan17 Dec05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUPER BRADY May09 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 Mar01 (green ike)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
8  SWEET RIVER BAINES Mar28 Feb20 Jan24 Nov19 Nov05 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 ★    
9  STAYED IN FOR HALF Mar28 Mar15 Feb16 Feb08 Nov08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
10  IMMELMANN Apr02 Feb23 Sep14 Aug04 May24 (diodoro robert)REYES R 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.